Thursday first-blush leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Thursday first-blush leans
    LAD -155 (though I don't like the fact that they're blowing SD out tonight, this is a total SP mismatch).

    FLA +105 (fading Oz again. Volstad gets it done).

    DET -140 (line speaks for itself; makes zero sense).

    SF -110 (I'll take Timmy over Jair at basically even odds, but I feel like I'm being set up already).

    SEA -115 (Felix was lights-out against Texas until this year, but I think he'll bounce back here and Hunter's in the midst of a correction).
  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #2
    I like your kittens tomorrow, A LOT. Or at least considering the under.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
      I like your kittens tomorrow, A LOT. Or at least considering the under.
      They're -140 for a reason. That number's begging Joe Public to see CHW as a big dog play -- kind of like SF today.
      Comment
      • Pauulzcappin
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-23-10
        • 20295

        #4
        No, it's because Schwerzer or whatever how it's spelled rocks at home.

        Giants line doesn't seem off, Atlanta is a very good team at home.
        Comment
        • BrigadierPudding
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-07-09
          • 617

          #5
          Little note on The Freak vs Jair. Braves offense is pretty bad right now... don't let the game tonight fool you. The Mets are just laughably inept. With Prado out for ATL, the only guy in the lineup that can hurt Timmy is McCann, and he is hitting .431 vs Timmy. Chipper and Heyward can get on base but Bmac is essentially the only Brave capable of carrying an offense. His career numbers and the short line are a bit concerning.
          Comment
          • BrigadierPudding
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-07-09
            • 617

            #6
            Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
            No, it's because Schwerzer or whatever how it's spelled rocks at home.

            Giants line doesn't seem off, Atlanta is a very good team at home.
            Braves missing Prado, and Glaus can barely move. I just don't see that offense generating much vs Timmy. Jair is a very underrated pitcher, though. Has a lot of guts.
            Comment
            • Pauulzcappin
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-23-10
              • 20295

              #7
              Garcia has a day ERA of almost 6, around the same away from US Cellular park...

              Detroit is the way to go, even with the Triple-A lineup.
              Comment
              • sharper2
                SBR MVP
                • 03-30-10
                • 2724

                #8
                I would stay away from the ATL game, atl's too solid at home. can't blame you for taking timmy at basically even odds though. I like everything else though, exact same leans. except I'll probs take Fla TT cause of how fvcken bad fla's bullpen is.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                  No, it's because Schwerzer or whatever how it's spelled rocks at home.
                  If Vegas thought the White Sox had a chance here, Detroit would be about -120 -- at best.

                  The -140 is ridiculous.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by sharper2
                    except I'll probs take Fla TT cause of how fvcken bad fla's bullpen is.
                    Horrifically bad, yes. Good idea.
                    Comment
                    • mcbogo
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 06-09-10
                      • 192

                      #11
                      i like FLA and DET.
                      Comment
                      • sketch80823
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-26-10
                        • 671

                        #12
                        what you think of the under on atlanta play might be with you on the dodgers and sanfrancisco
                        Comment
                        • Joe_Shabadoo
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-17-09
                          • 607

                          #13
                          Shit, to me, Atlanta is just a shining beacon right now.

                          EVEN money, at home, with this offense that they've been showing in the past week?

                          Overpriced much, Timmy?
                          Comment
                          • gamble
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-30-10
                            • 1087

                            #14
                            agreed on some of these weird lines, of course i'll be on hook line and sinker
                            Comment
                            • Salmon Steak
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-05-10
                              • 2110

                              #15
                              On the other side of those... GL with all your other plays NC
                              Comment
                              • Pauulzcappin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-23-10
                                • 20295

                                #16
                                Ump on Tigers game hitting 66% for the home team.
                                Comment
                                • kings12
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-03-10
                                  • 164

                                  #17
                                  Timmy is also 6-1 lifetime against the Braves.
                                  Comment
                                  • sketch80823
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-26-10
                                    • 671

                                    #18
                                    what you think of minnesota dogs
                                    Comment
                                    • peterpan19
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-02-08
                                      • 3377

                                      #19
                                      would be for the early reports, maybe some guys resting today in the min/tb game...
                                      Comment
                                      • Masu485
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-14-08
                                        • 7700

                                        #20
                                        changing my mind on white sox, taking the TIGERS tomorrow.
                                        Comment
                                        • hoop guru
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-07-09
                                          • 2414

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Masu485
                                          changing my mind on white sox, taking the TIGERS tomorrow.
                                          GOod thing you changed your mind on taking the tigers instead. I would rather take a young hot prospect like Scherzer over a tired veteran anyday. THats too bad the oddsmakers did not make Garcia a favorite. I like the tigers ML -140 and Tigers team total over 4.5. I would not take the tigers on the RL because I do not trust tigers bullpen.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            det seems like the play to me......personally id go with atl at home over timmy.....fla is worth a shot i think.....also like min/tb o9.........
                                            Comment
                                            • Orangemen 44
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 07-20-10
                                              • 78

                                              #23
                                              Agree with the Tigers, im going to pay the juice to find out. Hate backing the dodgers bats, but your right, its a outright mismatch. Good Luck today
                                              Comment
                                              • sharper2
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-30-10
                                                • 2724

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by sharper2
                                                I would stay away from the ATL game, atl's too solid at home. can't blame you for taking timmy at basically even odds though. I like everything else though, exact same leans. except I'll probs take Fla TT cause of how fvcken bad fla's bullpen is.
                                                Fla enters the 9th up 4-2, gives up 2 runs, 4-4 game now
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  I got absolutely raped on that Marlins play.

                                                  I just feel sick right now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    What can I say -- I got buried tonight. Worst baseball night of the year by far, going 0-5.

                                                    Tigers lose in extras.
                                                    Marlins get gang raped by an ump.
                                                    Dodgers don't score.
                                                    Mariners don't score.
                                                    Giants lose by 1.

                                                    At least I know Salmon Steak had a great day.



                                                    Me, I lost three weeks of profits in one fell swoop. Man.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pauulzcappin
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-23-10
                                                      • 20295

                                                      #27
                                                      I went like 2-5 today or some shit also, terrible day.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pauulzcappin
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-23-10
                                                        • 20295

                                                        #28
                                                        If I hit my parlay I'd be in the black, but NOOOOOOOOO, Detroit had to fvcking tease me, ruin my over and lose.

                                                        FVCKERS.
                                                        Comment
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