Jump on Atlanta tomorrow ASAP!

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  • Nomadik
    SBR MVP
    • 06-03-10
    • 1723

    #1
    Jump on Atlanta tomorrow ASAP!
    Atlanta is the team to beat in the N.L. and Jurrjens is starting to heat up. LVSC opened ATL as -160 chalk, and I would grab ATL before the line rises further. When the overnight lines come out today I'll be jumping on ATL, however I will never lay 200+ chalk on a game.
  • gilbert91016
    SBR MVP
    • 04-29-09
    • 1479

    #2
    Atlanta -150 at 5dimes. What do u think Atlanta RL +135
    Comment
    • TheScoreGuru
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-28-10
      • 228

      #3
      i will pass the day after the allstar break. BOL though!
      Comment
      • D3 Mighty Ducks
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-17-09
        • 11939

        #4
        Originally posted by TheScoreGuru
        i will pass the day after the AllStar break. BOL though!
        Sounds smart...
        Comment
        • WvGambler
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-19-10
          • 11618

          #5
          Heward should be back too.....but gotta imagine he will be worthless for atleast a week.
          Comment
          • Nomadik
            SBR MVP
            • 06-03-10
            • 1723

            #6
            Originally posted by gilbert91016
            Atlanta -150 at 5dimes. What do u think Atlanta RL +135
            Yeah I just saw that at 5dimes. I've been trying to stay away from laying 1.5 (runs) on home teams, but let me look into it a little more. I usually like to know who the HP ump is when I'm laying runs, especially on home teams.
            Comment
            • gilbert91016
              SBR MVP
              • 04-29-09
              • 1479

              #7
              [QUOTE=Nomadik;5486601]Yeah I just saw that at 5dimes. I've been trying to stay away from laying 1.5 (runs) on home teams, but let me look into it a little more. I usually like to know who the HP ump is when I'm laying runs, especially on home teams.[/QU

              Sounds good
              Comment
              • raiders32
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-17-10
                • 566

                #8
                I like the Braves pick.
                Comment
                • Chi_archie
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-22-08
                  • 63167

                  #9
                  looks solid, but too much chalk for me
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    Dave Bush doesn't suck. Also the Brew Crew are horrible at home.

                    Nevertheless Braves should find a way to win.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                      Dave Bush doesn't suck. Also the Brew Crew are horrible at home.

                      Nevertheless Braves should find a way to win.
                      Isn't the game in ATL?
                      Comment
                      • Nomadik
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-03-10
                        • 1723

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Isn't the game in ATL?
                        Yes
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          BTW, what makes you say Jurrjens is "starting to heat up"? He's only started twice since coming off the DL; 4 ER and 5 BB in 11 IP. Not bad, but nothing outstanding either.
                          Comment
                          • Nomadik
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-03-10
                            • 1723

                            #14
                            Don't over think it NoCo...ATL wins tmrrw...fade or tail
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Nomadik
                              Don't over think it NoCo...ATL wins tmrrw...fade or tail
                              I would definitely lean ATL -- just saying that Jurrjens is probably still on a limited pitch count, which tends to make a bet more sticky. Just my take.
                              Comment
                              • Nomadik
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-03-10
                                • 1723

                                #16
                                Ok let's say, for hypothetical reasons, JJ is on a limited pitch count...have you checked ATL's bullpen era and whip of late? I'm done with the rebuttals...fade or tail i'm Audi 5000
                                Comment
                                • HoulihansTX
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 30566

                                  #17
                                  He was right, b/c the line moved 15cents in a swoop @pinny. 150 to 165.

                                  ATL wins, but I'm just going to Fade the Cubs for plus money.

                                  GL Nomadik.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Nomadik
                                    Ok let's say, for hypothetical reasons, JJ is on a limited pitch count...have you checked ATL's bullpen era and whip of late? I'm done with the rebuttals...fade or tail i'm Audi 5000
                                    Just discussing the game.

                                    Why does everyone who makes a pick on this site get all bent out of shape when a poster even attempts to play devil's advocate?
                                    Comment
                                    • stevex
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-02-10
                                      • 5122

                                      #19
                                      Hopefully my book (JustBet) comes out with a decent line because they never open there lines up until like 2 in the morning so I have to wait, but am definetly jumping on the Braves.

                                      stevex
                                      Comment
                                      • Atomicdog
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 06-21-10
                                        • 61

                                        #20
                                        Already there
                                        Comment
                                        • greenshark11
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-17-10
                                          • 484

                                          #21
                                          same here i picked them
                                          Comment
                                          • Brewers in 7
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-20-10
                                            • 1363

                                            #22
                                            havent checked it lately but Bush used to be better on the road then at home, that being said the braves should light him up tomorrow
                                            Comment
                                            • umdterps
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 04-02-10
                                              • 282

                                              #23
                                              Grabbed it at -150. BOL everyone.
                                              Comment
                                              • hoop22
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-29-09
                                                • 212

                                                #24
                                                awesome!
                                                Comment
                                                • Donkwin47
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-10
                                                  • 2851

                                                  #25
                                                  Looks very solid.. Jurj is a stud and Bush sucks.. BOL.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • eatdust11
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-16-09
                                                    • 683

                                                    #26
                                                    Have to agree on this one
                                                    Comment
                                                    • watertight
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-20-07
                                                      • 2453

                                                      #27
                                                      Texas looks solid @ -103 against a hurting bos tea
                                                      and Wakefield s knuckleball not looking like it used to
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ROYAJA8
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-23-09
                                                        • 2069

                                                        #28
                                                        Atl looks like a strong play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sweethook
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-21-07
                                                          • 12667

                                                          #29
                                                          was liken RL if gets value
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Nomadik
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-03-10
                                                            • 1723

                                                            #30
                                                            Just a few stats (as much as I hate posting 'em):

                                                            Atlanta's record when a -170 to -140 favorite is 19-3 with a 2.73 avg margin of victory
                                                            Atlanta's record when a -170 to -140 fav AND the total is 8.5 is 6-1 with a 3.14 avg margin of victory
                                                            Atlanta's record when a favorite at home AND the total is 8.5 is 9-2 with a 3.00 avg margin of victory

                                                            Might want to play this one on the -1.5rl, or the -1rl to be safe. All indicators would point to the -1.5rl, however.

                                                            GL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Patrick McIrish
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-15-05
                                                              • 2864

                                                              #31
                                                              Too much wood for me, looks good though....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-17-09
                                                                • 11939

                                                                #32
                                                                Braves are going to be a tough team to beat the 2nd half.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JC2008
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-27-08
                                                                  • 2258

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Alot of people like Atlanta here... pretty scary.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TGHMak
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-25-09
                                                                    • 658

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I have ATL right now but if the line reaches -200 I'll be glad to play the difference.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bornselling
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-02-09
                                                                      • 568

                                                                      #35
                                                                      [COLOR=#000000 !important]I have ATL right now but if the line reaches -200 I'll be glad to play the difference.[/COLOR]
                                                                      Comment
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