BUYER BEWARE.....AGAIN....Hoping to save some posters from losing more money!
Well by now you all read yesterdays thread about not betting on the huge favorites playing against teams that have youngsters playing for their lives, teams that are playing spoiler, teams that are playing loose. Once again a prize fighter went down when the lowly Astros edged Doc Halladay and the might mighty Phillies. Many people I know adhered to my warnings. But still a number of people put money on the Phillies -330 money line in individual bets, and as the anchor of all their parlays. Some bettors even got greedy and took the Phillies on the run line at a steep price of -160. Not sure why you would take a HOME team that cant score, getting 1 less at bat on the run line ever. Let alone -160. But people fell for the due theory...or maybe just the better team HAS to win theory.
Well today there might be one even worse. Why is it worse? Well for one...the price is cheaper. Secondly, the team is looking to avoid an embarrassing, perhaps devastating 3 game losing streak to very inferior teams. Chris Carpenter and the Cardinals are -190 favorites looking to avoid a 3 game losing streak against Jordan Zimmerman and the lowly Nationals. The playoff contending (pretending?) Cardinals are coming off 2 disgusting losses to the Pittsburgh Pirates. They were very big favorites in both games. They are falling further behind the division leading Reds. Now they get to feast on a weak Nationals team, with a pitcher making his FIRST start after Tommy John surgery. -190 is expensive, but considering the situation, and the importance of this game for the Cardinals, with one of their Aces on the hill....it almost seems like a cheap lock.
But, once again, I will tell you to beware. At least the Phillies were -330 favorites against Houston. So the -330 scared some people off. But -190 is cheap enough to intrigue some bettors to wager on them. This game has disaster written all over it. The Cards are in a mini-hitting slump (just as Philly is), and Zimmerman has the talent to hold the Cards down. The Nationals are a loose team. They have some offensive talent with Zimmerman, Dunn, Morgan, and Desmond. They fight. The are playing spoiler now, and they will get up for a series (at home) against Big Bad Pujols and the Cardinals.
Once again I will leave off by saying:
By no means am I telling you that Washington will win. But what I am telling you is not to put all your money on a -190 favorite in this situation. As I tell fellow bettors: "Even the best teams in baseball lose 60+ games" and "even the best pitchers in baseball barely win 50% of the games they start".
I wish you luck with whatever you decide to do. Hopefully you learned something today.
Well today there might be one even worse. Why is it worse? Well for one...the price is cheaper. Secondly, the team is looking to avoid an embarrassing, perhaps devastating 3 game losing streak to very inferior teams. Chris Carpenter and the Cardinals are -190 favorites looking to avoid a 3 game losing streak against Jordan Zimmerman and the lowly Nationals. The playoff contending (pretending?) Cardinals are coming off 2 disgusting losses to the Pittsburgh Pirates. They were very big favorites in both games. They are falling further behind the division leading Reds. Now they get to feast on a weak Nationals team, with a pitcher making his FIRST start after Tommy John surgery. -190 is expensive, but considering the situation, and the importance of this game for the Cardinals, with one of their Aces on the hill....it almost seems like a cheap lock.
But, once again, I will tell you to beware. At least the Phillies were -330 favorites against Houston. So the -330 scared some people off. But -190 is cheap enough to intrigue some bettors to wager on them. This game has disaster written all over it. The Cards are in a mini-hitting slump (just as Philly is), and Zimmerman has the talent to hold the Cards down. The Nationals are a loose team. They have some offensive talent with Zimmerman, Dunn, Morgan, and Desmond. They fight. The are playing spoiler now, and they will get up for a series (at home) against Big Bad Pujols and the Cardinals.
Once again I will leave off by saying:
By no means am I telling you that Washington will win. But what I am telling you is not to put all your money on a -190 favorite in this situation. As I tell fellow bettors: "Even the best teams in baseball lose 60+ games" and "even the best pitchers in baseball barely win 50% of the games they start".
I wish you luck with whatever you decide to do. Hopefully you learned something today.
.