Be careful with ATL today

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Be careful with ATL today
    Braves *should* win, but look at Jurrjens' road/day numbers and Rogers home/day numbers before you go too big. Not saying, necessarily, that these trends will continue, but the trends are there to consider.
  • thebertshow
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-30-07
    • 645

    #2
    I like Colorado should be a winner
    Comment
    • Popular
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-19-10
      • 433

      #3
      You have to take any of Jurrjens numbers with a grain of salt.. He performed terribly with his injury.. His last 10 games the team is 8-2 and he's given up 22 ER in 64.2 IP.. Which goes down to roughly 2 runs in 6.2 IP per game.. Rogers has been decent but he doesn't win games.. The team is 1-4 in his starts and he gave up 4 runs in 5.2 IP in his only home start after coming back up.. He's given up 8 runs in 18 IP in his 3 starts since coming up.. It's true that Jurrjens isn't as good on the road (giving up 16 of those ER over 33.1 IP which is 3 runs over 6.1 IP) as at home but he still wins games.. Before he went on the DL with his injury he was 0-3 on the road with 14 ER in in 11 IP so that's where your getting the bad road numbers from and overall in the 5 games before he went on the DL he gave up 17 ER in 23 IP.. You have to actually look at his games since then to see that he's been exponentially better since coming back
      Comment
      • Rixsaw
        SBR MVP
        • 10-23-08
        • 4532

        #4
        what's the betting trend NC? I can see this game being the #1 betting game this morning. I'm at work and can't research that part.
        Comment
        • Chris7mccabe
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-13-10
          • 188

          #5
          Ya i agree to check the trends but because of the loss yesterday I still seeing the braves pulling this one out. Jurrjens has been pretty consist ant since coming back from injury so I would probably play on the Braves if i was betting this game but I think I'll leave this one alone.
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            Originally posted by Popular
            You have to take any of Jurrjens numbers with a grain of salt.. He performed terribly with his injury.. His last 10 games the team is 8-2 and he's given up 22 ER in 64.2 IP.. Which goes down to roughly 2 runs in 6.2 IP per game.. Rogers has been decent but he doesn't win games.. The team is 1-4 in his starts and he gave up 4 runs in 5.2 IP in his only home start after coming back up.. He's given up 8 runs in 18 IP in his 3 starts since coming up.. It's true that Jurrjens isn't as good on the road (giving up 16 of those ER over 33.1 IP which is 3 runs over 6.1 IP) as at home but he still wins games.. Before he went on the DL with his injury he was 0-3 on the road with 14 ER in in 11 IP so that's where your getting the bad road numbers from and overall in the 5 games before he went on the DL he gave up 17 ER in 23 IP.. You have to actually look at his games since then to see that he's been exponentially better since coming back
            Putting all that together I think this is the call:

            Braves/Rockies UNDER 9 (+100)
            Comment
            • nobodyukno
              Restricted User
              • 12-22-09
              • 456

              #7
              I just like the odds of the Braves not losing 3 straight to the Rockies in the middle of a division hunt.
              Comment
              • Popular
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-19-10
                • 433

                #8
                Wilforth.. You're too slick for me =)
                Comment
                • sweethook
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-21-07
                  • 12667

                  #9
                  thanks for the info , but getting braves at a good price so i like it. gl.
                  Comment
                  • CHAZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 4978

                    #10
                    I like Jurrjens but I hate the Braves on the road. Plus he's a pop up pitcher at a hitters park against one of the top hitting home teams.
                    Comment
                    • alling
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-13-10
                      • 1405

                      #11
                      MLB/G- (Oakland @ Cleveland) Oakland Point Spread -1.5 (+115)
                      MLB/G- (Tampa Bay @ LA Angels) Tampa Bay Money Line -110
                      MLB/G- (St. Louis @ Pittsburgh) St. Louis Point Spread -1.5 (-110)
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Wow.
                        Comment
                        • BL
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-11-09
                          • 4070

                          #13
                          lol told u to ensure if u had the braves
                          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                          Comment
                          • limitation
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-25-09
                            • 747

                            #14
                            Never ever underestimate Rockies at home. Their hitters hit like Babe Ruth at home and on the road they all turn into Mendoza.
                            Comment
                            • sharper2
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-30-10
                              • 2724

                              #15
                              so glad i didnt have a bet on this game, sorry braves backers if you do end up losing.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                probably the worst performance after having a 8 run lead
                                Comment
                                • kdavis
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-01-09
                                  • 365

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                  probably the worst performance after having a 8 run lead
                                  Actually had nine run lead early.
                                  Comment
                                  • HOT WINGS
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-29-10
                                    • 8055

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                    probably the worst performance after having a 8 run lead



                                    Absolutely embarassing wow!
                                    Comment
                                    • RiverRaid
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-19-07
                                      • 2279

                                      #19
                                      That was a hell of a comeback. Braves going to have a hard time keeping the lead in the east.
                                      Comment
                                      • Bigcheez
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-02-09
                                        • 399

                                        #20
                                        Braves will make the playoffs then get swept.
                                        Comment
                                        • Chris7mccabe
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 08-13-10
                                          • 188

                                          #21
                                          Well no coincidences nice post today. You were completely right about the idea even though I would assume you didn't see the Bravos blowing a 10-1 lead you fool.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Chris7mccabe
                                            Well no coincidences nice post today. You were completely right about the idea even though I would assume you didn't see the Bravos blowing a 10-1 lead you fool.
                                            I didn't of course, but notice I warned people about trusting Jurrjens on the road. It's not like the bullpen did all the damage by themselves.
                                            Comment
                                            • hawley
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-10-10
                                              • 14270

                                              #23
                                              hey NoCoin after our conversation about the padres total yesterday i couldnt help myself and took it again today

                                              just reminded me how much yesterdays game should of also gone over
                                              Comment
                                              • GroundnPound
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-12-09
                                                • 4070

                                                #24
                                                I was on braves 2x such a pathetic loss I actually fell asleep when they wereleading by 9 and I woke up got onto espn scrolled down just enough where I could see atlanta was 10 and colarado had two digits near their name and I was like nah no way, and scrolled a biut more and I am like I seen it all.......
                                                Comment
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