43-4 Run Line System Over The Last 5 Years

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  • daneault23
    SBR MVP
    • 09-08-09
    • 3865

    #1
    43-4 Run Line System Over The Last 5 Years
    Play Seattle tonight at +1.5 vs the Yanks.

    According to Statfox,
    Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SEATTLE) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. (43-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.5%, +36 units. Rating = 5*)

    The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (34-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
    The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -176
    The average score in these games was: Team 4.3, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1.2)
    The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 34 (72.3% of all games.)

    The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1, +11.9 units).
    Since 1997 the situation's record is: (100-37, +37.1 units).

    Here is the link if anyone is interested: http://statfox.com/statfoxnews/news~...ire-winner.htm
  • ak23
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-16-09
    • 127

    #2
    its about to be 43-5...yanks smoke em tonight by 3+
    Comment
    • daneault23
      SBR MVP
      • 09-08-09
      • 3865

      #3
      Originally posted by ak23
      its about to be 43-5...yanks smoke em tonight by 3+
      Ha, yea I took the Yanks on the ML long before I saw this stat. Seattle's bats just suck too much, and while it will be a low scoring game, I don't really see how the M's can get more runs than the Yankees in this one.
      Comment
      • Qwista
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-14-10
        • 590

        #4
        stop trying to predict this game. 10-8 yankees
        Comment
        • dodger33
          SBR MVP
          • 08-14-09
          • 3962

          #5
          4-3 dont know who wins
          Comment
          • og4667
            SBR MVP
            • 09-17-09
            • 2438

            #6
            43-4 over the past 5 seasons, thats impressive. Maybe jm will do a chase system with it.
            Comment
            • dodger33
              SBR MVP
              • 08-14-09
              • 3962

              #7
              Hot damn nice post!
              Comment
              • woody78
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-18-08
                • 502

                #8
                No shit, nice post. Will look into this later in the season too when it comes up.
                Comment
                • chrisharvard01
                  Restricted User
                  • 10-24-08
                  • 2943

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Qwista
                  stop trying to predict this game. 10-8 yankees
                  dick. FAIL.
                  Comment
                  • chrisharvard01
                    Restricted User
                    • 10-24-08
                    • 2943

                    #10
                    Originally posted by daneault23
                    Play Seattle tonight at +1.5 vs the Yanks.

                    According to Statfox,
                    Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SEATTLE) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. (43-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.5%, +36 units. Rating = 5*)

                    The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (34-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
                    The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -176
                    The average score in these games was: Team 4.3, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1.2)
                    The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 34 (72.3% of all games.)

                    The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6 units).
                    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1, +11.9 units).
                    Since 1997 the situation's record is: (100-37, +37.1 units).

                    Here is the link if anyone is interested: http://statfox.com/statfoxnews/news~...ire-winner.htm

                    interesting system!
                    Comment
                    • warriorfan707
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-29-08
                      • 13698

                      #11
                      What a development... too many variables though
                      Comment
                      • daneault23
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 3865

                        #12
                        Originally posted by warriorfan707
                        What a development... too many variables though
                        Haha yea that's what I was thinking too. WTF lol.. But if it's winning, it's winning. That makes it 7-0 this year
                        Comment
                        • playersonly69
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-04-08
                          • 12827

                          #13
                          NOt bad
                          Comment
                          • playersonly69
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-04-08
                            • 12827

                            #14
                            I had never even heard of that site until today
                            Comment
                            • Tomasitas
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-17-10
                              • 1174

                              #15
                              You were right
                              Comment
                              • dolphan34
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-09-10
                                • 423

                                #16
                                Anyone able to post these when they come up? That is a lot of stats to track.
                                Comment
                                • stikymess
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-19-10
                                  • 3288

                                  #17
                                  Nice hit.
                                  Comment
                                  • thebestthereis
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-01-09
                                    • 11459

                                    #18
                                    No way it won Yanks were winning that game by a lot, I changed my scoreboard. Yanks won system lost.
                                    Comment
                                    • HedgeHog
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-11-07
                                      • 10128

                                      #19
                                      Interesting angle. Congrats on the easy win.
                                      Comment
                                      • HedBustah1
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-05-09
                                        • 653

                                        #20
                                        Good find and nice hit
                                        Comment
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