Some (more) advice for today!....Consider it another WARNING!

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  • MadCapper
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-08
    • 4179

    #1
    Some (more) advice for today!....Consider it another WARNING!
    I see A LOT of people jumping on Philly (with Oswalt) as a +120 DOG tonight in San Diego. Their reasoning is that Philly is really really really really due to break out of their slump. Oh...and Oswalt is a good pitcher.

    I have a few problems with this:

    #1 Why not just wait UNTIL THEY ACTUALLY DO BREAK OUT OF IT before putting money on them.
    #2 Latos is a fantastic pitcher. What makes you think they will hit Latos, when they only scored 7 runs total in 4 games against Bud Norris, J.Happ, Wandy Rodriguez, and Brett Myers....in the hitters paradise in Philly?!?!
    #3 San Diego is a damn good team. And they are 38-23 at home. While Philly is UNDER .500 on the road.

    I am staying away from this game...I think you should too!

    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
  • Power Play
    SBR MVP
    • 02-01-10
    • 1224

    #2
    Love your posts. Vegas made the line extrmely sharp this game
    Comment
    • MadCapper
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-08
      • 4179

      #3
      Originally posted by Power Play
      Love your posts. Vegas made the line extrmely sharp this game
      Thank you.

      Just trying to help people here.

      I dont have a paco or lakerboy "following" yet.

      So until then I try to help a few people at a time.

      Soon people will start nominating my posts so I can receive some bonus points. Points are fun.

      My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
      Comment
      • jram68
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-16-09
        • 693

        #4
        i dont see why anyone would bet on philly tonight. they sucked ass all week, plus Latos is a better pitcher this season than Oswalt.
        Comment
        • JMobile
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-21-10
          • 19074

          #5
          Me too **! I rather just enjoy my home team playing the Phills like a natural game day.
          Latos lost his last start against the Phills in Philly but with a 3 ER in that game, meaning he did not get any run support. And after yesterday's huge lost, it looks like the Padres bat are getting cold again. But either way, this time we have home field advantage so you never know.
          I'm guessing that both Oswalt and Latos will get a no decision.
          Comment
          • JMobile
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-21-10
            • 19074

            #6
            Originally posted by jram68
            i dont see why anyone would bet on philly tonight. they sucked ass all week, plus Latos is a better pitcher this season than Oswalt.
            They moved Latos out of the rotation last week so he could skip a start to start this game. I guess it means a lot as the Padres dont wanna lose some ground to the Giants who are 5 games back and the Phillies don't want to lose more ground on the Giants in the Wild Card. This game requires low bets if your gonna bet.
            Comment
            • pokerpro44
              SBR MVP
              • 08-20-07
              • 3138

              #7
              padres and under for me.gl.
              Comment
              • MadCapper
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-08
                • 4179

                #8
                Precisely.
                My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                Comment
                • btd
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-18-08
                  • 455

                  #9
                  I definitely agree with your analysis , Thanx
                  Comment
                  • MadCapper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-08
                    • 4179

                    #10
                    Originally posted by btd
                    I definitely agree with your analysis , Thanx
                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                    Comment
                    • southpaw74
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-21-09
                      • 7104

                      #11
                      I would never take Philly in this spot. It's padres or nothing. Philly just had to fly across the country and they are playing like crap,
                      Comment
                      • MadCapper
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-27-08
                        • 4179

                        #12
                        Originally posted by southpaw74
                        I would never take Philly in this spot. It's padres or nothing. Philly just had to fly across the country and they are playing like crap,
                        My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                        Comment
                        • Fishscale
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 411

                          #13
                          Philly will win this game. Just like I took the dbacks last night. It's all cyclical. Get out of your heads.
                          Comment
                          • thechaoz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-23-09
                            • 12154

                            #14
                            I noticed this last and kept thinking this is the worst time to jump on the phils
                            Comment
                            • FR3SH like UgHH
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-27-10
                              • 1464

                              #15
                              r u just "warning people" or r u actually takin the pads?
                              Comment
                              • Fishscale
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 411

                                #16
                                Are you kidding? It's the best time to jump on the Phils. You get in when everyone gets out. Oswalt has a terrible record, not completely his fault. Look at his career w/l. He is due for a string of wins.
                                Comment
                                • MadCapper
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-27-08
                                  • 4179

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Fishscale
                                  Philly will win this game. Just like I took the dbacks last night. It's all cyclical. Get out of your heads.
                                  You cant really believe this?
                                  My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                  Comment
                                  • MadCapper
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-08
                                    • 4179

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by FR3SH like UgHH
                                    r u just "warning people" or r u actually takin the pads?
                                    Read my post.

