Let's talk COL/SF Wednesday

Joe_Shabadoo · 08-04-10, 12:28 AM

I think this line is expecting there to be too much onus on the strength of public perception, though it will likely see a good 50-55% of the betting pool on COL run-line.

Mad Bum will be new for the Rockies' line-up.

I think this line is off by about 45-cents considering Ubaldo's performance during the last 6 games.

--- Medium play on SF tomorrow.

Good luck.

tatddy · 08-04-10, 12:29 AM

Yeah, you'd think it would be around -175 or so.

tatddy · 08-04-10, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by Joe_Shabadoo

I think this line is expecting there to be too much onus on the strength of public perception, though it will likely see a good 50-55% of the betting pool on COL run-line.

Mad Bum will be new for the Rockies' line-up.

I think this line is off by about 45-cents considering Ubaldo's performance during the last 6 games.

--- Medium play on SF tomorrow.

Good luck.

Mad Bum will not be new for the COL lineup. He started against COL and lost to Cook a month ago.

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 12:29 AM

yes yes yes. this is one of my 2 mlb plays tomorrow (along with the angels). not saying giants will dominate, but the price is just too good to pass up!

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 12:30 AM

Originally posted by tatddy

Yeah, you'd think it would be around -175 or so.

I was actually expecting -160.

-190 makes me initially want to make a big play on SF. But am I being set up here?

Call me crazy, but I also like TOR at +165 and BAL at +125 on Wednesday.

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by tatddy

Mad Bum will not be new for the COL lineup. He started against COL and lost to Cook a month ago.

3 ER in 7 IP, 1 BB, 5 K -- not bad.

Joe_Shabadoo · 08-04-10, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by tatddy

Mad Bum will not be new for the COL lineup. He started against COL and lost to Cook a month ago.

Yup, you're right.

My mistake.

That must've escaped my memory, as I was disappointed in watching that outing.

tatddy · 08-04-10, 12:33 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I was actually expecting -160.

-190 makes me initially want to make a big play on SF. But am I being set up here?

Call me crazy, but I also like TOR at +165 and BAL at +125 on Wednesday.

Well SF absolutely torched Ubaldo in COL earlier this year. There's the revenge angle.

COL was playing great baseball and building momentum before today's game. They laid an egg today, but still are playing well overall. Cook just sucks and Sanchez had amazing stuff today.

Mad Bum has been hittable in day game in his brief career.

You have to figure Posey won't be behind the dish tomorrow. Maybe, but day game after a night game it's doubtful even for a young guy. He'll still play 1B but it weakens the SF lineup overall.

I hope SF wins, I can see it and there's definitely extreme value there. I'm not playing it but that's just because I'm too big of a homer and make decisions with my heart when it comes to SF.

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by tatddy

You have to figure Posey won't be behind the dish tomorrow. Maybe, but day game after a night game it's doubtful even for a young guy. He'll still play 1B but it weakens the SF lineup overall.

That's a good point.

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 12:37 AM

Initially, I also like Edwin Jackson at even money to beat Detroit, considering he used to pitch for them and was traded away and he's playing for the better team right now.

With that being said, it is Edwin Jackson, so who knows.

WiseGrumpy · 08-04-10, 12:41 AM

There is a lot of value to the Giants, it's Giants or no bet.

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by WiseGrumpy

There is a lot of value to the Giants, it's Giants or no bet.

Agree with that, WG, but I feel like it's a setup.

Joe_Shabadoo · 08-04-10, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by tatddy

Well SF absolutely torched Ubaldo in COL earlier this year. There's the revenge angle.

COL was playing great baseball and building momentum before today's game. They laid an egg today, but still are playing well overall. Cook just sucks and Sanchez had amazing stuff today.

Mad Bum has been hittable in day game in his brief career.

You have to figure Posey won't be behind the dish tomorrow. Maybe, but day game after a night game it's doubtful even for a young guy. He'll still play 1B but it weakens the SF lineup overall.

I hope SF wins, I can see it and there's definitely extreme value there. I'm not playing it but that's just because I'm too big of a homer and make decisions with my heart when it comes to SF.

Yeah, Buster might get to rest tomorrow; I'll be looking earnestly in the morning.

I think Uribe will get the call over Renteria tomorrow, and I hope Ishikawa will stick, as he has a solid history against Jimenez.

WiseGrumpy · 08-04-10, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Agree with that, WG, but I feel like it's a setup.

The Giants are playing bad on the road, yes, but Mr. Jimenez sadly is showing he is still young to handle what he started. Last time he met the Giants he got CRUSHED.

bornselling · 08-04-10, 12:46 AM

Mr. Jimenez sadly is showing he is still young

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 12:46 AM

I see Rockies winning by 1 actually.

Vegas overprices the Rockies ML to make everyone take either the Giants ML for value, or Rockies RL get them at a reasonable price.

Still going with SF ML baby!!

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by WiseGrumpy

The Giants are playing bad on the road, yes, but Mr. Jimenez sadly is showing he is still young to handle what he started. Last time he met the Giants he got CRUSHED.

I still think he was tipping his pitches at some point, found out about it, and overcompensated in his delivery, thus leading to this streak of wildness.

ThisGuy · 08-04-10, 01:05 AM

Is the real value on SF +1.5?

tatddy · 08-04-10, 01:07 AM

Originally posted by ThisGuy

Is the real value on SF +1.5?

Certainly if you get it at -130 or so.

ThisGuy · 08-04-10, 01:11 AM

I always lose +1.5's and I pay juice usually but ... sold

tatddy · 08-04-10, 01:13 AM

I'll say this for you, TG. This Giants team will fight to the end every single game. So even if you're chasing 4 runs in the 6th don't get stressed out!

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by ThisGuy

I always lose +1.5's and I pay juice usually but ... sold

Vegas knows most people don't play dogs on the RL, man, i'm really feeling Rockies win by 1 now... everyone on the planet would lose except the 10$ bettors who would have just picked Rockies ML no matter what the price.

drfunkmaster · 08-04-10, 01:21 AM

jizzabag jimenez gets lit up.

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 02:31 PM

bumping this, in-game thread now

cobracommander · 08-04-10, 02:33 PM

Bumgarner off to a shaky start here. Meanwhile Jimenez is finally throwing strikes again. I'm on the Giants, but it doesn't look good so far.

Pauulzcappin · 08-04-10, 02:33 PM

As I said on another thread... ump info.

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

17-6 for the home team and 15-4 for the under.

I'm not gonna pay the juice for Ubaldo because Giants are playing good ball.

Nevertheless I expect a very low scoring game, good luck.

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 02:49 PM

are u seriously going to walk ubaldo...? seriously?? get the fukk out of this inning!

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 02:50 PM

infleid single to ubaldo????????? you fukking shit if rockies go up 1-0 now it's over. ur not coming back!

cobracommander · 08-04-10, 02:50 PM

Nope, going to let him get a hit.

cobracommander · 08-04-10, 02:52 PM

This one looked bad from the rip, and it's only getting worse.

cadillac pete · 08-04-10, 02:54 PM

Giants just happy to split here....

No coincidences · 08-04-10, 02:54 PM

I wound up playing COL ML small.

Couldn't get past the weird line, so I faded myself.

Masu485 · 08-04-10, 02:54 PM

of course that had to lead to fukking runs, of course. mistake after mistake, now u get punished u shit

cobracommander · 08-04-10, 02:56 PM

Can we get a pinch hitter for BUMgarner?