Hey guys, didn't start posting plays until midseason after a hot start and my record posting is 33-34 +1.851 Units. I have done well on my bigger plays, nailing my only 3 Unit play a couple days ago on the Padres over my hometown Cubbies, and hitting 3 out of 5 2 Unit plays. Really like this one for Friday.
8/20:
Gotta get this one in early as I expect the line to move up.
Minnesota Twins -137 risking 5.48 Units to win 4.0 Units (Biggest play this year)
The Angels should struggle again offensively (2.6 RPG L7) against the young lefty (as they usually do vs LHPs: 4.0 RPG and a .243 team BA) Brian Duensing who is dominant at home, and the Twins' bats should bounce back after being shut out today. Haren has struggled on the road this year (4.93 ERA, 1.41 WHIP) and should get shelled by a Twins team that is averaging 5.2 RPG against righties with a .285 team BA. The bullpen matchup clearly favors the Twinkies as well. Minny is 38-20 at Target Field this year and the Angels struggle on the road (27-35). As a home favorite of -125 to -150, the Twins are an absurd 20-3 this year. Vegas has had this team undervalued at home all year long and they do again today. IMO Twins should be around -165 in this game. Gotta jump on value when you see it. GL.
8/20:
Gotta get this one in early as I expect the line to move up.
Minnesota Twins -137 risking 5.48 Units to win 4.0 Units (Biggest play this year)
The Angels should struggle again offensively (2.6 RPG L7) against the young lefty (as they usually do vs LHPs: 4.0 RPG and a .243 team BA) Brian Duensing who is dominant at home, and the Twins' bats should bounce back after being shut out today. Haren has struggled on the road this year (4.93 ERA, 1.41 WHIP) and should get shelled by a Twins team that is averaging 5.2 RPG against righties with a .285 team BA. The bullpen matchup clearly favors the Twinkies as well. Minny is 38-20 at Target Field this year and the Angels struggle on the road (27-35). As a home favorite of -125 to -150, the Twins are an absurd 20-3 this year. Vegas has had this team undervalued at home all year long and they do again today. IMO Twins should be around -165 in this game. Gotta jump on value when you see it. GL.
