Was hoping it would be set at 4 to give the saftey net of a push, but I still like it to win at 3.5. Derek Lowe is pitching great right now (3 runs or less in 8 of last 9) and Atlanta's bullpen is solid. Washington hitting just .238 over the last week and .237 on the road this year, and a couple of Washington's better hitters like Dunn and Willingham have terrible career numbers off Lowe.