Hey guys. This is my first blog. It's pretty much my first thorough analysis of a game. If I'm not allowed to post this since it's a blog mods please delete. If not great. Anyways guys I'm just looking for feedback here.
On August 28th at 8:10 PM EST the bronx bombers head into the unfriendly confines of US Cellular field to face White Sox of Chicago. It will be a pitching match up between AJ Burnett and Freddy Garcia. It will be the fourth time these two teams have met up this year.
The total at the moment is over 10 even or you can take the under at -120. In three games this season vs the Chicago White Sox the New York Yankees have averaged eight runs a game. Scoring twelve, six, and six respectively. While the Chicago White Sox have scored three, seven, and four coming in at 4.6 runs a game. In the three years previous they have played seventeen games where they scored less then ten runs only 6 times. AJ Burnett pitched one of those meetings last year and only lasted 4.2 innings and the Yanks allowed fourteen runs that particular game. Garcia has pitched twice in the past two years against the Yanks lasting six innings in both games. The White Sox allowed six and eight runs respectively in those two games. Overall this year when Garcia and Burnett has taken the mound this season the over has come through twenty-seven out of forty-seven times for 57%. In the past ten games the yanks have gone over ten runs five times while the White Sox have gone over ten seven times. In both games Garcia pitched the game went over ten runs. In the one game Burnett pitched for the Yanks he played Seattle. He pitched 7 innings and the Yanks lost 6-0. I think it's fair to say Seattle has a fairly limited offense.
For the overall season both teams are up on the over. The Yankees are 63-57-7 and the Chicago White Sox are 63-59-4.
Another aspect to note is the park factor. Is US Cellular field a hitters ball park? ESPN says so. According to their park factor stat ((homeRS + homeRA)/(homeG)) / ((roadRS + roadRA)/(roadG)) they rank 5th out of all thirty MLB fields. They come in at 1.067.
Some will note that Alex Rodriquez is out. That is not a factor. In the past four games without Alex Rodriguez they have averaged 6.5 runs per game. They have done extremely well with out him this year.
Moving onto injuries. It should be noted that each team has key relievers on the DL. Marte and Aceves are out for the Yankees while pivotal relief pitchers Thorton and Putz are out for the White Sox. Both Thorton and Putz had eaten up some innings for the White Sox and are a key loss for the team.
Another positive note is that the weather is looking nice and good for tomorrow. With a high of 82 degrees and a low of 65 degrees. It is supposed to be sunny and clear with a high humidity. Good baseball weather. That bats will be warm. Hot and humid, the ball will travel far. They also don't call it the windy city for nothing.
Another positive note is that both teams are coming off a day off. They should be refreshed. In Yankee and White Sox games ten runs have been scored after a day off fifth-teen out of thirty games. While the stat is only 50% it is noted that both teams scoring is up on games after a day off.
After reviewing all of these statistics I think the clear play is the over. It should easily come through over 50% of the time. Everything points to it. Make the bet and collect the cash.
On August 28th at 8:10 PM EST the bronx bombers head into the unfriendly confines of US Cellular field to face White Sox of Chicago. It will be a pitching match up between AJ Burnett and Freddy Garcia. It will be the fourth time these two teams have met up this year.
The total at the moment is over 10 even or you can take the under at -120. In three games this season vs the Chicago White Sox the New York Yankees have averaged eight runs a game. Scoring twelve, six, and six respectively. While the Chicago White Sox have scored three, seven, and four coming in at 4.6 runs a game. In the three years previous they have played seventeen games where they scored less then ten runs only 6 times. AJ Burnett pitched one of those meetings last year and only lasted 4.2 innings and the Yanks allowed fourteen runs that particular game. Garcia has pitched twice in the past two years against the Yanks lasting six innings in both games. The White Sox allowed six and eight runs respectively in those two games. Overall this year when Garcia and Burnett has taken the mound this season the over has come through twenty-seven out of forty-seven times for 57%. In the past ten games the yanks have gone over ten runs five times while the White Sox have gone over ten seven times. In both games Garcia pitched the game went over ten runs. In the one game Burnett pitched for the Yanks he played Seattle. He pitched 7 innings and the Yanks lost 6-0. I think it's fair to say Seattle has a fairly limited offense.
For the overall season both teams are up on the over. The Yankees are 63-57-7 and the Chicago White Sox are 63-59-4.
Another aspect to note is the park factor. Is US Cellular field a hitters ball park? ESPN says so. According to their park factor stat ((homeRS + homeRA)/(homeG)) / ((roadRS + roadRA)/(roadG)) they rank 5th out of all thirty MLB fields. They come in at 1.067.
Some will note that Alex Rodriquez is out. That is not a factor. In the past four games without Alex Rodriguez they have averaged 6.5 runs per game. They have done extremely well with out him this year.
Moving onto injuries. It should be noted that each team has key relievers on the DL. Marte and Aceves are out for the Yankees while pivotal relief pitchers Thorton and Putz are out for the White Sox. Both Thorton and Putz had eaten up some innings for the White Sox and are a key loss for the team.
Another positive note is that the weather is looking nice and good for tomorrow. With a high of 82 degrees and a low of 65 degrees. It is supposed to be sunny and clear with a high humidity. Good baseball weather. That bats will be warm. Hot and humid, the ball will travel far. They also don't call it the windy city for nothing.
Another positive note is that both teams are coming off a day off. They should be refreshed. In Yankee and White Sox games ten runs have been scored after a day off fifth-teen out of thirty games. While the stat is only 50% it is noted that both teams scoring is up on games after a day off.
After reviewing all of these statistics I think the clear play is the over. It should easily come through over 50% of the time. Everything points to it. Make the bet and collect the cash.