                                    Do what you want.
                                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                    Comment
                                    • shari91
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 02-23-10
                                      • 32661

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by MadCapper
                                      Thank you. Just trying to help people here. I dont have a paco or lakerboy "following" yet. So until then I try to help a few people at a time. Soon people will start nominating my posts so I can receive some bonus points. Points are fun.
                                      You'll be waiting a long time for those bonus points. Not sure if you've noticed but the nomination button is gone.

                                      Best of luck today.
                                      Comment
                                      • MadCapper
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-08
                                        • 4179

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by shari91
                                        You'll be waiting a long time for those bonus points. Not sure if you've noticed but the nomination button is gone.

                                        Best of luck today.
                                        Haha..I noticed. You can manually do it

                                        Anyway...good luck to you as well with your tennis leans.
                                        My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                        Comment
                                        • pacocn
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-05-10
                                          • 12934

                                          #21
                                          My reasoning for jumping on phil 1.price 2.due 3. left handed bats 4. latos is due for a stinker 5.padres bats cold 6.oswalt will shut em down and has done so for years 7. more important game to phillies
                                          Comment
                                          • Double Bogey
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-24-10
                                            • 1465

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by pacocn
                                            My reasoning for jumping on phil 1.price 2.due 3. left handed bats 4. latos is due for a stinker 5.padres bats cold 6.oswalt will shut em down and has done so for years 7. more important game to phillies
                                            One of the best pitchers in baseball vs one of the coldest teams in baseball, and price of +120 is your #1 reason for betting the phils?
                                            Comment
                                            • Razzzzzor
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 07-24-10
                                              • 821

                                              #23
                                              Phills FF bank it! Latos will make a mistake and give up a bomb to Victorino to lose in FF innings 2-0.
                                              Comment
                                              • MadCapper
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-27-08
                                                • 4179

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pacocn
                                                My reasoning for jumping on phil 1.price 2.due 3. left handed bats 4. latos is due for a stinker 5.padres bats cold 6.oswalt will shut em down and has done so for years 7. more important game to phillies

                                                No offense...but you just listed 7 SQUARE reasons for taking Philly tonight.
                                                My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                                Comment
                                                • starfire
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                  • 17045

                                                  #25
                                                  pacon- no such thing as "due"
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 12816

                                                    #26
                                                    I agree with MadCapper here. Phillies are playing like a bunch of bums right now. Wait until they break out.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • goallinebob
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-11-10
                                                      • 2973

                                                      #27
                                                      FYI

                                                      Oswalt 5 past
                                                      0-8-0-0-6-5-0-0-2-0
                                                      inn 6-9
                                                      3-2-3-0-1-3-4-0-1-0
                                                      game
                                                      3-10-3-0-7-8-4-0-3-0

                                                      Do like his last 3 starts in 5 and 9
                                                      _____________________________________
                                                      latos 5 past

                                                      0-0-0-0-2-2-2-0-0-0
                                                      6-9
                                                      1-2-0-1-0-0-0-1-3-3
                                                      GAME,,,
                                                      1-2-0-1-2-2-2-1-3-3


                                                      Phils are not hitting and can't see them getting much today

                                                      Latos has the best stats in runs allowed IMO than any other starter in both leagues
                                                      that said Latos esp in 5 and poss the under if Oswalt shows up today
                                                      Comment
                                                      • goallinebob
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-11-10
                                                        • 2973

                                                        #28
                                                        add the park is an UNDER pitchers Park,,,,even to high scoring teams
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pacocn
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 07-05-10
                                                          • 12934

                                                          #29
                                                          The under is at 6.5 doesn't give much room for error.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pacocn
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-05-10
                                                            • 12934

                                                            #30
                                                            pun intended
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mvp123
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-24-06
                                                              • 1736

                                                              #31
                                                              no not the due factor
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Power Play
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-01-10
                                                                • 1224

                                                                #32
                                                                Padres bats are hotter than the phillies. Ever since they signed Ludwick they've been more explosive on offense. Every time someone counts them out they reassert their status as a premier NL team.
                                                                Comment
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