Cards RL Blog Take #2 (Now 15-4)

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  • gamble
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-10
    • 1087

    #1
    Cards RL Blog Take #2 (Now 15-4)
    Ok the last time I tried betting the Cardinals on the RL Carpenter let me down against the Cubs. I have more faith in Wainwright in this game however to get me a win.

    The St Louis Cardinals will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers in this game on Wednesday afternoon for game 2 of the series. The Brewers took the first game of this series by a score of 3-2 in a game where the Brewers scored runs off costly errors by 3B Felipe Lopez. He botched 2 groundballs that both let runners on and allowed them to score as well. Although the defense did let start Jamie Garcia down, the offense is what cost the Cardinals the game last night in my opinion. They had many key chances in the game with runners on, and couldn't get the big hit to win this game. They shouldn't need too many runs in this game however, with their ace pitching on Wednesday. The Cards are currently listed as -240 favorites, and -120 RL favorites for Wednesday afternoon against the Brewers, with the run total being set at 7.5 runs.

    Adam Wainwright will be pitching for the Cardinals on Wednesday afternoon, and there are so many stellar statistics for this game your head will spin. To start off, Wainwright's overall ERA is at 1.99 with a disgusting 0.97 WHIP. Those numbers get even better when he pitches during the day, where he has a 1.30 ERA and a 9-0 record. They dip even lower when he pitches at home, where he has a 1.22 ERA and an 11-0 record. In his career, he has a 7-3 record against the Brew Crew, with an ERA of 1.94. He has already pitched against the Brewers twice this year, pitching 2 complete games and only surrendering 1 run in those 2 complete games. To top it all off, the top 6 hitters in the Brewer lineup (Braun, Fielder, Hart, Weeks, McGhee, and Escobar) are hitting a combined .189 off of Wainwright for their career. Bottom line is Wainwright has proven himself against these hitters and I would be shocked if they have much success at all against him. On the other side Randy Wolf will be pitching for the Milwaukee Brewers. He has mediocre numbers for this year, sporting a 4.86 ERA overall with a 1.52 WHIP. His numbers are even worse on the road this year, where his ERA balloons to 5.18 and his WHIP moves to 1.51. The Cardinals have also been hitting lefties well this year, and have been hitting better at home all year.

    I expect the Brewers to get shut down on Wednesday afternoon, as they did not hit that well on Tuesday night to begin with. Facing the Cy Young contender shouldn't help them any either. The Cardinals should be able to get some runs in this game, as Pujols have been absolutely on fire of late, hitting home runs in 7 of his last 13 games. Coming off a loss, the Cardinals should respond well with a big win. Play the Cardinals RL on Wednesday afternoon against the Brewers at -120.
  • jorge1
    SBR MVP
    • 02-06-10
    • 3520

    #2
    more coin for your effort!!! please dont beat me up if the TB RL doesnt cash...i feel bad after seeing the amt of work you put in cappin, compared to me just simply going with my gut on this one... BOL my friend!!!
    Comment
    • tatddy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-02-10
      • 10779

      #3
      Good luck. I got in for 1 unit at -115 earlier. Seems this should play out like you outlined more often than not.
      Comment
      • gamble
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-10
        • 1087

        #4
        Originally posted by jorge1
        more coin for your effort!!! please dont beat me up if the TB RL doesnt cash...i feel bad after seeing the amt of work you put in cappin, compared to me just simply going with my gut on this one... BOL my friend!!!
        thanks for the points man, and nah i like the tampa bay game with you as well, it looks good to me, I think we'll get that one too. thanks for the praise, good luck to you as well
        Comment
        • Pauulzcappin
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-23-10
          • 20295

          #5
          Comment
          • gamble
            SBR MVP
            • 06-30-10
            • 1087

            #6
            alright i'm out for the night, let me know if you guys like this pick or any other comments
            Comment
            • Tommy_de1st
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-10
              • 8397

              #7
              I like Cards RL very much but what scares me is that every person in the workd is gonna be on 'em
              Comment
              • Meyhem
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-05-10
                • 531

                #8
                always a good read gamble cheers for ya picks
                Comment
                • WiseGrumpy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-30-10
                  • 3654

                  #9
                  Love the pick, one of my three monsters today.
                  Comment
                  • Sportsbetting123
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-01-08
                    • 1400

