Cincinnati @ NY Mets
Pelfrey is 10-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, & is undefeated at home, Pelfrey at home is 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA. He didn’t fare well against Florida last time out as he lasted just 4.2 innings, giving up 12 hits and throwing over 100pitches. Lifetime he is 3-1 versus Cincinnati in five starts with 4.65 ERA.
Harang is 6-7, 5.02 ERA,the right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA in four road starts since his only win away from home April 27 in Houston.In two career games against the Mets in New York, Harang is 1-1 with an ERA of 8.00.
The Mets are 14-3 in their last 17 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Mets are 7-1 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 8 starts on grass.
The Mets are 13-3 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 16 starts.
The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
The Reds are 3-13 in Aaron Harang’s last 16 starts on the road versus a team with a winning record.
The New York Mets are also 4-1 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 5 starts against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds are a non-bet (fade) for me because Aaron Harang is 6-7 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP.
There’s no way that I can back the Reds and Harang against the Mets and Pelfrey after staring at Harang’s numbers.
Only 4 out of the 14 games that the Mets have won this season when Pelfrey has started ended as 1 run margin victories.
over Cincinnati
NY METS are 18-6 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in Home games at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
Pelfrey is 10-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, & is undefeated at home, Pelfrey at home is 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA. He didn’t fare well against Florida last time out as he lasted just 4.2 innings, giving up 12 hits and throwing over 100pitches. Lifetime he is 3-1 versus Cincinnati in five starts with 4.65 ERA.
Harang is 6-7, 5.02 ERA,the right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA in four road starts since his only win away from home April 27 in Houston.In two career games against the Mets in New York, Harang is 1-1 with an ERA of 8.00.
The Mets are 14-3 in their last 17 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Mets are 7-1 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 8 starts on grass.
The Mets are 13-3 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 16 starts.
The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
The Reds are 3-13 in Aaron Harang’s last 16 starts on the road versus a team with a winning record.
The New York Mets are also 4-1 in Mike Pelfrey’s last 5 starts against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds are a non-bet (fade) for me because Aaron Harang is 6-7 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP.
There’s no way that I can back the Reds and Harang against the Mets and Pelfrey after staring at Harang’s numbers.
Only 4 out of the 14 games that the Mets have won this season when Pelfrey has started ended as 1 run margin victories.

NY METS are 18-6 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in Home games at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.