Baltimore Orioles +140

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  • Kraghen
    SBR MVP
    • 07-08-10
    • 2509

    #1
    Baltimore Orioles +140
    Baltimore Orioles +140 is my bet. According to Accurescore, Baltimore Orioles have 51% chance to win this game!
  • Kraghen
    SBR MVP
    • 07-08-10
    • 2509

    #2
    Nobody is on Baltimore Orioles tonight?
    Comment
    • Kraghen
      SBR MVP
      • 07-08-10
      • 2509

      #3
      Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles 9/4/2010

      The Baltimore Orioles are 28-41 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 40-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles' starter Jeremy Guthrie is forecasted to have a better game than Rays' starter James Shields. Jeremy Guthrie has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while James Shields has a 56% chance of a QS. If Jeremy Guthrie has a quality start the Orioles has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 59%. In James Shields quality starts the Rays win 67%. He has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Luke Scott who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Evan Longoria who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 68% chance of winning.
      Comment
      • tanner40
        SBR MVP
        • 03-24-10
        • 2129

        #4
        On it with you
        Comment
        • Kraghen
          SBR MVP
          • 07-08-10
          • 2509

          #5
          Originally posted by tanner40
          On it with you
          Great to see I'm not the only one on Baltimore Orioles. Best of Luck my friend!
          Comment
          • spippen
            SBR MVP
            • 03-17-09
            • 3874

            #6
            For me, I could never bet on a 49-86 team, no matter what the situation.It's not like Balt is getting +200 money, either. I'm not saying that means an automatic bet on Tampa, either. This is a game I would only take Tampa, or just have no play on it. Sometimes you can hit a lousy team like Balt, but as the record shows sometimes is not very often at all. To add to that, when a team like Balt is down 7-0 in the 3rd, and say loses the game 10-5, nobody is surprised. Hope you win, though. GL.
            Comment
            • Kraghen
              SBR MVP
              • 07-08-10
              • 2509

              #7
              Originally posted by spippen
              For me, I could never bet on a 49-86 team, no matter what the situation.It's not like Balt is getting +200 money, either. I'm not saying that means an automatic bet on Tampa, either. This is a game I would only take Tampa, or just have no play on it. Sometimes you can hit a lousy team like Balt, but as the record shows sometimes is not very often at all. To add to that, when a team like Balt is down 7-0 in the 3rd, and say loses the game 10-5, nobody is surprised. Hope you win, though. GL.
              Thank you for sharing your opinion with us. If I didn't check Accurescore picks and Stats I would have blindly bet on Tampa... but Accurescore often have hot picks.. Hope I'll win this one.
              Comment
              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-17-09
                • 11939

                #8
                Best of luck
                Comment
                • Mikail
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-19-09
                  • 21689

                  #9
                  Very good value today on the Orioles. This play has a nice chance of hitting. Guthrie has been pitched lights out recently against the Angels and has beaten the Rays and Shields once this year already. Quality pitcher at home for the O's looks nice at +140 Only concern is the Rays are a good road team. BOL
                  Comment
                  • Kraghen
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-08-10
                    • 2509

                    #10
                    Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                    Best of luck
                    Thanks!

                    Originally posted by Mikail
                    Very good value today on the Orioles. This play has a nice chance of hitting. Guthrie has been pitched lights out recently against the Angels and has beaten the Rays and Shields once this year already. Quality pitcher at home for the O's looks nice at +140 Only concern is the Rays are a good road team. BOL
                    Thank you for sharing your point of view with us. I know how good the Tampa are on the road, but the Baltimore Orioles are worth to bet on, especially at +140. Hope it'll work!
                    Comment
                    • nickluva
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-05-10
                      • 322

                      #11
                      take the under instead.
                      Comment
                      • Nevada
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-24-09
                        • 234

                        #12
                        im on tampa... baltimore is in a slump
                        Comment
                        • Kraghen
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-08-10
                          • 2509

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Nevada
                          im on tampa... baltimore is in a slump
                          the bookie is on your side so you have more chance to win than us, but my Baltimore picks is
                          Comment
                          • Kraghen
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-08-10
                            • 2509

                            #14
                            My Baltimore picks is looking good, hope the Orioles will score more runs and win at home!
                            Comment
                            • Kraghen
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-08-10
                              • 2509

                              #15
                              Looks great! 7-2 I know the game isn't over, but I have a good feeling about Orioles' victory.
                              Comment
                              • Mikail
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-19-09
                                • 21689

                                #16
                                Cashed Orioles TT over 3 now let's cash this O's ML Got my at +131 but still a good number if ya ask me.
                                Comment
                                • Kraghen
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-08-10
                                  • 2509

                                  #17
                                  +131 is pretty good. The marlins are making me loosing a lot of money, hope they will bounce back and win...
                                  Comment
                                  • Mikail
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-19-09
                                    • 21689

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Kraghen
                                    +131 is pretty good. The marlins are making me loosing a lot of money, hope they will bounce back and win...
                                    yeah Late money came in on Balty dropping the value, but it's all good. Left the Marlins/Braves game alone. Johnson is a decent pitcher but Braves kinda need this win. GL on the Marlins.
                                    Comment
                                    • Kraghen
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-08-10
                                      • 2509

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Mikail
                                      yeah Late money came in on Balty dropping the value, but it's all good. Left the Marlins/Braves game alone. Johnson is a decent pitcher but Braves kinda need this win. GL on the Marlins.
                                      Thank you. I really need the marlins to win. On the paper they were 62% favorite to win this match... it's not finished yet, but it doesn't look good.
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilforth
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-10-08
                                        • 16309

                                        #20
                                        Nice call.
                                        Comment
                                        • Kraghen
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-08-10
                                          • 2509

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Wilforth
                                          Nice call.
                                          Yesterday I found Detroit tigers, and today is Baltimore Orioles. Hope I'll find another dogs for tomorrow to cash more $$$
                                          Comment
                                          • Glitch
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-08-09
                                            • 11795

                                            #22
                                            ya nice work.
                                            Comment
                                            • hothandsmgee
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-08-09
                                              • 371

                                              #23
                                              Wow nice call
                                              Comment
                                              • drfunkmaster
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-29-08
                                                • 11162

                                                #24
                                                nice one.. balt and astros r hot..
                                                Comment
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