SERIES 2nd GAME SYSTEM

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  • jorge1
    SBR MVP
    • 02-06-10
    • 3520
    #1
    SERIES 2nd GAME SYSTEM
    Pretty basic, a team beats another by 4 or more pts the very first game of a series and we try to look at past data to GUESSTIMATE 2nd game outcome.

    Anyone who wants to input or comment based ont he info i provide PLEASE PLEASE DO...

    for tonight:
    NYY spanked KC, so
    KC @ NYY

    since MAY - NYY (as a winner), won 1 by 2 or more runs. Game went under 10
    KC (as a loser), has lost all 4 games, 3 out of which by 2 or more. the under 10 hit 3 out of 4 games, with one game hitting 11.
    Also good pitching tonight.

    TWINS spanked BALT,so
    MIN @ BAL
    MIN as a winner is 2-0, RL being 1-1.
    BAL as a loser is 2-5, losing all 5 by 2 or more runs.


    PLAYS:
    NYY RL -125 (x1.5)
    NYY/KC U10 -110 (x1)
    MIN -132 (x1)
    Tags: None
    • jorge1
      SBR MVP
      • 02-06-10
      • 3520
      #2
      Originally posted by jorge1

      PLAYS:
      NYY RL -125 (x1.5)
      NYY/KC U10 -110 (x1)
      MIN -132 (x1)
      +1.5 Units

      Plays coming
        Comment
        • jorge1
          SBR MVP
          • 02-06-10
          • 3520
          #3
          STL @ CHC (CHC won yesterday 5-0)

          In second game after winning by 4+:
          CHC is 2-1 and the only loss was by 1 run AWAY.
          the run count on the 3 games was 5, 10, 7

          CHC TT = 2,6,4
          opponent TT=3,4,3

          In second game after losing by 4+:
          STL is 0-1 losing only by 1 run AWAY.
          game total was 1

          COL @ PHI (PHI last night 6-0):
          PHI as winner: 1-2
          TT= 1,6,10
          game total=6,9,23

          COL as loser: 0-1
          TT=1
          game total=3



          PLAYS:
          PHILLY +134 (no way im missing out on this home dog) (x1)
          CHC RL (x1)
            Comment
            • superman613
              Restricted User
              • 06-15-10
              • 906
              #4
              like philly today...GL

                Comment
                • SolidDala
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-14-09
                  • 1696
                  #5
                  This will be interesting, thought team winning gm1 is winning less for gm 2
                    Comment
                    • G's pks
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 22251
                      #6
                      Ok you asked for opinions.. They are several threads where the actual bet is not shown... They usually do not take off! If you are playing the amount in parentheses to win which apparently you are...you won 2.5, but in the game you lost...it was -132...so it should be a minus 1.32...which means you are up 1.18.

                      But will be watching how this works... how much backtesting have you done? Also do you have filters where some teams are not included?


                      Unless you are trying to say the bets you win are the enclosed amounts...but the bets you lose are not...somehow..

                      Also in the Rl game listed for today you do not even list odds... I think you have to show this in actual dollars or whatever currency you play in...
                        Comment
                        • jorge1
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-06-10
                          • 3520
                          #7
                          Originally posted by G's pks
                          Ok you asked for opinions.. They are several threads where the actual bet is not shown... They usually do not take off! If you are playing the amount in parentheses to win which apparently you are...you won 2.5, but in the game you lost...it was -132...so it should be a minus 1.32...which means you are up 1.18.

                          But will be watching how this works... how much backtesting have you done? Also do you have filters where some teams are not included?


                          Unless you are trying to say the bets you win are the enclosed amounts...but the bets you lose are not...somehow..

                          Also in the Rl game listed for today you do not even list odds... I think you have to show this in actual dollars or whatever currency you play in...
                          You are totally right bud...i was lazy and didnt really keep accurate count. I will from now on guys...my apologies.

                          I have done back testing for this whole year. My system doesnt really tell me a certain team...its just an algorythm that spits out pertinent info and based on the info i make the decisions as to what is the play( Based on trends, etc).

                          The RL for today, i was in a hurry at one point and didnt post the odds, but as promised i wil be more accurate guys, just wrote it in a hurry while analyzing and listening to my girl bxtch about me paying more attention to SBR than her.
                            Comment
                            • jorge1
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-06-10
                              • 3520
                              #8
                              Originally posted by jorge1
                              PLAYS:
                              PHILLY +134 (no way im missing out on this home dog) (x1)
                              CHC RL (x1)
                              Yesterday: 1-1 , 50%, +.34U
                              TOTAL: 3-2, 60%, +1.52U
                                Comment
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