Reds -133

[Pauulzcappin]

Might be one of the biggest plays of the month for me, thinking about putting all of my week profit on this.

Medlen got hit pretty hard his last two starts giving up 9 earned runs on his last 12.2 IP.

On the other hand, Cueto has been lights out on his last 7 starts, giving up 5 earned runs on his last 46.2 innings pitched.

Reds are 9-3 against Atlanta on the last 12 games on Cincinatti.

[iloseagain]

i seen't this too

[Mr Windy City]

gl on the reds paul!

[make$take$]

Plus cincy had the day off Thurs. while Atlanta had to play and travel

[HOT WINGS]

I like this play. Atl is not very good on road and bats haven't been to hot lately. Reds should be well rested.

[obamaismyuncle]

Reds and Rockies look good tomorrow

[pat venditto]

Cincy is a l0ck tommorow. Bank it boys.

[BrigadierPudding]

Line seems too low. Cueto, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last 7-8 starts vs a slumping Braves offense and their 5th starter Medlen. I thought this would open in the -150 range.

[Pauulzcappin]

That's the one of the two things I'm worried about, BP.

Line and Reds' pen.

[cappinthepigs]

Braves Alternate RL is the play here or no play at all

[2daBank]

That's the one of the two things I'm worried about, BP.

Line and Reds' pen.

man, i still rememeber a day game in atl way back early in the season, i though i was stealing getting cincy +140 or something i forget, and cincy blows a 6 run lead in the 9th (think it was 6 might have been more, it sucked)))

[Pauulzcappin]

Think it was 9-2 and finished 10-9 or some shit.

[2daBank]

Think it was 9-2 and finished 10-9 or some shit.

that the one..ill probably remember that for a while....

[Pauulzcappin]

I got jewed by Santana a few days ago with a line like this one, I'll probably wait for lineups though.

[BrigadierPudding]

That's the one of the two things I'm worried about, BP.

Line and Reds' pen.

I'm a Braves fan and their offense is just a disaster right now. The only guys that can hurt Cueto are Prado and McCann. Glaus is slumping big time and looks injured. Chipper is a singles/walks guy, no power anymore. Alex Gonzalez missed today's game with a fever. No way he plays.

The things I'm worried about - in addition to the line - is Cueto. He's going to regress sooner or later and have a bad start. This type of run isn't sustainable. He's good but not this good. Also, the Braves are 11-1 in Medlen's starts and are 17-8 vs the NL Central. Make of that what you will.

That said, I think the Reds at this price has good value. IMO, oddsmakers have been overvaluing ATL a little bit for the last few weeks. GL with your play.

[2daBank]

yep Braves are trash on the road, this is a real good price for cincy......

[paco]

Good play Paul, but u should never put ur whole weeks winnings on 1 game.

It is baseball after all.

[dynamite140]

Reds should win this game pretty easily

[Pauulzcappin]

Some other shit I've been looking at...

Reds are batting .376 on the last 5, Braves are at .234.

Reds have averaged 1 home run per game against righties, Braves 0.5.

Reds averaging 9.14 runs per 9 innings, Braves at 3.35.

[Pauulzcappin]

The batting avg stat was against righties also...

[azn624]

Good luck to those betting on the Reds

[No coincidences]

My best play for Friday as well.

[No coincidences]

Line seems too low. Cueto, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last 7-8 starts vs a slumping Braves offense and their 5th starter Medlen. I thought this would open in the -150 range.

You want Cincy to be -150 vs. the second best team in the NL record-wise?



Line is just right IMHO.

[Pauulzcappin]

Slept on it and still like it.

[gshock1]

Its a solid play, just don't go hog wild with it. You never know what happens in this sport.

[tzMoney]

I went hog wild because after watching the Braves yesterday they are in a road slump. The Reds are rested. 31-22 at home. ATL is 24-30 away. 11-21 as a Dog and won only 2 out of the last 6 - Plus they are batting .167 against Cueto this year and 3-9 in the last 12 games played in Cinci.

Plus I'm guessing that Cinci has a lot of motivation going into this game to stay on top of the division. AND make up for that ridiculous lead they BLEW the last time they were in Atlanta.

[Chuck Sims]

Reds -125 is the play.

[ClipShow14]

braves are 11-1 in medlens last 12 starts but cueto has been an absolute beast lately. good luck today hope this hits

[paco]

Good play Paul, but u should never put ur whole weeks winnings on 1 game. It is baseball after all.

Slept on it and still like it.

Update?

[Pauulzcappin]

Waiting on lineups, won't move all that cash, probably half or so.

I only make very big bets on playoffs, had 8k risked on Lakers to be the world champions this year.

So tonight probably gonna make it 5 or 6x.

[Pauulzcappin]

Good advice also pacman, appreciate it

[paco]

Waiting on lineups, won't move all that cash, probably half or so. I only make very big bets on playoffs, had 8k risked on Lakers to be the world champions this year. So tonight probably gonna make it 5 or 6x.

Good advice also pacman, appreciate it

We cleaned up on that

Did u ever jump on that Series bet after @-110 after we lost Game 5?

[Pauulzcappin]

Took all when we lost game 2 at home, at -140.

[LolsMcwinsey]

GL this thread made me make this play

[ezmoney]

REDS -135 seems like a bargain.

EZ