                    #10
                    This is a good matchup - I like the under. Best of luck!
                    Comment
                    • kobefanatic
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-19-10
                      • 9013

                      #11
                      like the cards RL as well
                      Comment
                      • GTeater
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-12-10
                        • 165

                        #12
                        Looks good, thanks for the analysis .
                        Comment
                        • cala56
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-25-10
                          • 4231

                          #13
                          I love cardinals rl tonight, is my big play
                          Comment
                          • Regul8er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-06-07
                            • 10666

                            #14
                            Goodluck with your play sir. Certainly looks like the right side, but you just never with these games.
                            Comment
                            • apwmel
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-26-09
                              • 789

                              #15
                              I have the cards as well. I'm even going to play them on the -2.5 line.
                              Comment
                              • Lion4Life
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-30-10
                                • 797

                                #16
                                I like it, nice write up. Good luck!
                                Comment
                                • gamble
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-30-10
                                  • 1087

                                  #17
                                  Line movement making it look good to me, moving towards the cards
                                  Comment
                                  • Allure
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-18-10
                                    • 7606

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by gamble
                                    Line movement making it look good to me, moving towards the cards
                                    You think line movements in baseball are worth considering? Imo they are not, but..
                                    Comment
                                    • gamble
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-30-10
                                      • 1087

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Allure
                                      You think line movements in baseball are worth considering? Imo they are not, but..
                                      In baseball I don't think they are much to consider, but I figured I'd throw it out there
                                      Comment
                                      • kboiler
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 418

                                        #20
                                        Nice write up man. Good luck with your pick
                                        Comment
                                        • JohnnyD4916
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-14-10
                                          • 1572

                                          #21
                                          Im on it
                                          Comment
                                          • jorge1
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-06-10
                                            • 3520

                                            #22
                                            Gamble, buddyyyy, hope you are enjoying the games so far...That TB game really coming together huh? Wainwright is killin them BTW...and SD is comin through EARLY!!!

                                            This afternoon is lookin GOOD!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • gamble
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-30-10
                                              • 1087

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by jorge1
                                              Gamble, buddyyyy, hope you are enjoying the games so far...That TB game really coming together huh? Wainwright is killin them BTW...and SD is comin through EARLY!!!

                                              This afternoon is lookin GOOD!!!
                                              Ha I know, I told you that your rays would do it, lets hope they hold on. And wainwright looks good but we need some damn runs still. I'd say were looking good right now
                                              Comment
                                              • lunchbawks
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-31-10
                                                • 12873

                                                #24
                                                wolf throwing a NO HITTER
                                                Comment
                                                • POTVINSUX
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-14-08
                                                  • 2423

                                                  #25
                                                  Not for long, Wolf is going to be opened up
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SRBI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-20-09
                                                    • 8393

                                                    #26
                                                    Not lookin too great right now...at least Brewers were able to get men on base, Cards can't even do that right now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BravesFan
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-13-10
                                                      • 505

                                                      #27
                                                      WTF RyaN? DOUBLE PLAY???? omfg i need this runline
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Rbyrne
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-10-10
                                                        • 3054

                                                        #28
                                                        Cardinals only have one hit and Wainwright got that hit so im a little worried at this point...Cards need runners and then the long ball
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gamble
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-30-10
                                                          • 1087

                                                          #29
                                                          yea they need to get pujols up with a runner on, i can't see them getting shut down by wolf all game but who knows
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SRBI
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-20-09
                                                            • 8393

                                                            #30
                                                            Yeah I had a feeling this would be the problem...Cards can't hit the ball if it came at em at 30mph...where the fuqq is the offense?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GroundnPound
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-12-09
                                                              • 4070

                                                              #31
                                                              Talked myself out of the under because I have seen Wolf lighted up so many times. But Cardinaals can't do shit to him.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rbyrne
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-10-10
                                                                • 3054

                                                                #32
                                                                i cant believe the Cards offense cant even work the pitch count and get a walk
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CollegePro
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-23-09
                                                                  • 4006

                                                                  #33
                                                                  lead off double by brewers to start the inning... this does not look good at all
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SRBI
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-20-09
                                                                    • 8393

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I fuqqin hate baseball, why do I bet this god awful crap of a sport? Better off givin my money to some home-less person.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gamble
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-30-10
                                                                      • 1087

                                                                      #35
                                                                      not worried yet, wainwright is incredible with runners on, should get out of this
                                                                      Comment
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