Just another Manic Monday

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  • MR PROFIT
    Restricted User
    • 01-16-10
    • 1514

    #1
    Just another Manic Monday
    Cincinnati @ NY Mets

    Pelfrey is 10-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, & is undefeated at home, Pelfrey at home is 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA. He didn’t fare well against Florida last time out as he lasted just 4.2 innings, giving up 12 hits and throwing over 100pitches. Lifetime he is 3-1 versus Cincinnati in five starts with 4.65 ERA.
    Harang is 6-7, 5.02 ERA,the right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA in four road starts since his only win away from home April 27 in Houston.In two career games against the Mets in New York, Harang is 1-1 with an ERA of 8.00.

    The Mets are 14-3 in their last 17 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    The Mets are 7-1 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 8 starts on grass.
    The Mets are 13-3 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 16 starts.

    The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
    The Reds are 3-13 in Aaron Harang’s last 16 starts on the road versus a team with a winning record.
    The New York Mets are also 4-1 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 5 starts against the Cincinnati Reds.
    The Reds are a non-bet (fade) for me because Aaron Harang is 6-7 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP.

    There’s no way that I can back the Reds and Harang against the Mets and Pelfrey after staring at Harang’s numbers.
    Only 4 out of the 14 games that the Mets have won this season when Pelfrey has started ended as 1 run margin victories.

    over Cincinnati

    NY METS are 18-6 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in Home games at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
  • sweethook
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-21-07
    • 12667

    #2
    very nice i like it, GL
    Comment
    • Samuraifan
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-14-10
      • 364

      #3
      was already on it but feeling v.good with your writeup
      Comment
      • MR PROFIT
        Restricted User
        • 01-16-10
        • 1514

        #4
        no bet 'cause of pitching change in lineup..
        Comment
        • sweethook
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-21-07
          • 12667

          #5
          well good for you, but i had mets and lost iam gone leave cinn. alone .........GL
          Comment
          • geebert74
            SBR MVP
            • 09-03-09
            • 2445

            #6
            it was a hell of a day!
            Comment
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