Fla -130

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  • mandude
    SBR MVP
    • 12-16-09
    • 1474

    #1
    Fla -130
    Are you kidding me. I can get Fla with Johnson at -130? I'll take that any day. I think this a steal to get this guy this cheap. I'm curious why they have him priced so cheap? First I like that in the last three years at Atl he has a 1.29 ERA & a .159 BA against. The Braves regulars don't hit this guy well either. The only one who has hit him with any sucess is Chipper who has a .296 career BA against him. The rest are low .200's. Not good at all. Next I like how Atl is struggling big time at the plate recently. Their last 10 against righties .214, the last 5 against righties .225. These are also not good. Also Johnson is 4-2 with a 2.91 ERA & 1.400 WHIP for his career against Atl & his team is 7-4 in his starts against them. I know Medlen is pitching well too but I don't think he is as dominating as Johnson. Fla is hitting much better recently & they've won 4 out of 6 road games. I think when you look at all this Fla is a steal at -130. Probably one of the better bets on the board tonight in my opinion. I'm going at least 3X or 4X on this one tonight. GL.
  • D3 Mighty Ducks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-17-09
    • 11939

    #2
    Braves are lights out at home. I really like this guy Medlen too i'm kind of leaning Braves +1.5 -158.
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    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      I don't know. Hate to throw this one out there, but isn't JJ "due" for a clunker? I mean, is he going to go 25-3 this year? Fading him at Atlanta against an underrated pitcher in Medlen makes at least a little sense, especially given the Braves are a Friday night home dog with the best home record in baseball.
      Comment
      • mandude
        SBR MVP
        • 12-16-09
        • 1474

        #4
        Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
        Braves are lights out at home. I really like this guy Medlen too i'm kind of leaning Braves +1.5 -158.
        I think the +1.5 could be a good bet but I don't know if I want to lay that juice.



        Originally posted by No coincidences
        I don't know. Hate to throw this one out there, but isn't JJ "due" for a clunker? I mean, is he going to go 25-3 this year? Fading him at Atlanta against an underrated pitcher in Medlen makes at least a little sense, especially given the Braves are a Friday night home dog with the best home record in baseball.

        I see what you're saying. I don't like betting against a team because somebody or something is due. Yes Medlen is underrated & the Braves are a very good home team but the Fish went 5-3 there last season & are 9-9 there the past three. You could also say Medlen is due for a clunker as well because he has'nt imploded yet this season. I just think when you look at how Atl has been hitting lately I don't like how they matchup against Johnson. GL with your play but I'm sticking with the stud Johnson. I'm not over thinking this one.
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        • kc714
          SBR High Roller
          • 04-05-10
          • 202

          #5
          I think Atlanta being the home dog is where the value is here.
          Comment
          • mandude
            SBR MVP
            • 12-16-09
            • 1474

            #6
            Originally posted by kc714
            I think Atlanta being the home dog is where the value is here.
            I think thats what everybody else is going to see & blindly take the best home team in baseball as a dog. Not for me. GL though.
            Comment
            • thebestthereis
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-01-09
              • 11459

              #7
              johnson has losing record on the road. braves have been very good at home with a pitcher who has zero losses at home; the marlins a very average road team and terrible vs righties. i like backing the marlins when they are dogs which is not the case tonight. good luck!
              Comment
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