Interesting early line movement favoring Colorado Monday.

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  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #1
    Interesting early line movement favoring Colorado Monday.
    Hudson who has been lights out for a while now opened as a favorite against Colorado and the line has dropped 5 cents since opening.

    65% of the public is on Atlanta and as a good square I might be myself also.
  • hawley
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-10-10
    • 14270

    #2
    dam, atlanta was one of my favourite (square) plays for tomorrow
    Comment
    • Pauulzcappin
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-23-10
      • 20295

      #3
      I'm gonna play it, I don't give a shit anymore and I'll probably beat the line if I make a move now.
      Comment
      • Rbyrne
        Restricted User
        • 02-10-10
        • 3054

        #4
        Braves look good....Hammel hasnt pitched good vs the Braves
        Comment
        • Pauulzcappin
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-23-10
          • 20295

          #5
          Originally posted by Rbyrne
          Braves look good....Hammel hasnt pitched good vs the Braves
          That's what I think also, both teams will travel for the game, so I don't see how that might be an issue.
          Comment
          • dolphan34
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-09-10
            • 423

            #6
            Eh it is probably as simple as Colorado being a good home team and Atlanta a mediocre road one
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              Braves scored a lot of runs today. Maybe they leave there bats in the windy city for one night. A 29-34 road team is a favorite versus a 38-20 home team. NO matter who YOU THINK is gonna win you take the Rockies every time in this situation. Im on it as well. It stood out to me right away. Just like the pads after they left chicago they had a hard time playing for 2 games cause they had to face major league talent again.
              Comment
              • Pauulzcappin
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-23-10
                • 20295

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                Braves scored a lot of runs today. Maybe they leave there bats in the windy city for one night. A 29-34 road team is a favorite versus a 38-20 home team. NO matter who YOU THINK is gonna win you take the Rockies every time in this situation. Im on it as well. It stood out to me right away. Just like the pads after they left chicago they had a hard time playing for 2 games cause they had to face major league talent again.
                You are probably right LB, I already booked Atlanta though. They have the best lineup, starting pitcher, bullpen and bench.

                Gonna look at the rest of the games, wish you the best of luck tomorrow.
                Comment
                • chibears
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-08-09
                  • 786

                  #9
                  a new day and the same dilemma arises. to be square or not to be a square?
                  Comment
                  • dynamite140
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-05-08
                    • 4958

                    #10
                    Atlanta should win it easily.
                    Comment
                    • drfunkmaster
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-29-08
                      • 11162

                      #11
                      braves win
                      Comment
                      • raiders32
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-17-10
                        • 566

                        #12
                        I like the Braves in this game.
                        Comment
                        • fury
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-20-10
                          • 1651

                          #13
                          On the Braves as well...BOL
                          Comment
                          • always-lose
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-01-09
                            • 360

                            #14
                            Just remember sometimes it's "hip to be square"
                            I like ATL. also and hope they dont leave the bats in Chicago to catch a later flight.
                            Comment
                            • gohabsgo
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-19-10
                              • 1903

                              #15
                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                              Braves scored a lot of runs today. Maybe they leave there bats in the windy city for one night. A 29-34 road team is a favorite versus a 38-20 home team. NO matter who YOU THINK is gonna win you take the Rockies every time in this situation. Im on it as well. It stood out to me right away. Just like the pads after they left chicago they had a hard time playing for 2 games cause they had to face major league talent again.
                              Atlanta has a team is not good on the road but Hudson is. He is 5-2, 2.46 era this year, got to factor this
                              Comment
                              • jorge1
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-06-10
                                • 3520

                                #16
                                Sounds like COLO is the play "situational wise" but braves comin with the better team...ill stay out of it but i root for all yall
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Colorado is my No. 1 play Monday.
                                  Comment
                                  • jorge1
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-06-10
                                    • 3520

                                    #18
                                    Yeah, but there are always positive and negative factors to everything...Hudson is 0-2 when traveling to colorado...
                                    Comment
                                    • Dukebluejms
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-21-09
                                      • 1633

