Tracking Home Dogs of +101 to +125 (11-3 79% +9.43u since last Thursday)

mrkron · 07-04-10, 12:18 PM

With ya on LAD and Reds. BOL

JerseyShop101 · 07-04-10, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by mrkron

With ya on LAD and Reds. BOL

I also love the fact the Dodgers are an unreal 8-2 against the D-Backs this year.

Cincy is 7-2 as a road dog of +100 to +125 this year. Today gets them win number 8!

ebbearsfb1 · 07-04-10, 04:45 PM

hopefully this thread has staying power

JerseyShop101 · 07-04-10, 08:51 PM

DAY 11 SUNDAY RESULTS:

SUNDAY'S Home Dogs of +101 to +125: 1-2 -.78
PIRATES +122 Won 8-5
TIGERS +105 Lost 1-8
TWINS +111 Lost 4-7

SUNDAY'S Away Dogs of +101 to +125: 3-1 +2.44
REDS +112 Won 14-3
GIANTS +115 Lost 3-4
DODGERS +109 Won 3-1
ATHLETICS +123 Won 3-1

4-3 +1.66

DOGS of +101 to +125:

ALL 35-21 62.5% +18.26

AWAY 18-13 58.0% +7.10

HOME 17-8 68.0% +11.16

JerseyShop101 · 07-05-10, 05:05 AM

DAY 12:

Only 3 plays for Monday, July 5th, 3 Away Dogs:

GIANTS +113
CUBS +119
REDS +121

netinfo · 07-05-10, 05:14 AM

Thanks for posting this strategy. Best of luck.

netinfo

Mr.Carrot · 07-05-10, 05:26 AM

I love these picks too, as I have over 5 years stats, hitrate is around 59% on home underdogs odds +105 - +125 (opening odds), there are some more rules bet or not (for example previous game, total of series etc...), but it is quite profitable

2daBank · 07-05-10, 05:36 AM

Jersey i had to tell some fuks in the PT to check you thread out, keep up the good work.....

rgbraves · 07-05-10, 07:14 AM

another winning day lets keep it up

JerseyShop101 · 07-05-10, 07:59 AM

Thanks guys, I hope you all had a great 4th of July.

JerseyShop101 · 07-05-10, 05:58 PM

Reds game becomes a no play (for this system) because of the late pitching change. Harang is not starting now.

curious · 07-05-10, 06:21 PM

Hey Jersey,
Look at some of the totals for some of these teams when they are dogs at home. Athletics are 7-2 on the OVER when they are a home dog between 124 and 151.

There are a half dozen teams that have lopsided OVER/UNDER results when they are a dog. If I get time later I'll post some stats (for the season broken down by team for the half dozen or so taht are lopsided)

JR007 · 07-05-10, 08:26 PM

Good Luck

JerseyShop101 · 07-05-10, 08:51 PM

Sounds good Curious. Thanks.

2-0 tonight, 3-0 (hopefully) Reds up 8-6 in the 7th, for those who didn't take listed pitchers.

10 straight days of making $$$

JerseyShop101 · 07-05-10, 10:24 PM

DAY 12 MONDAY's RESULTS:

3-0 SWEEP!
(But I will only count 2-0 +2.32 for the system, due to the Red's late pitching change, line went to +145)
All 3 Away Dogs:
GIANTS +113 WON 6-1
CUBS +119 WON 9-4
REDS +121 WON 8-6

DOGS of +101 to +125:
ALL 37-21 63.8% +20.58
AWAY 20-13 60.6% +9.42
HOME 17-8 68.0% +11.16

10 Straight Profitable Days!

netinfo · 07-06-10, 12:07 AM

This is doing quite well Jersey, I like what I'm seeing so far. I can't wait to see what a whole month worth of testing would yield. Best of luck!

netinfo

netinfo · 07-06-10, 12:14 AM

If this strategy can generate at least 40 units a month, 200 units a season, then this is gold!

netinfo

JRswish · 07-06-10, 12:21 AM

so far so good dude! good luck with it

2daBank · 07-06-10, 01:36 AM

great work Jersey...

