Oakland -123, under 7.5 +100?? I like

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  • tatddy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-02-10
    • 10779

    #1
    Oakland -123, under 7.5 +100?? I like
    Would have actually preferred to see this at -140 or so just to be sure that I'm not missing something. Initially, I love OAK ML (and the under for less) here for a day game on Wednesday. Let's see...

    OAK has momentum from their convincing win tonight even with no offense
    TOR doesn't hit lefties well (see how bad they looked against Braden tonight with your own eyes)
    OAK is 28-12 in day games
    Gio Gonzalez is 6-1 2.10 era 0.93 WHIP in day games
    Home team is 4-0 in Marquezs last 4 games behind home plate.
    Home team is 6-0 in Marquezs last 6 games behind home plate vs. Toronto

    Not as sure on the under after further research..especially considering how bad TOR pen can be
    Over is 6-0 in Marquezs last 6 games behind home plate vs. Oakland
    Over is 9-1 in Blue Jays last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30


    OAK ML -124 Booked 3.5X
  • runnershane14
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-23-07
    • 803

    #2
    good luck to you
    Comment
    • tatddy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-02-10
      • 10779

      #3
      Originally posted by runnershane14
      good luck to you
      Thank you!

      Update - I've booked this 3.5X at -124
      Comment
      • gamble
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-10
        • 1087

        #4
        looks pretty good, some good stats on gio as well, i should be on it as well
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          I don't understand this line at all.
          Comment
          • tatddy
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-02-10
            • 10779

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            I don't understand this line at all.
            Oakland stinks, Toronto doesn't stink. Not always more to it than that. Tor's pitcher (not looking up that spelling) has had good statistical lines overstating his value. He's not that good.
            Comment
            • lunchbawks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-31-10
              • 12873

              #7
              No play here, T should choke, and Oakland should choke, how can you pick a winner?
              Comment
              • tatddy
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-02-10
                • 10779

                #8
                Originally posted by lunchbawks
                No play here, T should choke, and Oakland should choke, how can you pick a winner?
                OAK 35-25 at home and I listed their day game stats. Just going with the better pitcher on the better situational team at a good value
                Comment
                • lunchbawks
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-31-10
                  • 12873

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tatddy
                  OAK 35-25 at home and I listed their day game stats. Just going with the better pitcher on the better situational team at a good value
                  Every team is a better situational team than the blue jays... Jays don't steal bases, or bunt
                  Comment
                  • tatddy
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-02-10
                    • 10779

                    #10
                    This line is down to -119 at some places now? OK I don't like it. 56% on OAK and the line dropping?
                    Comment
                    • tatddy
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-02-10
                      • 10779

                      #11
                      Anyone have any insight on this line? I'm still perplexed. Expected -140 or so.
                      Comment
                      • lunchbawks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-31-10
                        • 12873

                        #12
                        What? This line makes total sense, not strange at all IMO.
                        Comment
                        • tatddy
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-02-10
                          • 10779

                          #13
                          Originally posted by lunchbawks
                          What? This line makes total sense, not strange at all IMO.
                          Why would the line be moving in favor of TOR?
                          Comment
                          • tatddy
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-02-10
                            • 10779

                            #14
                            I'm thinking of putting in an additional unit on the over. Based on the stats above and the day game trends in oak.
                            Comment
                            • lunchbawks
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-31-10
                              • 12873

                              #15
                              I like many others think the jays will win, but then again i usually lose day games
                              Comment
                              • tatddy
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-02-10
                                • 10779

                                #16
                                Doesn't appear as though anyone tailed but if you did, congrats. That game played out perfectly until the putrid top of the 9th. Win is a win.
                                Comment
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