You'd be a fool to ignore this line movement

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    You'd be a fool to ignore this line movement
    StL from -191 to -164 (play Brewers?)
    COL from +122 to -103 (play Rockies?)
    ARI from -105 to +114 (play Dodgers?)

    Late money also seems to be coming in on Tampa.
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    STL line didnt move all that much it opened at -170
    Comment
    • shoebox
      Restricted User
      • 11-26-08
      • 5710

      #3
      Nice find
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        STL line didnt move all that much it opened at -170
        Public's pounding them though, buddy, so some sharp dumped a shitload on Milwaukee this afternoon.
        Comment
        • shoebox
          Restricted User
          • 11-26-08
          • 5710

          #5
          Sharps or whales
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by shoebox
            Nice find
            No guarantees, but I've been burned by these kinds of swings before. A lot.

            There's usually a reason for a 20-plus cent shift.

            I played Detroit despite late movement in Seattle's favor tonight. Again, it doesn't mean the play will win or lose, but the justification from some sharp is typically there.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by shoebox
              Sharps or whales
              True.

              Late money is still coming in on Milwaukee, though.
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Public's pounding them though, buddy, so some sharp dumped a shitload on Milwaukee this afternoon.

                ppl are always on STL, it sucks.....im sure there plenty of "sharps" or whatever that find mil attractive, hell just look at how we struggle against lefties at times and how Garcia has pitched lately, i wouldnt be betting it if i didnt decide to chase them this series, cant see them losing all 4 but it gonna be high priced the next 2 so i really hope they win and let me off the hook for the next 2 games....
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Mil has really played well in stl the last 2 years.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    ppl are always on STL, it sucks.....im sure there plenty of "sharps" or whatever that find mil attractive, hell just look at how we struggle against lefties at times and how Garcia has pitched lately, i wouldnt be betting it if i didnt decide to chase them this series, cant see them losing all 4 but it gonna be high priced the next 2 so i really hope they win and let me off the hook for the next 2 games....
                    It's not like Narveson is Johan, though. StL hit him well last time out.

                    Garcia's been struggling a little, but only compared to his Doc Gooden-esque start.

                    I still personally think the Cardinals are the play, but I'm not on it.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                      Mil has really played well in stl the last 2 years.
                      Brewers are much better than their record would indicate.

                      Remember what you were saying earlier about the Rangers? Brewers are pretty much the opposite of that -- especially if this Axford cat can keep closing out games.
                      Comment
                      • Pauulzcappin
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-23-10
                        • 20295

                        #12
                        I'm playing Dodgers.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          just do with STL what i pm'ed you NC, shit is straight cash so far.....
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            just do with STL what i pm'ed you NC, shit is straight cash so far.....
                            My book isn't live on this game.

                            Comment
                            • HOT WINGS
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-29-10
                              • 8055

                              #15
                              I am on the brewers, so your chase will probably be over tonight Bank
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                I am on the brewers, so your chase will probably be over tonight Bank

                                sweeet!!!!!!!!


                                at least one of us will win....
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  STL baby!!!!!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • HOT WINGS
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-29-10
                                    • 8055

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                    STL baby!!!!!!!!

                                    Good start for you. I am just hoping these f'ing Orioles can crush Wakefield right now! 2 on no outs
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                      Good start for you. I am just hoping these f'ing Orioles can crush Wakefield right now! 2 on no outs

                                      usually not always the start is all that matters for STL, our record pretty damn spectacular when we score 1st, when other team scores 1st we dont win.....
                                      Comment
                                      • HOT WINGS
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-29-10
                                        • 8055

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        usually not always the start is all that matters for STL, our record pretty damn spectacular when we score 1st, when other team scores 1st we dont win.....

                                        Damn I hate betting on bad teams but +200 was just to hard to resist against Wakefield O's were in it the whole game just let me down in the 8th.

                                        Garcia is getting out of jams so far but at least brewers are hitting him so they might still have a chance.

