Bases loaded - no outs - % chance of scoring runs?

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  • Sandro777
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-14-08
    • 368

    #1
    Bases loaded - no outs - % chance of scoring runs?
    Anyone know off the top of their head what this number looks like? I find it maddening watching games I have a stake in when a team cannot manage a flyball or anything to produce runs with no outs bases loaded...
  • Joe Dogs
    SBR MVP
    • 07-20-09
    • 1931

    #2
    On Oakland by any chance?
    Comment
    • Sandro777
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-14-08
      • 368

      #3
      Yes, but Im a Braves fan as well and have always wondered what their percentage of no run bases loaded situations is compared to other teams. Back when they stopped making the playoffs it seemed like it happened a lot.
      Comment
      • Whippit
        Restricted User
        • 04-29-10
        • 3065

        #4
        ~91%

        the other 9% is more luck than anything & ain't gonna be evenly distributed across all teams
        Comment
        • iwant2lrn
          Restricted User
          • 06-10-10
          • 164

          #5
          yeah tampa had that situation couple nights ago and nothing. Stupid no hitter
          Comment
          • pinnerpsk
            SBR MVP
            • 03-16-09
            • 1687

            #6
            Originally posted by Whippit
            ~91% the other 9% is more luck than anything & ain't gonna be evenly distributed across all teams
            Thats it?? I thought it would be 95% or so
            Comment
            • dolphan34
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-09-10
              • 423

              #7
              ESPN's gamecast is pretty cool and it will give you this info during the game. I can't tell you the numbers now, but at the bottom of gamecast it gives % chances of runs to be scored in the inning given the current number of baserunners/outs.
              Comment
              • iwant2lrn
                Restricted User
                • 06-10-10
                • 164

                #8
                but it seems like if the numbers favor what you want to happen it never happens
                Comment
                • Ryangene
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-04-08
                  • 3381

                  #9
                  The twins were like 0-14 to start the year or close to that...
                  Comment
                  • TheCentaur
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-28-11
                    • 8108

                    #10
                    On gamecast just now the Angels had bases loaded no outs and it showed a 42% chance of scoring a run or more that inning
                    Comment
                    • hubbard689
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-28-12
                      • 583

                      #11
                      wow Gamecast looks sweet, thanks for the info
                      Comment
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