BLOG for game on Monday 9/6 Yanks/Orioles UNDER

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  • fox sixers
    Restricted User
    • 02-07-10
    • 821

    #1
    BLOG for game on Monday 9/6 Yanks/Orioles UNDER
    i took today off. Didn't really see anything stand out and just like everybody else.. life comes into play.. and you sometimes don't have much time to cap games.

    I went 2-1 on Saturday with my big play winning in KC/Tigers OVER.

    Game for tomorrow is just a STRONG lean for now as the line hasn't come out yet.. and I am also looking for some feedback.

    Yanks/Orioles UNDER

    I really think this is an important start for Burnett and I fully expect him to bounce back tomorrow and pitch a good game as he has a nhice track record against the Orioles and it's a nice spot for him to pitch better. His season as a whole has been a dissapointment and a struggle.

    Baltimore Orioles are 75-56 UNDER in the 2010 season. 43-28 UNDER with a total of 9 to 9.5 which what is projected for the line. They without question are an UNDER team.

    Yankees are not an UNDER team with a 69-60 OVER for the 2010 season. Many factors however point towards the UNDER for tomorrow afternoon.

    AJ Burnett has pitched poorly 2 out of his last 3 starts with an ERA over 9 his last 3 games.. However.. the UNDER is 2-1.

    At least in the last 3 starts against the Orioles Burnett has pitched in all UNDERS and ALL this SEASON 4-3 4-1 and 4-0. 2 out of 3 games were wins. 2 games Burnett won were against Matusz, Orioles pitcher for tomorrow. Below will be a lot more telling trends for Burnett and UNDER tomorrow. Burnett is 11-3 life time against the Orioles.



    Going for the Orioles tomorrow afternoon is BRIAN MATUSZ.

    Matusz has had a sub-par season pitching.. but lately he has been on fire with a 1.29 ERA his last 3 starts. ALL UNDERS

    Life time against the Yankees, Matusz has a 2.10 ERA 3-1 UNDERS. Last 3 games pitched against Yankees ALL UNDERS. 2 games against Burnett.

    So let's dig in deeper with some trends and stats.

    Orioles:

    Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 road games.
    Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games as a road underdog.
    Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 1 of a series
    Under is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 overall.
    Under is 4-0 in Matuszs last 4 starts on grass.
    Under is 7-1-1 in Matuszs last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
    Under is 5-1 in Matuszs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
    Under is 4-1 in Matuszs last 5 starts as an underdog.
    Under is 4-1 in Matuszs last 5 starts overall.
    Under is 4-1-1 in Matuszs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Under is 6-2 in Matuszs last 8 starts vs. American League East.

    Yankees:

    Under is 9-0-2 in Burnetts last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 4-1 in Burnetts last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
    Under is 4-1 in Burnetts last 5 starts on grass.
    Under is 4-1 in Burnetts last 5 starts overall.
    Under is 15-5-2 in Burnetts last 22 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 5-2 in Burnetts last 7 starts as a favorite.
    Under is 15-6-2 in Burnetts last 23 starts as a home favorite.
    Under is 10-4-1 in Burnetts last 15 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 15-6-2 in Burnetts last 23 home starts

    To finish it off.. enjoy your night. PLEASE comment... this for now.. depending on line movement.. and feedback.. is just a STRONG LEAN.. but game I am very confident on...

    Under is 3-0-1 in Burnetts last 4 starts vs. Orioles.
    Under is 3-0-1 in Matuszs last 4 starts vs. Yankees.
  • fox sixers
    Restricted User
    • 02-07-10
    • 821

    #2
    wind.. feedback... will be a factor if I make this a big bet or not.. chances are it will at least be a small play..
    Comment
    • mentorbh
      Restricted User
      • 08-27-10
      • 479

      #3
      I like it's Over!
      Comment
      • fox sixers
        Restricted User
        • 02-07-10
        • 821

        #4
        haha great feedback bud. lol BOL
        Comment
        • Angela
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-23-10
          • 368

          #5
          I dunno eh...both teams are scoring machines at the moment
          Comment
          • Angela
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-23-10
            • 368

            #6
            I'm with Bet365 and the under is at 9.5
            Comment
            • slimpickins
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-12-10
              • 891

              #7
              Can't play this either way
              burnett can't be trusted orioles much better team with new manager
              yanks offense has and can be shutdown for the day but can also breakout at any time and put up 6 in an inning
              wouldn't play the over either though
              Comment
              • fox sixers
                Restricted User
                • 02-07-10
                • 821

