Sabathia Day at the Bronx?

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The last time Sabathia lost at Yankee Stadium was on July 2, 2009, against Seattle. He’s 12-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 17 outings in the Bronx since. (not counting last year’s postseason)

Sabathia has lost his last 2 starts (5ERs in 13.2 IP) .
Lackey gave up (6ERs in 5.1 IP) against CLE on Aug 2.

Batter vs. Pitcher
Sabathia vs. 2010/Career
Ellsbury 0-3 / 1-13
Scutaro 2-7 / 8-24
Ortiz 1-5 / 8-31
Martinez 2-8 / 4-19
Beltre 0-6 / 1-19
Drew 2-7 / 4-17
Lowell 1-2 / 6-21
Lowrie 0-0/0-2
Cameron 1-1 / 7-14
Hall 0-5 / 1-11
McDonald 1-5 / 1-7
Pedroia 0-7 / 1-22
Youkilis 4-5 / 9-22 (Out for season)
Total: 14-61 .229 / 51-222 .230

Lackey vs. 2010/Career
Jeter 1-2 / 16-46
Swisher 0-2 / 5-45
Teixeira 0-1 / 19-50
Rodriguez 0-3 / 9-54
Cano 1-2 / 7-28
Berkman 0-0 /1-1
Granderson 1-2 / 3-14
Posada 0-2 / 12-31
Gardner 0-2 / 1-6
Johnson 0-3 / 2-9
Totals: 3-19 .157 / 75-284 .264

Sabathia is more of ground ball pitcher (GB 244/FB 220 Ratio 1.11) compared to
Lackey (224/251 0.89).

Outs from MLB site:
Sabathia GO 197/ AO 114 Ratio 1.89
Lackey GO 178/AO 118 Ratio 1.16

The Yanks are the usual heavy chalk -190 (5 dimes).

Is the -190 worth the risk, especially with Sabathia's last 2 games? Or is coming home just what the doctor ordered?

Thoughts?