Help with prop: A Jackson RBI Yes/No

[Flight]

5Dimes has this prop at Yes +163 / No -200

He hits an RBI in 22% of his games so far this season

A naive approach yields true odds of +363

Why is this prop so low?

[DennisGreen]

The bottom of the Tigers lineup is pretty bad that's probably why it's so low. He's been killing it lately though. If there was an over 1.5 hits prop I would take that though.

[Flight]

He is currently on a 10 game hitting streak

During that streak he's had 1 RBI

[tatddy]

Gotta be better props out there if you're into that. As DG said, the bottom of that lineup won't do much. I don't play props more than a once or twice a month but today I'm on Felix H. over 6.5 Ks at even money.

[Flight]

I think you're misunderstanding me

He gets an RBI in 22% of his games. That means the NO should be priced at -360. A price of -200 isn't even close.

I am saying I should bet the NO

[Flight]

Any other opinions?