                #8
                To me the only way you don't play the UNDER is if wind is blowing out... I mean get real.. looks at the trends and stats.. this is a perfect time with an UNDER with the yankees..
                Comment
                • slimpickins
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-12-10
                  • 891

                  #9
                  I am a Yankee fan and just don't trust Burnett no game he pitches will I take the yanks or an under the rest of this year
                  I won't be playing so hope u hit the under
                  Comment
                  • fox sixers
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-07-10
                    • 821

                    #10
                    thanks for your input slimp
                    Comment
                    • fox sixers
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-07-10
                      • 821

                      #11
                      Windy City, Paco, Razor, Wilforth... others... I am really looking for an opinion on this game.. seriously.. I am really strong on it.. Only thing that makes me a bit..... is wind... but first indication.. that won't be an issue for tomorrow's game....
                      Comment
                      • fox sixers
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-07-10
                        • 821

                        #12
                        still looking for more feedback! thanks!!
                        Comment
                        • PuckCoach
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-28-10
                          • 468

                          #13
                          Matusz is prone to the big inning. He has been good under Buck. Burnett needs a good outing. Good Luck.
                          Comment
                          • Sawyer
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 7761

                            #14
                            Really Liked Orioles in this spot!
                            Comment
                            • CappinTerp
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 9650

                              #15
                              Wind blowin out to rt-cen @ 4mph...not a factor.
                              Comment
                              • fox sixers
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-07-10
                                • 821

                                #16
                                thaznks cappin. BOL on your plays!
                                Comment
                                • fox sixers
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-07-10
                                  • 821

                                  #17
                                  i leaned orioles too sawyer with this value. can def see orioles winning.. if had to choose a team.. it would be yankees.. but wouldnt bet the yankees.. and would consider orioles... if orioles do win.. to me.. that's more of an indicator for UNDER
                                  Comment
                                  • fox sixers
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-07-10
                                    • 821

                                    #18
                                    UNDER started at -105... now -125.....
                                    Comment
                                    • fox sixers
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-07-10
                                      • 821

                                      #19
                                      VERY confident in the play today... MEDIUM TO BIG PLAY... LEANING MORE TOWARDS TO BIG!!! LET'S GET IT!!! UNDER 9.5 -125.. I GOT IT AT -105...
                                      Comment
                                      • Sawyer
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-01-09
                                        • 7761

                                        #20
                                        Under 9.5 looks like a little bit high for this game. I'm jumping on Under wagon too!

                                        My call is 5-3 Orioles.
                                        Comment
                                        • bonduforlife
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-21-10
                                          • 1222

                                          #21
                                          WOW, yanks just wasted a lead off double
                                          Comment
                                          • fox sixers
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-07-10
                                            • 821

                                            #22
                                            it was a bit closer than I thought it would be. Thought it would be even more low scoring.. but win is a win!!! good stuff.

                                            Everybody... I have a goal.. and if you can help out I would really appreciate it. I currently do not bet with money.. just graduated out of college... was betting with money.. but lost my bankroll.. been doing very good the past couple weeks or so.. BUT have only been betting on points..

                                            Trying to increase my points so I can get sportsbook cash... I would appreciate anybody that is willing to send me some points for winners! it would mean a lot.

                                            Thanks all.

                                            May have a smaller play for later tonight!
                                            Comment
                                            • mark2010
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 06-28-10
                                              • 77

                                              #23
                                              how in thw world a team like bal can bet nny. why only now is bal playing like this.
                                              Comment
                                              • fox sixers
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-07-10
                                                • 821

                                                #24
                                                I really wanted to try to come out with another play.. but I don't want to force any action... I don't really see a play that is worth it..

                                                I would lean Rays and under on phillies game, and under with seattle game.. but at this point. they are just not strong enough to pull the trigger..
                                                Comment
                                                • Sawyer
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-01-09
                                                  • 7761

                                                  #25
                                                  After reading your writeup, I felt that you're on the right side and Under will cash in.

                                                  Nice call, Congrats!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • fox sixers
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-07-10
                                                    • 821

                                                    #26
                                                    Thanks Sawyer!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JMobile
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-21-10
                                                      • 19077

                                                      #27
                                                      9/6/10 1:05pm MLB Baseball 971 Baltimore Orioles/New York Yankees Under 9½ -125* (B Matusz - L must Start A Burnett - R must Start)

                                                      My play won clean!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fox sixers
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-07-10
                                                        • 821

                                                        #28
                                                        good stuff jmobile. hope to have a play up by nights end for tomorrow's card..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • slimpickins
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 08-12-10
                                                          • 891

                                                          #29
                                                          Nice call fox
                                                          Comment
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