Pimike's vegas plays!

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  • pimike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-23-08
    • 37140

    #1
    Pimike's vegas plays!
    Greetings my friends,

    On my way to Vegas in about 12 hours!!!!

    Will do my best to post plays here in this thread.

    Tomorrow we have to take the PADRES ML, Philly is NOT hitting, not only are they not hitting they are flying 3,000 miles for this game. LATOS is THE BEST Padres have. Here we have a young kid verses an old man. Oswalt just isn't the same guy he was years past. The Phillies are not the same dangerous team of years past either.



    PADRES ML
    LATOS/Oswalt


    I expect this line to go up. I nailed it on the overnight lines already.


    More plays to follow!
  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94382

    #2
    I dont see this line moving much at all. I think you might even be beaten by the closer. Oswalt has been solid for philly so far. Latos is due for a correction. Good luck Mike.
    Comment
    • pimike
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-23-08
      • 37140

      #3
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      I dont see this line moving much at all. I think you might even be beaten by the closer. Oswalt has been solid for philly so far. Latos is due for a correction. Good luck Mike.
      Really, I guess Phillies will all of a sudden get on a plane fly 3,000 miles and when they land in San Diego a pitchers park all of a sudden just start hitting! I have seen stranger things.

      Either way thats why its called gambling, somebody wins somebody loses.


      I think Latos should be -140-150, so yea at 125 I see value.
      Comment
      • pimike
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-23-08
        • 37140

        #4
        Latos # 1 in WHIP 0.98
        Latos # 4 in era 2.33


        Oswalt does rank #1 in something, LOSES
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94382

          #5
          Mike should i lay at least 5 digits on the padres? The stats you are putting out are scary.
          Comment
          • pimike
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-23-08
            • 37140

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Mike should i lay at least 5 digits on the padres? The stats you are putting out are scary.
            All I am trying to say is if you bet Oswalt every game this year your -units. If you bet latos you are plus units.
            Comment
            • Pauulzcappin
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-23-10
              • 20295

              #7
              Padres are pumped for this game also, but Oswalt has good numbers on Petco... how much are you putting on it, mike?
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94382

                #8
                Originally posted by pimike
                All I am trying to say is if you bet Oswalt every game this year your -units. If you bet latos you are plus units.

                Well of course Oswalt pitched for the stros most of the year.
                Comment
                • tony_come
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-31-10
                  • 21695

                  #9
                  Public will pound Phillies and the sharks will be on sd

                  "it's your money"
                  Comment
                  • pimike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-23-08
                    • 37140

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    Well of course Oswalt pitched for the stros most of the year.
                    disagree, he got roughed up quit a few times. He stunk his first game for the phills lost on the road to Washington then He beat Washington at home big deal.

                    He has right around a 3 era on the road this year. IN the National League two teams close in batting and pitching, the home field is HUGE!
                    Comment
                    • Pauulzcappin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-23-10
                      • 20295

                      #11
                      Only a few Padres hitters have had success against Oswalt, in order to win Pads are gonna need a HUGE game from Adrian...
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Interesting game.

                        Lines will tell us a lot.

                        Latos is only -130 -- something's up. If he closes at -140-150, I might take SD. If the line stays here, I'll probably go with PHI.
                        Comment
                        • Razzzzzor
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-24-10
                          • 821

                          #13
                          Originally posted by pimike
                          All I am trying to say is if you bet Oswalt every game this year your -units. If you bet latos you are plus units.
                          Exactly why the play is AGAINST Latos tomorrow. Books aren't out to keep betters in the "plus units"
                          Comment
                          • pimike
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-23-08
                            • 37140

                            #14
                            Strikeouts

                            Latos innings pitched this year 142.2 HAS 144 strike outs.

                            Oswalt innings pitched this year 162.1 Has 149 Strike outs


                            20 innings separation yet only 5 strike outs separation.


