Anyone Fading Cliff Lee/Rangers tonight?

THE GREGORS · 07-10-10, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by jhack704

yea just like lee's 1st game with phily, complete game 3 hit shutout and they won 3-0! and that was switching leagues

his first game with philly actually was a complete game 4-hitter which they won 5-1. i have no idea where you came up with those stats

07-10-10, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by flakeandbake

I hope you guys fade Baltimore so the bookies have enough to pay me when i bet my house on Texas RL

Find yourself a gambling dictionary rookie.

BeatingBaseball · 07-10-10, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

Lee will be with a new staff, new catcher, new pitching coach, new type of scouting reports.... will be in the middle of a move, dealing with family and logistics. this is not like a home game for him....

in this spot i'll take a chance with the hot bats of the O's staying within +1.5 a little more than 4 out of 10 games in identical cirumstances

In Lee you're dealing with a stone cold pro, the best in the business. Your thinking would apply in most cases, but not here. Actual value here in Lee for 5 innings -1/2 run at -1.90 at 5 Dimes. But that's me.

rthoughton · 07-10-10, 02:32 PM

check back to Cliff Lee's last post-trade debut. He will be showing off.

OverUnder · 07-10-10, 02:34 PM

Lee will dominate in a new setting in my opinion

Law-Byrnes · 07-10-10, 02:43 PM

I can't see any reason why Lee would pitch badly in this situation.

fukredsCOACH · 07-10-10, 05:15 PM

why not play the over then?if you think LEE wont be at his best today and Os pitcher is terrible,rangers should easy come over 9 runs.At my sportbook Rangers is -402 not worth betting RL -147

Dirty Sanchez · 07-10-10, 05:17 PM

That line is unbelieveable...-380 now at 5 Dimes is crazy. Kind of tells you how many bridge jumpers are laying money on Texas tonight

jayroy25 · 07-10-10, 05:18 PM

I am i am

ukbsktbll · 07-10-10, 05:19 PM

Can't see Lee not having great first outing for TX

mvp123 · 07-10-10, 05:20 PM

I HAVE TO TAKE A SHOT WITH BALTY , ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN

jhack704 · 07-10-10, 06:53 PM

holy shit!! there must not be 1 person on baltimore 2nite!! they are at +300 and +165 rl! when was the last time this happened?

jhack704 · 07-10-10, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by THE GREGORS

his first game with philly actually was a complete game 4-hitter which they won 5-1. i have no idea where you came up with those stats

yea ur right by bad sorry, i knew he had a cg tho

Bsims · 07-10-10, 06:57 PM

I run simulations of the games. Texas has an 84% chance of winning tonight. Biggest margin I've seen. No game has gone over 80% in the last few years, and over 75% is pretty rare.

I'm taking Texas on the money line.

nysmoneyman · 07-10-10, 07:13 PM

i'm not...but if i was baltimore +2.5 runs (even $$$)

Fthenorm · 07-10-10, 07:15 PM

moneyline one of the largest of the season...a dog that large in a hitters ballpark is worth a unit

70kgman · 07-10-10, 07:18 PM

Baltimore hitting over .300 as a team over last week. So they are hitting the ball well right now. They can score runs. Don't trust O's starter or bullpen at all though.

jhack704 · 07-10-10, 07:31 PM

hahah 1-0 balt already!!! shit

zsr · 07-10-10, 07:35 PM

LOL at all the people who pounded texas hahahaha

Lexis · 07-10-10, 09:07 PM

Never expect a hot team turns into ice cold suddenly.

Superman_Punch · 07-10-10, 09:35 PM

Wow Lee what a garbage debut!!!

LordVodka · 07-10-10, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Tell me if you made any money at about 10 pm tonight.

Looks like he did. Did you?

Flight · 07-10-10, 09:45 PM

Originally posted by flight

so i guess i am the only one playing texas -355 on the moneyline!! Unbelievable. Although some may think this is suicide, i have no problem laying 3.5 units to win 1 with this team and pitcher combo.

buried

msubulldog · 07-10-10, 09:49 PM

last 3 days have lost 16 parlays (3 teamers) with texas as the only loss. had moneyline on all games except tonight as had texas -1 1/2 in a round robin 4 teamer.
look for texas to fold in 2nd half of season as that is what they always do if in hunt.

Extra Innings · 07-10-10, 09:51 PM

To Chi_Archie

jcygts6 · 07-10-10, 09:57 PM

lol... funny animation ^^

babyanni · 07-10-10, 10:01 PM

good call i passed only because of the high price but then i read lee has a bad time pitching in arlington. crazy

Superman_Punch · 07-10-10, 10:09 PM

**** wish I would have known Lee sucks at Arlington.. Killed my parleys

zert · 07-10-10, 10:14 PM

Good job if they did. wow

Maxmillion · 07-10-10, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

Baltimore hitting over .300 as a team over last week. So they are hitting the ball well right now. They can score runs. Don't trust O's starter or bullpen at all though.

i know that was the crazy thing that tillman pulled a gem out of his ass, who would have figured that

Maxmillion · 07-10-10, 10:32 PM

Texas pushing +300 tommorrow any takers????

konck · 07-11-10, 01:29 AM

Originally posted by konck

On Saturday I'll take that +315 every time

How you guys could want to lay 370 amazes me

mizzoujohn · 07-11-10, 01:34 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Tell me if you made any money at about 10 pm tonight.

just 5 units

OverUnder · 07-11-10, 07:50 AM

andywend · 07-11-10, 07:56 AM

I run simulations of the games. Texas has an 84% chance of winning tonight. Biggest margin I've seen. No game has gone over 80% in the last few years, and over 75% is pretty rare

What possible simulation could you possibly run which says Texas -525 is fair value on this game. I have NEVER laid more than -200 on a baseball game in my life and I have been gambling for almost 30 years.

As bad as laying -200 is, laying -400 is that much worse.

Those that bet Texas got exactly what they deserved.