Orioles vs. Indians Play!

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  • Mr Windy City
    Restricted User
    • 12-27-09
    • 5018

    #1
    Orioles vs. Indians Play!
    First the recap, aggravating day yesterday, went 2-2 and lost the juice. Let's get back to winning. For tonight, I'm breaking down this Orioles/Indians game. We have Kevin Millwood going for the Orioles and Jeanmar Gomez going for the Indians. Let's talk about Millwood first. He is a miserable 2-11 on the year with a 5.84 ERA. In his last 3 starts he is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.82. His opponents on base percentage in those starts is a whopping .392 and he has given up 25 hits in only 17 innings pitched. His team is failing miserably to give him any support as they are averaging 2.67 runs in his starts while his opponent is averaging over double that with 5.67 runs per start. Millwood is a horrible road pitcher. He is currently 1-7 on the road this year with an ERA of 6.24. He's basically batting practice on the road I guess, he has given up 87 hits in only 62 innings pitched, 46 runs, and 21 walks. His team is 1-10 this year when he takes the mound on the road and again his team only gives him 2.75 runs of support while opponents are doubling it at 5.17.

    Jeanmar Gomez is pitching for the Indians tonight. There isn't a ton of info on him, but what we do have looks impressive. He 2-0 on the year with a low 1.56 ERA. He has pitched 17.1 innings, giving up 14 hits, 3 earned runs, and 9 punch out's. One of those starts came at home where he pitched against the Twins and shut them down. He went 5.1 innings, only giving up 4 hits, 1 earned run, and struck out 3. If he can do that against the hot bats of the Twins, what can he do against the Orioles? Lance Barksdale is the umpire in tonight's game. He is a pretty consistent umpire, home teams are 10-12 on the year and the over/under is 10-11 when he calls the balls and strikes. However, the Home team is 17-6 in Barksdales last 23 games behind home plate vs. Baltimore (73%), and the Home team is 5-2 in Barksdales last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. With Millwood on the mound, the Orioles are not in a very good situation. As I looked into the match up, I found out the Orioles are 0-4 in Millwoods last 4 starts vs. American League Central. Orioles are 1-10 in Millwoods last 11 road starts, and they are 1-7 in Millwoods last 8 starts with 4 days of rest. Also found out the Orioles seem to have trouble keeping offenses in check after shutting them down the day before as they are 16-43 in their last 59 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game (29%). Indians also usually bounce back after a poor offense outing as they are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. And last but not least, even after winning the first 2 of the series the Orioles are still a lousy 11-28 in the last 39 meetings in Cleveland (29%). Yes, the Orioles have been playing some hot ball, but tonight is the night their streak ends. Millwood is a bum, and the Indians are going to hit him tonight. Gomez has showed nice form in his lone 2 starts and I think he's going to take care of this lineup. Just worried about how long he will stay in for. Nevertheless, my play is the Indians tonight and I wish all my friends good luck! Fade or play, let's all have a profitable night


    Cleveland Indians -1 (+109)
    Risking 200 to Win 218
  • darkenergy
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 4013

    #2
    I really like this play MR. WC. Booked it earlier @ -140, line now only -129.
    The only thing I really worry is Cleveland can't hit nothing right now.
    I wish someone will sketch Obama face on the ball ( I mean Bin Ladin) so Cleveland can hit the shit out of it.
    Best of luck to us tonight bro
    Comment
    • Bostongambler
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-01-08
      • 35581

      #3
      Yea,,, Thats how I see it. Nice write up.
      Comment
      • mcmc
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-09-09
        • 763

        #4
        Good luck on the play.

        What do you think about a Cleve 1st5, assuming Millwood comes out of the gate slowly?
        Comment
        • D3 Mighty Ducks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-17-09
          • 11939

          #5
          Under 9.5 -108. Thank me later
          Comment
          • hostile takeover
            SBR MVP
            • 12-06-09
            • 2258

            #6
            I'd take the Orioles against anyone right now... unless Millwood is pitching!
            Comment
            • Mr Windy City
              Restricted User
              • 12-27-09
              • 5018

              #7
              Originally posted by mcmc
              Good luck on the play. What do you think about a Cleve 1st5, assuming Millwood comes out of the gate slowly?
              Yea I think that's a good play as well. I noticed first 5 line is higher than game line so you should be good. I also like Cleveland team total over 4½ -115. Good Luck!
              Comment
              • Mr Windy City
                Restricted User
                • 12-27-09
                • 5018

                #8
                Originally posted by Bostongambler
                Yea,,, Thats how I see it. Nice write up.
                Thanks, good luck if you play it!

                Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                Under 9.5 -108. Thank me later
                Good luck on that under D3, I'm going to stay off I think the Indians put up at least 5.
                Comment
                • Mr Windy City
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-27-09
                  • 5018

                  #9
                  Originally posted by hostile takeover
                  I'd take the Orioles against anyone right now... unless Millwood is pitching!
                  Haha, exactly! Their streak ends tonight.
                  Comment
                  • WeinketoWarrick
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-30-09
                    • 1698

                    #10
                    on the indians as well. gl to us.
                    Comment
                    • ICE-BLOOD
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-21-08
                      • 1004

                      #11
                      Good info

                      Indians with gomez looks good
                      Comment
                      • Mr Windy City
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 5018

                        #12
                        Originally posted by WeinketoWarrick
                        on the indians as well. gl to us.
                        Let's get it!

