fenek created a system, let´s see how it works

[iloseagain]

ML
07/08/2010: 8-4 [+1.40units] 66.67%
total: 28-13 [+7.14units] 68.29%

RL
07/08/2010: 4-1 [+2.35units] 80.00%
total: 8-4 [+3.67units] 66.67%

nice nice, but 3-1 on the RL yesterday, not 4-1

[GroundnPound]

Well done man, it seems your killing it.

Your not betting on every game but are you?

[GoggsViggs]

FeneK: nice start so far bro. will be checking you out, BOL!

[fenek]

nice nice, but 3-1 on the RL yesterday, not 4-1

thanks for the info. will be corrected a.s.a.p ! thanks

[fenek]

at the moment i have finished the games for today, here we go. i have to leave now, will be back before the games beginn but wanted to post them early that you can take a look at it. good luck!

07/09/2010 ML

sf giants @ was nationals [to win .62]
cin reds @ phi phillies [to win 1.04]
atl braves @ ny mets [to win .96]
stl cardinals @ hou astros [to win .52]
pit pirates @ mil brewers [to win 1.37]
sd pades @ col rockies [to win .58]
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [to win .75]
chi cubs @ la dodgers [to win 1.35]
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [to win .76]
min twins @ det tigers [to win .75]
cle indians @ tb rays [to win .43]
bal orioles @ tex rangers [to win .41]
kc royals @ chi white sox [to win 1.44]
la angels @ oak athletics [to win 1.01]
ny yankees @ sea mariners [to win .98]

07/09/2010 RL

fla marlins +1.5 @ ari diamondbacks [to win .57]
stl cardinals -1.5 @ hou astros [to win .83]

[fenek]

Looks good so far Fen, BOL to you and ur system!

thank you. the systems numbers are much better than i thought they will be at the start. hope it will continue. good luck to you too

Well done man, it seems your killing it. Your not betting on every game but are you?

no, like i said in one of the first posts this is a testing phase. i will wait one or two weeks until i bet my money on the results. thanks for stopping by.

FeneK: nice start so far bro. will be checking you out, BOL!

[smoovbrotha]

I like that it accounts for dogs too...gl tonight Brah ...gonna be playing some of those picks

[fenek]

i checked my plays at the moment and found a mistake, the numers are correct, only the "bold" function wasnt the right one. my system is calling the bos redsox the winner, not toronto. and the question is if i should take the updated lines from now or the one at the time i posted my plays. like i said i am not betting money on them, just want a running updated record. what do you guys think, keep the old lines or update them ? cause the movements arent low. thanks.


corrected play for 07/09/2010 ML:

bos redsox @ tor bluejays [to win .76]

[fenek]

I like that it accounts for dogs too...gl tonight Brah ...gonna be playing some of those picks

yeah for today i was surprised too that it picked i think 5 or 6 dogs from 15 games, at the start i thought it will pick only favorites, but today has shown us the opposite cause i didnt changed the system.

[fenek]

last update hopefully, here is the complete card for tonight, including updated lines and the yankees game:


07/09/2010 ML

sf giants @ was nationals [to win .65]
cin reds @ phi phillies [to win 1.05]
atl braves @ ny mets [to win 1.03]
stl cardinals @ hou astros [to win .56]
pit pirates @ mil brewers [to win 1.42]
sd pades @ col rockies [to win .58]
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [to win .71]
chi cubs @ la dodgers [to win 1.38]
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [to win .74]
min twins @ det tigers [to win .75]
cle indians @ tb rays [to win .46]
bal orioles @ tex rangers [to win .50]
kc royals @ chi white sox [to win 1.35]
la angels @ oak athletics [to win .95]
ny yankees @ sea mariners [to win .52]

07/09/2010 RL

fla marlins +1.5 @ ari diamondbacks [to win .60]
stl cardinals -1.5 @ hou astros [to win .90]

[thebayareabeast]

Fenek is a beast.