JerseyShop101 · 07-06-10, 04:33 AM

Thanks a lot guys!

Netinfo- I can only hope!!!

JerseyShop101 · 07-06-10, 04:34 AM

DAY 13
Tuesday, July 6th:

Away Dog:
ATLANTA +123

Home Dogs:
WASHINGTON +102
ARIZONA +108
TORONTO +125

darkenergy · 07-06-10, 05:08 AM

JS, so anything +100 are filtered out?
LAA +100 (road dog) today.

WhiteEagle · 07-06-10, 05:40 AM

Nice system, good luck

darkenergy · 07-06-10, 05:42 AM

Seattle just changed the pitcher, and now +108. Is it official play?

LarryF · 07-06-10, 06:36 AM

Interesing system, let's continue to play while it works. Thanks for the thread!

rgbraves · 07-06-10, 07:00 AM

another winning day lets keep it rolling tonight

JR007 · 07-06-10, 07:02 AM

Good Luck with this

JerseyShop101 · 07-06-10, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by darkenergy

JS, so anything +100 are filtered out?
LAA +100 (road dog) today.

Exactly, must be +101.

whatsgood5 · 07-06-10, 09:43 AM

Hmm very interesting stats. Good work

JerseyShop101 · 07-06-10, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by darkenergy

Seattle just changed the pitcher, and now +108. Is it official play?

Just got in, thank you.

I'm waiting a bit, I have a feeling it will go higher and stay there, becoming a no-play.

Pinny:
07/05 16:07 -101 / -105
07/05 18:18 -104 / -102
07/05 18:29 -106 / +100
Pitching change:
07/06 10:29 -130 / +122 stayed between +101/+125 for 3 minutes.
07/06 10:32 -135 / +127
07/06 10:38 -137 / +129

5dimes:
Pitching change:
07/06 10:12 -130 / +120
07/06 10:17 -132 / +122
07/06 10:18 -133 / +123
07/06 10:29 -132 / +122
07/06 10:37 -135 / +125 stayed between +101/+125 for 43 minutes.
07/06 10:55 -137 / +127

HoulihansTX · 07-06-10, 10:11 AM

Love ATL.

Nicky Santoro · 07-06-10, 10:18 AM

not just home dogs, but all dogs in general have done great since last thursday.. they are only up this much cause you started it last thursday. if you started this exactly 1 month ago, they'd be up so very little.. dogs were cold as ice 2 to 4 weeks ago.

so far, it's too small a sample size to see anything positive..

JerseyShop101 · 07-06-10, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

not just home dogs, but all dogs in general have done great since last thursday.. they are only up this much cause you started it last thursday. if you started this exactly 1 month ago, they'd be up so very little.. dogs were cold as ice 2 to 4 weeks ago.

so far, it's too small a sample size to see anything positive..

Nicky,

I agree its just a small sample size, a tiny one at that. I stated in my 1st post that this was just a recent trend. I'm just hoping it continues and so far its actually been positive everyday.

Also, I'm still playing both Home and Away dogs of +101/+125, not just Home dogs.

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

As most know, I like tracking a lot of recent stats and this one has been doing well the last 8 days, going to see how it continues to do.

Its a very small sample size, but want to track it anyway

I believe the dogs of +101/+125 are more of coin flip games anyway. Hitting 50% is winning money, or even a low 48% can still be plus units.

Plus, I'm just tired of having winning records like 56-44 and still be down units because of the chalk. And honestly to me its less stress, especially when you win half the games already and theres still another game or two to go.

Crnjak · 07-06-10, 11:23 AM

Atlanta ML best bet today!

netinfo · 07-06-10, 04:06 PM

I'll take the 50% on this strategy any day of the week!

netinfo