LA vs SF 8/1 Game Analysis

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  • VTranX
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-10
    • 1975

    #1
    LA vs SF 8/1 Game Analysis
    GAME ANALYSIS


    The San Francisco Giants are 32-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers who are 22-29 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants' starter Matt Cain is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers' starter Clayton Kershaw. Matt Cain has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Clayton Kershaw has a 45% chance of a QS. If Matt Cain has a quality start the Giants has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 71%. In Clayton Kershaw quality starts the Dodgers win 52%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Andre Ethier who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 57% chance of winning.


    AccuScore gives the San Francisco Giants a 61.8% chance of winning.

    BOL guys.
  • J-Ro11
    Restricted User
    • 05-01-10
    • 525

    #2
    how do ya feel about over 6.5?
    Comment
    • obamaismyuncle
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-31-08
      • 17801

      #3
      Dodgers win.
      Comment
      • VTranX
        SBR MVP
        • 02-02-10
        • 1975

        #4
        Originally posted by J-Ro11
        how do ya feel about over 6.5?
        accuscore says no pick on total.

        but im taking the over.
        Comment
        • Wilforth
          Restricted User
          • 05-10-08
          • 16309

          #5
          Finals score:

          SF 4
          LAD 1
          Comment
          • VTranX
            SBR MVP
            • 02-02-10
            • 1975

            #6
            Originally posted by Wilforth
            Finals score:

            SF 4
            LAD 1
            atleast i win one way then lol. ill take my chances.
            Comment
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