                        Originally posted by ICE-BLOOD
                        Good info Indians with gomez looks good
                        Yes they do. GL Ice-Blood!
                        Comment
                        • Mr Windy City
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-27-09
                          • 5018

                          #13
                          F it. Playing this parlay as well:

                          CLEVELAND: J GOMEZ (-125)
                          NEW YORK A: C SABATHIA -1.5 (-150)
                          MINNESOTA: F LIRIANO (+115)
                          Risking 50 to Win 272
                          Comment
                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-17-09
                            • 11939

                            #14
                            I'm the Yanks ML. I'll take that pitching match-up any day!
                            Comment
                            • limitation
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-25-09
                              • 747

                              #15
                              With you on the Indians and Yankees parlay. Let's get this!
                              Comment
                              • BookieRobber
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-29-10
                                • 346

                                #16
                                good luck W.C. im with u on this as always...
                                Comment
                                • gravy
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 07-04-10
                                  • 319

                                  #17
                                  1-0 Indians going to the top of the second
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr Windy City
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-27-09
                                    • 5018

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by limitation
                                    With you on the Indians and Yankees parlay. Let's get this!
                                    Let's get it limit!

                                    Originally posted by BookieRobber
                                    good luck W.C. im with u on this as always...
                                    Thanks BR, 2-0 Indians!
                                    Comment
                                    • limitation
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-25-09
                                      • 747

                                      #19
                                      Nice start, WC. As always nice write up from you. Millwood has to be the worst pitcher in the big league at the moment.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr Windy City
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-27-09
                                        • 5018

                                        #20
                                        jesus, does anyone else feel like it should be AT LEAST 4-0. I will take it, but they could be up a lot more the way this one's going.
                                        Comment
                                        • darkenergy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 4013

                                          #21
                                          I hope Cleveland at least hold on to the lead. I play both 1st 5, and game
                                          Comment
                                          • thebestthereis
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-01-09
                                            • 11459

                                            #22
                                            like cleveland only because they opened -150 and that high of a moneyline is a total joke, orioles are a huge sucker play. cleveland should not be -150 over anyone except the rock n roll hall of fame employee softball team. good luck with it!
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr Windy City
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-27-09
                                              • 5018

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by darkenergy
                                              I hope Cleveland at least hold on to the lead. I play both 1st 5, and game
                                              There you go buddy, FF is a winner! Good work.

                                              Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                              like cleveland only because they opened -150 and that high of a moneyline is a total joke, orioles are a huge sucker play. cleveland should not be -150 over anyone except the rock n roll hall of fame employee softball team. good luck with it!
                                              Hahaha. Exactly. And that's why I wasn't deterred from the line movement. It was all square money riding a hot team that was making the line drop
                                              Comment
                                              • boeing power
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-23-10
                                                • 9698

                                                #24
                                                so far so good and cappinclown is on balty
                                                Comment
                                                • darkenergy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-08-09
                                                  • 4013

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Mr Windy City
                                                  There you go buddy, FF is a winner! Good work.
                                                  Thanks. Now Cleveland need to keep those foot on that gas pedal for all of us ........bigger ticket need to be cash.

                                                  Honestly, I recently thinking books start to f*cking around with the lines. I start ignore/or pay less attention to line movement.

                                                  When I booked was -140, by the time MR. WC released line at -129, then drop to -123 before game time....but the % on O's study rise from 57 to 60% or something like that.
                                                  I got a little nervous there, but I do think a lot of people riding O's from their recent hot streak........................or fading Mr. WC hahahahahha.

                                                  Anyway, keep cross the fingers
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr Windy City
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 5018

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by darkenergy
                                                    Thanks. Now Cleveland need to keep those foot on that gas pedal for all of us ........bigger ticket need to be cash. Honestly, I recently thinking books start to f*cking around with the lines. I start ignore/or pay less attention to line movement. When I booked was -140, by the time MR. WC released line at -129, then drop to -123 before game time....but the % on O's study rise from 57 to 60% or something like that. I got a little nervous there, but I do think a lot of people riding O's from their recent hot streak........................or fading Mr. WC hahahahahha. Anyway, keep cross the fingers
                                                    It was moving down because of everyone riding the hot O's. Fine by me if they wanna fade, won't work out in the long run for 'em
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mr Windy City
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-27-09
                                                      • 5018

                                                      #27
                                                      nice little insurance run right there! 3 more outs!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beanbag
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-21-10
                                                        • 2364

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beanbag
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-10
                                                          • 2364

                                                          #29
                                                          great pla
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr Windy City
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-27-09
                                                            • 5018

                                                            #30
                                                            thanks beanbag.

                                                            4-1 Indians win. Congrats backers.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • limitation
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-25-09
                                                              • 747

                                                              #31
                                                              Good job with the write up, WC.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mr Windy City
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-27-09
                                                                • 5018

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Mr Windy City
                                                                F it. Playing this parlay as well: CLEVELAND: J GOMEZ (-125) NEW YORK A: C SABATHIA -1.5 (-150) MINNESOTA: F LIRIANO (+115) Risking 50 to Win 272
                                                                now let's finish this one off.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mr Windy City
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                                  • 5018

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by limitation
                                                                  Good job with the write up, WC.
                                                                  thanks limit. Glad we cashed.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shermanator
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-27-10
                                                                    • 510

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Was with you on this except I was on the runline +150.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • limitation
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-25-09
                                                                      • 747

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Now I just need Yankees to hold the lead to cash my parlay. I will be cheering for you on the Twins.
                                                                      Comment
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