[fenek]

Fenek is a beast.

thanks man, just three days tested... hope it will keep that way. thanks for stopping by, and not i am the beast, the system is hopefully one

[fenek]

07/09/2010 ML

sf giants @ was nationals [to win .65] W
cin reds @ phi phillies [to win 1.05] L
atl braves @ ny mets [to win 1.03] L
stl cardinals @ hou astros [to win .56] W
pit pirates @ mil brewers [to win 1.42] L
sd pades @ col rockies [to win .58] W
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [to win .71] L
chi cubs @ la dodgers [to win 1.38] L
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [to win .74] W
min twins @ det tigers [to win .75] W
cle indians @ tb rays [to win .46] L
bal orioles @ tex rangers [to win .50] L
kc royals @ chi white sox [to win 1.35] L
la angels @ oak athletics [to win .95] L
ny yankees @ sea mariners [to win .52] W

07/09/2010 RL

fla marlins +1.5 @ ari diamondbacks [to win .60] W
stl cardinals -1.5 @ hou astros [to win .90] W

ML
07/09/2010: 6-9 [-5.20units] 40.00%
total: 34-22 [+1.94units] 60.71%

RL
07/09/2010: 2-0 [+1.50units] 100.00%
total: 9-4 [+5.17units] 69.23%


today the system faced reality. a lot of game-numbers have been veeery close, after one week i will add the "no play" function or take the dog as a value bet. when i check yesterdays numbers and look at the results, a´s/kc/cubs and pirates where almost even. only the reds had big numbers for a win, which got destroyed in the last innings. i have to insert a bullpen function, too.

and what i dont like is the fact playing every game with a unit. when we finished the first week testing-phase i will play the games with big numbers to win one unit, and the uncertain ones with a unit. good luck and thanks for reading.

[fenek]

here are todays leans, hope to bounce back:

07/10/2010 ML

atl braves @ ny mets [to win .86]
chi cubs @ la dodgers [to win 1.38]
sf giants @ was nationals [to win .86]
cin reds @ phi phillies [to win .41]
stl cardinals @ hou astros [to win .90]
pit pirates @ mil brewers [to win .57]
sd padres @ col rockies [to win .61]
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [to win 1.27]
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [to win 1.02]
min twins @ det tigers [to win .63]
kc royals @ chi whitesox [to win .54]
cle indians @ tb rays [to win 2.30]
bal orioles @ tex rangers [to win .28]
la angels @ oak athletics [to win .73]
ny yankees @ sea mariners [to win .93]

07/10/2010 RL

no games today





i want to mention that the picks oak athletics, bos redsox and atl braves are just because the numbers are bigger than the factor, but it is almost less than .03% - so i would suggest next week these ones are no bets, but i want to take them into the record for now. lets put them into a seperate "no-bet-record" to see if they should be "no-bets" in future or not

[GoggsViggs]

Fenek: This is good work. I've been using your outputs to cross-reference my own picks and so far, it's been very helpful. keep up the good work bro! left some points for you.

[thebayareabeast]

Fenek, are you keeping a YTD record on this as well?

[fenek]

Fenek: This is good work. I've been using your outputs to cross-reference my own picks and so far, it's been very helpful. keep up the good work bro! left some points for you.

thanks a lot for the points GoggsViggs ! glad to hear that someone can take advantage because of the system. first it was just an idea.. now we have a few days with a running record and things doesnt look bad. it takes more than 2hours a day, but i am so much excited that i will try to keep it running!

Fenek, are you keeping a YTD record on this as well?

the total record which is listed can be called YTD, the system is just for 4 days running i think. thanks for stopping by.

[thebayareabeast]

Best of Luck on this Fenek. I have a good feeling about it.

[fenek]

Best of Luck on this Fenek. I have a good feeling about it.

thank you. the start for today isnt the best with boston down by 3, but yesterdays games all looked real good and got killed late .. so lets see

[fenek]

07/10/2010 ML

atl braves @ ny mets [to win .86] W*
chi cubs @ la dodgers [to win 1.38] W
sf giants @ was nationals [to win .86] W
cin reds @ phi phillies [to win .41] W
stl cardinals @ hou astros [to win .90] W
pit pirates @ mil brewers [to win .57] W
sd padres @ col rockies [to win .61] W
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [to win 1.27] L
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [to win 1.02] L*
min twins @ det tigers [to win .63] W
kc royals @ chi whitesox [to win .54] W
cle indians @ tb rays [to win 2.30] L
bal orioles @ tex rangers [to win .28] L
la angels @ oak athletics [to win .73] W*
ny yankees @ sea mariners [to win .93] L

07/10/2010 RL

no games today

ML
07/10/2010: 10-5 [+2.49units] 66.67%
total: 44-27 [+4.43units] 61.97%

RL
07/10/2010: no games today
total: 9-4 [+5.17units] 69.23%

*possible "no-bets"

07/10/2010: 2-1 [+0.59units] 66.67%
total: 2-1 [+0.59units] 66.67%

[fenek]

phase 2

we have 5 days in the record, the numbers are positive and gave me some indentation. what i dont like is the fact playing every game with one unit. i made some thoughts about that and will put the picks into three different categories from this sunday until next one.

like i said the system works with a factor, when the result is very close to the factor it will be a play with one unit wager. when it is with a comfortable lead the play is to win one unit and when the numbers are clear i will take the runline or when it is an underdog to win 2units.


the games for today will be finished and posted asap.
thanks for reading!

