Saturday early game, NY vs Seattle

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  • Canada
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-14-10
    • 287

    #1
    Saturday early game, NY vs Seattle
    The last time Seattle came to NY they won 2 out of three, and this series has seattle taking the first game, and today.

    I'm taking vargas and +1.5 at +105. vargas has a 1.29 start against NY and has pitched well lately going for his fourth straight win, and fifth win in six starts.

    Am I missing anything here?
  • Popular
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-19-10
    • 433

    #2
    Yanks are averaging nearly 7 runs a game against lefties at home as well as after a loss.. In the same situation M's average 3 runs away and 4 runs after a win against a right handed pitcher.. Vargas 4.43 ERA away giving up 30 ER in 60 innings.. He pitches much better during the day than at night with a 2.67 ERA vs a 3.46 ERA.. Vazquez Has a 4.86 ERA at home giving up 27 ER in 50 innings.. He pitches much worse during the day than at night with a 6.16 ERA vs a 4.35.. While Vazquez definitely has the worse numbers in the pitching match-up the Yanks have the far superior hitting numbers in this situation.. It's hard to take a +1.5 considering the Yanks feast on relievers and Vargas on average only goes roughly 6.1 innings into games.. Just some things to think about.. Good luck with your bet =)
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30054

      #3
      A Rod is in.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        I'm surprised A-Rod's playing. Are you sure, Snow?

        I said it last night: SEA has the superior pitcher here without question, but I'm not sure that will be enough.
        Comment
        • bigsmitty
          SBR MVP
          • 04-12-10
          • 3026

          #5
          Not enough for me to back FLA and enough to make me think NYY are setting up the hammocks as we speak-no play for me. Cheers
          Comment
          • swaindexter
            SBR MVP
            • 02-27-07
            • 1228

            #6
            I agree with Sea keeping it close. For some strange reason, da Yanks have trouble with the lonely Mariners. I like the pick of +1.5 runs. Good luck with your wager today...............
            Comment
            • I_WILL_WIN
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-19-10
              • 495

              #7
              Read this and you will decide to change your mind. Its a 865 word write up by me. Thanks!
              Comment
              • Popular
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-19-10
                • 433

                #8
                Yanks perform in game 2's of a series going 12-5 after a game 1 loss.. If anything yesterday was their hammock day because it will be much easier today to get after a leftie in vargas (which they do much much better at) than it was a rightie in king felix yesterday.. Impossible to bet vasquez at -200+ though because he isn't worth it.. Also the season series is at 4-4.. In the yanks 4 wins they've won by 6 5 2 and 2.. So it's either you think the M's will beat them outright at amazing value or you think the yanks will get it done.. Not much middle ground.. That said I'm loving the over =)
                Comment
                • I_WILL_WIN
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-19-10
                  • 495

                  #9
                  Link Not Working - Removed-)
                  Comment
                  • syy211
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-28-09
                    • 468

                    #10
                    vargas and +1.5 looks good
                    Comment
                    • I_WILL_WIN
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 07-19-10
                      • 495

                      #11
                      HELL NO

                      Vargas and +1.5 is a trap!

                      You can lose your money if you want but I have a nice write up on this game and Seattle doesn't even have a chance in hell with winning even with the +1.5.
                      Comment
                      • Popular
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-19-10
                        • 433

                        #12
                        It's not a trap it's just not as much value as the M's money line is.. Yanks don't win many games by only 1 run and they haven't beaten the M's by only 1 run in over 10 victories(During a 20 game span).. It's just not good value.. Bet less and win more with the M's money line or leave it alone
                        Comment
                        • Popular
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-19-10
                          • 433

                          #13
                          To put it in even more perspective the M's have only one 1 of their 10 victories over the last 20 meetings by only 1 run.. These games DO NOT END in 1 run victories/losses.. But it's your bets =)
                          Comment
                          • haveuseenm
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-10-10
                            • 940

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Snowball
                            A Rod is in.
                            I believe he's out
                            Comment
                            • phLLyphan11
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-15-09
                              • 322

                              #15
                              A-Rod is out but I still like the Yanks.
                              Comment
                              • 2Bdown
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-30-09
                                • 484

                                #16
                                like the yanks here
                                Comment
                                • Canada
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-14-10
                                  • 287

                                  #17
                                  thanks for the input

                                  placed $110 to win $110.

                                  An hour ago it was +105, now -111.

                                  The public like mariners, maybe it was a trap.
                                  Comment
                                  • jorge1
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-06-10
                                    • 3520

                                    #18
                                    i like Yanks TT U5 here...Yanks never score much on the mariners...i see this going 3-2 or 4-2...
                                    Comment
                                    • Canada
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-14-10
                                      • 287

                                      #19
                                      i took the under too!
                                      Comment
                                      • mcbaseball10
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-11-09
                                        • 2866

                                        #20
                                        I'm on the U5 1st 5 and Seattle +178 1st 5

                                        Good luck with your plays.
                                        Comment
                                        • Canada
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-14-10
                                          • 287

                                          #21
                                          ichiro opens with a long ball, good start, not on the under.

                                          there's another long ball 2-0 seattle
                                          Comment
                                          • mcbaseball10
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-11-09
                                            • 2866

                                            #22
                                            First upper deck shot at Yankee Stadium.
                                            Comment
                                            • Popular
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 08-19-10
                                              • 433

                                              #23
                                              I told you everything you needed to know about the game.. This was bound to happen.. The yanks are going to hit also.. It's going to be a fun game
                                              Comment
                                              • Canada
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 02-14-10
                                                • 287

                                                #24
                                                it wouldn't suprise me to see a 2-0 game or a 10-9 game, hopefully the former is more likely
                                                Comment
                                                • Popular
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-19-10
                                                  • 433

                                                  #25
                                                  Well that means one of us will win =).. Good luck lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Canada
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-14-10
                                                    • 287

                                                    #26
                                                    no Aroid?
                                                    2-2
                                                    so much for the under
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Popular
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-19-10
                                                      • 433

                                                      #27
                                                      Which RL did you take?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CollegePro
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-23-09
                                                        • 4006

                                                        #28
                                                        4-2 yankees!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sportsfanatic
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-10-07
                                                          • 3967

                                                          #29
                                                          damn. i knew the mariners were a trap bet, but i couldn't help myself.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Popular
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-19-10
                                                            • 433

                                                            #30
                                                            Game is far from over.. Very far.. M's are just as viable as Yanks right now.. Wait until it's over to worry =)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Canada
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-14-10
                                                              • 287

                                                              #31
                                                              ny is playing terrible defense, thank you
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Canada
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 02-14-10
                                                                • 287

                                                                #32
                                                                scary to the wall with bases loaded. 4-4 okay
                                                                Comment
                                                                • chaseutleyfan26
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                                  • 218

                                                                  #33
                                                                  dang, its been a crazy game so far
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sportsfanatic
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-10-07
                                                                    • 3967

                                                                    #34
                                                                    damn yankees. not looking good for mariners.
                                                                    Comment
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