I wish I had historical data on what happens the next game after that many hr's were hit in the previous day. Seems like such an obvious / square play to take the over today.
But...
Jays hitting HR's at unbelievable rate over last week. Even Hill (who had a miserable start this season after coming back from injury) has 5 hrs in last 6 games.
TB starting pitcher has given up 4 hr's in his last 6 OUTINGS. That's 4 hrs in 8 innings.
Morrow's season stats not that great - but he can be tough. That's my only concern here.
But two high powered offenses going against a tier-B pitcher and a reliever who's starting (and has given up some shit his last few outings).
On over 10 with a big bet.
But...
Jays hitting HR's at unbelievable rate over last week. Even Hill (who had a miserable start this season after coming back from injury) has 5 hrs in last 6 games.
TB starting pitcher has given up 4 hr's in his last 6 OUTINGS. That's 4 hrs in 8 innings.
Morrow's season stats not that great - but he can be tough. That's my only concern here.
But two high powered offenses going against a tier-B pitcher and a reliever who's starting (and has given up some shit his last few outings).
On over 10 with a big bet.