[WiseGrumpy]

Keep it going mate, I like what you are doing.

[fenek]

Keep it going mate, I like what you are doing.

thanks for stopping by, i like the numbers too

[cheaporanges]

Man who says maths sucks!Understand it and it can make you money!wish i paided attention in maths class.
well done fenek,thanks for taking the time and effort brother.Look forward to your plays.I like the RL plays,definte value there.

[fenek]

07/11/2010


category 1 (1 unit)
sf giants @ was nationals [1.00 to win 1.09]
stl cardinals @ hou astros [1.00 to win .98]
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [1.00 to win .95]
min twins @ det tigers [1.00 to win .82]
la angels @ oak athletics [1.00 to win .99]

category 2 (favo to win 1 unit or dogs with 1 unit)

atl braves @ ny mets [1.35 to win 1.00]
cin reds @ phi phillies [1.75 to win 1.00]
pit pirates @ mil brewers [1.85 to win 1.00]
sd padres @ col rockies [1.00 to win 1.20]
chi cubs @ la dodgers [1.00 to win 1.31]
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [1.28 to win 1.00]
kc royals @ chi white sox [1.00 to win 1.13]

category 3 (favo RL with 1 unit or dogs to win 2units)

cle indians @ tb rays -1.5 [1.00 to win .80]
bal orioles @ tex rangers -1.5 [1.00 to win .62]
ny yankees -1.5 @ sea mariners [1.00 to win .64]

[BigJ]

Are you actually betting on EVERY game?

[fenek]

Are you actually betting on EVERY game?

hello BigJ, like i said a few times earlier in this thread, i am running a testing phase for all games to see how the system works. i have to work on some subtleties before i bet my money on the results. but the numbers are looking real good i think, so why not starting action about next week ? let´s see how today is gonna be, wishing you best of luck with your plays whatever you are on

[fenek]

pitching change for KC, the pick is now a category3-play:



kc royals @ chi white sox -1.5 [1.00 to win 1.30]

[TodaysAction]

fenek

[fenek]

fenek

thank you for stopping by TA !


i have seen you are on the rangers and yankees as well, hopefully they will win for us

[miyakuza]

Wow, youre off on a terror today Fenek, I hope they all pull through for you!

[fenek]

Wow, youre off on a terror today Fenek, I hope they all pull through for you!

thank you, it will be a positive day ending with +units, thats sure now. the question is how much winners the system can give us

[yankeerick]

CANT GET ANY BETTER THAN THIS.

[jorge1]

GLAD I TAILED...all EXCEPT THE TEXAS...actually went with the O's

Tomorrow's points will be yours my friend...keep posting

[fenek]

07/11/2010

category 1 (1 unit)

sf giants @ was nationals [1.00 to win 1.09] W
stl cardinals @ hou astros [1.00 to win .98] W
fla marlins @ ari diamondbacks [1.00 to win .95] W
min twins @ det tigers [1.00 to win .82] W
la angels @ oak athletics [1.00 to win .99] W

category 2 (favo to win 1 unit or dogs with 1 unit)

atl braves @ ny mets [1.35 to win 1.00] W
cin reds @ phi phillies [1.75 to win 1.00] W
pit pirates @ mil brewers [1.85 to win 1.00] W
sd padres @ col rockies [1.00 to win 1.20] W
chi cubs @ la dodgers [1.00 to win 1.31] L
bos redsox @ tor bluejays [1.28 to win 1.00] W

category 3 (favo RL with 1 unit or dogs to win 2units)

cle indians @ tb rays -1.5 [1.00 to win .80] L
bal orioles @ tex rangers -1.5 [1.00 to win .62] L
ny yankees -1.5 @ sea mariners [1.00 to win .64] W
kc royals @ chi white sox -1.5 [1.00 to win 1.30] W

ML (category 1+2)
07/11/2010: 10-1 [+9.03units] 90.91%
total: 54-28 [+13.46units] 65.85%

RL (category 3)
07/11/2010: 2-2 [-0.06units] 50.00%
total: 11-6 [+5.11units] 64.71%