y3llow's mlb totals thread

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  • y3llowboi
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-22-09
    • 33

    #1
    y3llow's mlb totals thread
    Hey all Im going to try to keep this thread up as long as possible.

    After going 3-2 today and up 1.2 units I will start posting my totals picks. I rarely play sides (for some reason I can't think of) and I have been playing for a long time (havent kept track of it) so let's just start fresh at 0-0 at +0.00 units

    3 plays for 7/6 tuesday. Plays rated from 1-5 units and always bet to win units. But you are free to play however you like if you decide to follow/fade.


    Lines subject to change as we get closer to game time as bet will be made as late as possible.

    bet to win 2 units over 8.5 ATL/PHI
    bet to win 2 units under 8.5 FLA/LAD

    Total of the Week

    bet to win 5 units under 9.5 STL/COL

    I really dont see how this line can be this high.
    St.Louis is 31-49-2 over-under on the season while
    Col is 36-44-2 over-under on the season.

    Lets take a look at the trends that stand out to me the most.
    Under is 4-0 in Francis' last 4 starts vs. Cardinals.
    Under is 10-3-1 in Francis' last 14 starts overall.
    Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games following a win.

    However
    The Cards are 13-30 O/U following a win. While the Rockies are 23-21 following a win. Which tells me the last trend I mentioned is going to break here and now. Both teams are coming off 5 runs+ or more each game last series, however, after the 4th of July weekend I feel they won't bring the bats to this game as they will be slightly off their game, though I feel the pitchers will bring the heat. I will bet the under on this game for 5 units.

    GL everyone

    points appreciated after you win or now whichever you feel good with
  • D3 Mighty Ducks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-17-09
    • 11939

    #2
    GL I'll keep an eye on this thread for a bit as I suck at betting baseball and usually tail.
    Comment
    • y3llowboi
      SBR Rookie
      • 03-22-09
      • 33

      #3
      Thanks D3
      Current Lines as of now

      ATL/PHI over 8.5 -115
      FLA/LAD under 8.5 +104
      STL/COL under 9.5 EV
      Comment
      • y3llowboi
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-22-09
        • 33

        #4
        updated lines

        ATL/PHI over 8.5 EV
        FLA/LAD under 8.5 -109
        STL/COL under 9.5 -107

        So after losing 300$ to the casino(which is an obvious trap to make up the books money) I really want to hit 3-0

        So lets go$

        GL all
        Comment
        • y3llowboi
          SBR Rookie
          • 03-22-09
          • 33

          #5
          Oh man Delayed game in COL. Im smashing the under . 7 units
          Comment
          • y3llowboi
            SBR Rookie
            • 03-22-09
            • 33

            #6
            A losing day, its ok can't win em all. Looking at 2 possible totals tomorrow

            1-2
            -7.09 units
            Comment
            • y3llowboi
              SBR Rookie
              • 03-22-09
              • 33

              #7
              3 totals on tap

              Under 9 ATL/PHI 3 units
              Under 9.5 BAL/DET 3 units
              Under 8.5 Col/StL 3 units
              Comment
              • y3llowboi
                SBR Rookie
                • 03-22-09
                • 33

                #8
                after 10 days of no betting I will try to get back on track

                now 2-4 for -10.09 units

                1 play for tonight

                Reverse line movement on Min/CHW game. the majority are betting the over and the line has gone down from 8 to 7.5

                Taking the under 7.5 for 5 units
                Comment
                • y3llowboi
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 03-22-09
                  • 33

                  #9
                  1 and a half inning to go for the cover. looking good to get back on track.
                  Comment
                  • y3llowboi
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 03-22-09
                    • 33

                    #10
                    wow i cant catch a break . -15.09 units with both teams starting to score in the last innings. WTH
                    Comment
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