                            Oswalt averaging only little over 5 innings pitched on the road.
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94382

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Razzzzzor
                              Exactly why the play is AGAINST Latos tomorrow. Books aren't out to keep betters in the "plus units"

                              Exactly
                              Comment
                              • pimike
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-23-08
                                • 37140

                                #16
                                Lakerboy,

                                Phils can't hit, there slumping big time, now they face a stud. How could you honestly believe things will change now.
                                Comment
                                • sharper2
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-30-10
                                  • 2724

                                  #17
                                  We're basing all of the capping on the starting pitchers, what if the 8th inning comes around and its a tie game, which bullpen do you guys trust more? Padres for me
                                  Comment
                                  • pimike
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-23-08
                                    • 37140

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by sharper2
                                    We're basing all of the capping on the starting pitchers, what if the 8th inning comes around and its a tie game, which bullpen do you guys trust more? Padres for me
                                    LOL, Oswalt won't last more than 6. Padres and Phils are heading into two different directions right now.
                                    Comment
                                    • pimike
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-23-08
                                      • 37140

                                      #19
                                      Anyways good night going to bed. Whatever you play I wish you guys the best.

                                      Vegas baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                                      Thanks SBR!!


                                      Oswalt get ready to get your ass kicked!
                                      Comment
                                      • Pauulzcappin
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-23-10
                                        • 20295

                                        #20
                                        If Oswalt doesn't stay long enough, PHils are toasted.

                                        Bell, Thatcher, Stauffer, Gregerson and Adams are all rested... that counts a lot.
                                        Comment
                                        • sharper2
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-30-10
                                          • 2724

                                          #21
                                          I don't see latos going the distance, maybe 7 innings for him
                                          Comment
                                          • Pauulzcappin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-23-10
                                            • 20295

                                            #22
                                            Enjoy the bash mike.
                                            Comment
                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-23-10
                                              • 20295

                                              #23
                                              If he goes 6, that's good enough. Padres have a very well rested and good pen.
                                              Comment
                                              • pimike
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-23-08
                                                • 37140

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                If he goes 6, that's good enough. Padres have a very well rested and good pen.
                                                Night brother!!!!!!! Already locked in at 15%
                                                Comment
                                                • sharper2
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-30-10
                                                  • 2724

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                  If he goes 6, that's good enough. Padres have a very well rested and good pen.
                                                  Yes I likethe padres bullpen which is why I gave them the edge a couple posts before. I trust everyone in that bullpen, one of the few bp's this year that hasn't blown a shitload of close games.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GTeater
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 08-12-10
                                                    • 165

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pimike
                                                    LOL, Oswalt won't last more than 6. Padres and Phils are heading into two different directions right now.
                                                    You just splurged your lack of intellect all over the place by responding with this. You just put your own foot in your mouth.

                                                    Fool.


                                                    Comment
                                                    • Gee
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-08-10
                                                      • 4547

                                                      #27
                                                      wait for it...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hawk007
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 2492

                                                        #28
                                                        15%....Gulp!!!

                                                        GL Mike.
                                                        NCAA Basketball
                                                        '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                                                        '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                                                        WNBA
                                                        '10 (45-29) 64%
                                                        CFL
                                                        '10 (20-18)
                                                        NCAAF
                                                        '10 (16-7)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pauulzcappin
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-23-10
                                                          • 20295

                                                          #29
                                                          I wouldn't fade Mike in this spot, just my take.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dodger33
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-14-09
                                                            • 3962

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by sharper2
                                                            I don't see latos going the distance, maybe 7 innings for him
                                                            Latos is on a pitch count of about 100
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jcubs55
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-18-10
                                                              • 1023

                                                              #31
                                                              Wow, 15%?!?!?! That's a ton, best of luck Mike with the play, and with all the others while at the bash! Seems like Mike and lakerboy have been contesting that each respective pitcher will put up a fight... sounds like a probable under maybe??
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Salmon Steak
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-05-10
                                                                • 2110

                                                                #32
                                                                GL...everyone...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Puda
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-26-10
                                                                  • 1798

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Mike. I've gone HUGE on this 1.. BOL bro.!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Gee
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-08-10
                                                                    • 4547

                                                                    #34
                                                                    public and the line are moving toward latos. i got it at 125, now 131 on pinny. other lines haved moved too. a long time to go, but i think we beat the closer and pads take it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ger25pic25
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-19-09
                                                                      • 373

                                                                      #35
                                                                      i will tail you on this, pads simply a better team right now
                                                                      Comment
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