                                      #19
                                      Just wrote a blog about this one. http://dukebluejms.mysbrforum.com/bl...nst-rocks.html

                                      I'm hesitant to pull the trigger on the Braves and it is because of the line movement. Everything is pointing towards ATL except for the movement... I'm gonna have to watch it tomorrow.
                                      Comment
                                      • jorge1
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-06-10
                                        • 3520

                                        #20
                                        I would play the Home Dog..
                                        Comment
                                        • lakerboy
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-02-09
                                          • 94379

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by gohabsgo
                                          Atlanta has a team is not good on the road but Hudson is. He is 5-2, 2.46 era this year, got to factor this


                                          sounds good then how about this.

                                          Hammel is 6-1 at home with a 3.36 ERA. Hudson is 0-2 in COLO lifetime with 13 runs allowed in 9 innings of pitching. Stats mean little in sports my friend. THe braves are only -125 with there man on the mound coming off a 16 run performance versus a team that lost 2 of 3 in zona. Colo is the value play here.
                                          Comment
                                          • mcbogo
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 06-09-10
                                            • 192

                                            #22
                                            on colorado too
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Dukebluejms
                                              Just wrote a blog about this one. http://dukebluejms.mysbrforum.com/bl...nst-rocks.html

                                              I'm hesitant to pull the trigger on the Braves and it is because of the line movement. Everything is pointing towards ATL except for the movement... I'm gonna have to watch it tomorrow.
                                              I don't agree with this at all.
                                              Comment
                                              • Eagle1958
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-23-10
                                                • 577

                                                #24
                                                Colorado is the way to go in this spot. All of the intangibles favor them on Monday.
                                                Comment
                                                • jorge1
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-06-10
                                                  • 3520

                                                  #25
                                                  I agree, its either COLO or nothing...No factors point towards Braves here as a solid play. You might lean, but not really a solid play...and as far as COLO, in my opinion, is a good good situational play for the reasons mentioned by many of those above
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-23-10
                                                    • 20295

                                                    #26
                                                    Yea, you guys are right, take Colorado it's free money
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Q
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-16-09
                                                      • 662

                                                      #27
                                                      The rockies havent been hitting very well.. And the braves scored 25 runs this weekend, i think i may go with the braves tomorrow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                        Yea, you guys are right, take Colorado it's free money




                                                        Nice one paul. Its a tossup game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CBASS
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-10
                                                          • 2613

                                                          #29
                                                          Everyone is giving good feedback and all. Honestly, after reading the arguments made for each team, I am going to just stay away. Hudson is a beast and Atlanta has been hitting the ball well. Colorado fits a nice system play in this spot. They also kick azz at home. I don't really see a clear cut advantage here. I will just move on to the next one. GL to all who play on this game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AceKingHigh
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-23-09
                                                            • 3888

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm on Colorado as well
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HOT WINGS
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-29-10
                                                              • 8055

                                                              #31
                                                              Another stat for stat guys Colorado 3-9 in last 12 as a dog so they dont do to well in that situation. I like ATL here but how can you not. Hudson has allowed only 4 runs in his last 6 games. Hammels has allowed 22 in his last 6 games. I have been riding Hudson for last 2 months but think I will lay off this game. I doubt Hudson has been over a -150 fav on road all year so line dont seem to far off considering Rox are good home team. GL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cala56
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-25-10
                                                                • 4231

                                                                #32
                                                                Put money in colorado is a crazy movement
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ger25pic25
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-19-09
                                                                  • 373

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i picked Atlanta but with this movement no play for me
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HOT WINGS
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                                    • 8055

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Hammel is 0-3 vs ATL as well and last game didnt make it out of the 2nd inning.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Glitch
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-08-09
                                                                      • 11795

                                                                      #35
                                                                      wouldnt recommend goin against the braves with that lineup and how they're playin this year. especially not with hudson on the mound. but there may be legitimate rationale for passing them up. fishy.
                                                                      Comment
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