Facts behind the picks - 8.12

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • WiseGrumpy
    SBR MVP
    • 04-30-10
    • 3654

    #1
    Facts behind the picks - 8.12
    Giants Vs Cubs UNDER 7 +100:


    Under is 5-0 in Wells' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Under is 10-1 in Wells' last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Under is 5-0 in Cains last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
    Under is 12-3 in Cains last 15 starts vs. National League Central.
    Under is 4-0 in Cains last 4 starts vs. Cubs.

    Under is 6-0 in Randazzos last 6 Thursday games behind home plate.
    Under is 4-1-1 in Randazzos last 6 games behind home plate.

    With one of the best umps for UNDER's, one of the best home pitchers in the league and the best pitcher on this pathetic Cubs team, this looks like a VERY solid bet.
    Cain is amazing at home, these two teams don't hit well at all and if Cain's keeps the 0-3-0-3 count of earned runs, today the Cubs won't score a run.

    Phillies +114:


    Phillies are 5-0 in Blantons last 5 home starts.
    Dodgers are 0-4 in Kershaws last 4 starts vs. Phillies.
    Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games with Tichenor behind home plate.
    Home team is 4-0 in Tichenors last 4 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.

    A lot of things favor the Phillies in this game and with this price it's a must bet. Kershaw doesn't play well against the Phillies, he's 0-4 with a 7.83 ERA in his last seven games versus the Phillies, lasting no longer than 5 1/3 innings in four starts.
    With that this ump heavily favors the home team and Blanton is 3-0 with a 4.22 ERA in his last five at home.
    True the Phillies have a lot of great players out, but they are SUPER HOT at home, and they should do it again in a high scoring game.

    Phillies Vs Dodgers OVER 8.5 -115:


    Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Over is 6-0-1 in Blantons last 7 home starts.
    Over is 13-3 in Blantons last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
    Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

    Over is 8-2-1 in Tichenors last 11 games behind home plate.

    This was my instant bet almost all season long when Blaton on the mound. today should be no difference.

    Padres -1.5 +105:


    The Padres won 8 in a row against the Pirates and a win today will secure a perfect season against the weak team. There is not a lot to say, the Padres won by 2 runs or more in all of the games this season, Duke is not pitching very well and Garland is decent at home.

    Nats -103
    :


    This bet might seem odd, but there are a lot of strong trends to this one.
    The main thing is Livan that is pitching amazing this season and is facing the team he beat the most in his career.
    With that he has alternated wins in his last 5 outings, today should be a win if that keeps up. He has gave up only 1 run in four of his last 5 starts.
    The Marlins are playing well on the road and most of that thnx to Nolasco, but he is 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA against the Nationals this season.
    The Nats are hitting well, just need the pitching to go with that, and today they have it.
    The Nats should avoid the sweep.

    * MONSTER play.

    Small plays on the early games (mainly fun):

    Jays Vs RedSox OVER 9 -125:


    Over is 5-0 in Lackeys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Over is 5-1 in Lackeys last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Over is 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

    Over is 9-2 in Barrys last 11 games behind home plate.

    One pitcher that is playing bad, one pitcher that hardly plays, an ump that favors the OVER big time.
    Should be easy.

    Rockies +141:


    Yesterday the Rockies were a sure winner in my eyes, today this bet is 100% value. The price is sick, both teams are hitting badly, Santana is amazing but is having personal issues, Hammel can be very good, the Rockies MUST wake up if they want any chance to play in October.
    Small bet on a great price.
  • WiseGrumpy
    SBR MVP
    • 04-30-10
    • 3654

    #2
    Added the Nats.
    Comment
    • superman613
      Restricted User
      • 06-15-10
      • 906

      #3
      GL today

      Comment
      • WiseGrumpy
        SBR MVP
        • 04-30-10
        • 3654

        #4
        Thnx mate.
        Comment
        • BadLuckSanta
          SBR MVP
          • 06-30-10
          • 2756

          #5
          GL

          Tailing on Nats 5 units
          Comment
          • WiseGrumpy
            SBR MVP
            • 04-30-10
            • 3654

            #6
            Originally posted by BadLuckSanta
            GL

            Tailing on Nats 5 units
            GL mate.
            Comment
            • pako74
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-22-09
              • 250

              #7
              good Luck today
              Comment
              • WiseGrumpy
                SBR MVP
                • 04-30-10
                • 3654

                #8
                Added two early plays that are mostly for "fun".
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Originally posted by WiseGrumpy

                  Nats -103
                  :


                  This bet might seem odd, but there are a lot of strong trends to this one.
                  The main thing is Livan that is pitching amazing this season and is facing the team he beat the most in his career.
                  With that he has alternated wins in his last 5 outings, today should be a win if that keeps up. He has gave up only 1 run in four of his last 5 starts.
                  The Marlins are playing well on the road and most of that thnx to Nolasco, but he is 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA against the Nationals this season.
                  The Nats are hitting well, just need the pitching to go with that, and today they have it.
                  The Nats should avoid the sweep.
                  But Nolasco is 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA in his last four outings at Washington!
                  Comment
                  • WiseGrumpy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-30-10
                    • 3654

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Wilforth
                    But Nolasco is 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA in his last four outings at Washington!
                    That is very true. He is pitching very well away from home, but Livan is pitching amazing ALL season long, hardly ever had a bad outing, and would have been almost perfect with a different team. With that the alternating wins is something I relay on a lot and it hardly ever failed me.
                    Livan also lost two in a row only twice in 2010.
                    Comment
                    • J-Ro11
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-01-10
                      • 525

                      #11
                      hey grump, what you think about Colorado over the mets?

                      K-Rod gets arrested last night and Johan is being sued for rape.

                      Thats gotta affect e on the mound

                      Comment
                      • J-Ro11
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-01-10
                        • 525

                        #12
                        dunno how i didnt see your last paragraph, first post

                        on it as well
                        Comment
                        • WiseGrumpy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-30-10
                          • 3654

                          #13
                          Originally posted by J-Ro11
                          dunno how i didnt see your last paragraph, first post

                          on it as well
                          GL to us both mate.
                          Comment
                          SBR Contests
                          Collapse
                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                          Collapse
                          Working...