                                        You like Stros tonight Bank? Oswalt got hit hard his last start by Rangers, but think he could bounce back against SD bats. Stros bats have been better than average last few games(at least for astros). Latos is solid but thinking more of a value pick with Stros
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          yea i liked the balt pick, just trying to limit my play per day and wasnt about to have balt be one of my 3 plays.....Garcia always lets guys get on base then gets the dps that what he does (one of the best opponent ba against in the league when runners are on)....honestly not sure bout stos, didnt really even look at it to much as i already felt good about the games i had, the over crossed my mind just because sd been flying over these low totals lately.....
                                          Comment
                                          • Masu485
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-14-08
                                            • 7700

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                            Damn I hate betting on bad teams but +200 was just to hard to resist against Wakefield O's were in it the whole game just let me down in the 8th.

                                            Garcia is getting out of jams so far but at least brewers are hitting him so they might still have a chance.

                                            You like Stros tonight Bank? Oswalt got hit hard his last start by Rangers, but think he could bounce back against SD bats. Stros bats have been better than average last few games(at least for astros). Latos is solid but thinking more of a value pick with Stros
                                            i know how you feel about betting on bad teams. there was a span of two weeks not long ago where i had all these bad teams, baltimore, arizona, cubs, pirates, and they ALL were either winning or tied going into the 8th, and all ended up finding ways to lose. these teams will ALWAYS find a way. if ur watching and thinking, 'ok, no matter what they do now, they'll get a run, unless they do this', they will do that exact same thing in order to not get a run in.
                                            Comment
                                            • eatdust11
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-16-09
                                              • 683

                                              #23
                                              That is some major line movement.
                                              Comment
                                              • emoney
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-12-09
                                                • 1481

                                                #24
                                                I liked the Giants but the line movement scared me away.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  HOT WINGS you got me looking at hou/sd, im not thrilled about it as it to much juice, but i think sd is the play and threw a little down on them....gl with your plays
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HOT WINGS
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 8055

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Masu485
                                                    i know how you feel about betting on bad teams. there was a span of two weeks not long ago where i had all these bad teams, baltimore, arizona, cubs, pirates, and they ALL were either winning or tied going into the 8th, and all ended up finding ways to lose. these teams will ALWAYS find a way. if ur watching and thinking, 'ok, no matter what they do now, they'll get a run, unless they do this', they will do that exact same thing in order to not get a run in.

                                                    I hear ya but damn I love to play some dogs (played 3 today O's, Brew, Reds). Most days I try to play 5 games max but I HATE paying juice over -140 unless its a game I feel real confident in (I.E. Tiger games since that is my home team) Thats why with these dogs sometimes FF is a better play, although tonight that O's game would of been a push, but better than a loss. When all else fails I hit up my cash cow and fade the cubs. Thats usually my #1 play of the day
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HOT WINGS
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-29-10
                                                      • 8055

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      HOT WINGS you got me looking at hou/sd, im not thrilled about it as it to much juice, but i think sd is the play and threw a little down on them....gl with your plays
                                                      Yeah I decided to stay away from this game because I couldn't justify SD with all that juice and don't feel like playing a 4th dog of the day as it appear I am going to go 1-2 on my dog plays today.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • t-wizzle
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-18-09
                                                        • 38099

                                                        #28
                                                        Were these moves from the opening line?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                          Were these moves from the opening line?

                                                          2 of them were, STL was not as they closed just a few points below where they opened.....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • HOT WINGS
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-29-10
                                                            • 8055

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                            sweeet!!!!!!!!


                                                            at least one of us will win....

                                                            You win nice call bank
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Sd baby!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gamble
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-30-10
                                                                • 1087

                                                                #32
                                                                only 1 out of 3 actually came through its looking like
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HOT WINGS
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-29-10
                                                                  • 8055

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Good call bank a good night for u average for me as im about even. Glad i stayed off the Stros
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                                    Good call bank a good night for u average for me as im about even. Glad i stayed off the Stros

                                                                    need chi sox +1.5 for a 4-0 night.....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Chi sox !!!!!!
                                                                      Comment
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