Twins@mets

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  • mdyles1988
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-28-09
    • 310

    #1
    Twins@mets
    Pavano vs Santana.... Thoughts guys?
  • tkt
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-14-07
    • 238

    #2
    kind of tough game, I am leaning towards under 7,5 as the best bet
    Comment
    • rochestertitans
      Restricted User
      • 12-14-09
      • 8149

      #3
      over 7 dont fall for the under and hunt for the 7 its out there
      Comment
      • alling
        SBR MVP
        • 05-13-10
        • 1405

        #4
        ny mets rl
        texas rl
        cincy rl
        oakland rl
        Comment
        • tkt
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-14-07
          • 238

          #5
          OK
          no bet on the total then
          too tricky this
          Comment
          • jaymac82980
            SBR MVP
            • 01-08-09
            • 3416

            #6
            mets are pretty hot right now.
            Comment
            • sharper2
              SBR MVP
              • 03-30-10
              • 2724

              #7
              Pavano has been pitching lights out in has last 3. Lotsa factors point towards Minny I think, plus this is a good team, I don't think they'll drop 5 straight. As underdogs, they might be worth a small play, even though the Mets have been hot lately. BOL on whatever you decide
              Comment
              • Dirty Bay Player
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-05-09
                • 705

                #8
                Most of the Twins hitters don't have any batting history against Santana. Mets also have little batting history vs. Pavano. Wright is 4-6 lifetime vs. Pavano with a homerun. Not saying these career batter vs. pitcher stats mean anything, but just noting.

                Both pitchers are sort of at similar points in their season, with relatively weak win-loss records. Pavano's been very unremarkable on the road for his career (sub- .500). Pavano has given up 11 home runs in last 10 starts (and Santana 8). The Mets have been on the road a lot lately, and Santana has only had three home starts in the last ten games (he got hit hard by two NL West teams, San Diego and San Francisco ... but had a great start against the Yankees).

                Given the lack of historical AB's for each team against the respective pitchers, I don't see any real edge in any of the matchups. I also don't see either pitcher being on any more of a roll than the other (both have pretty mediocre W-L records).

                For me, just gut feeling says the Mets continue to be hot, Pavano gives up at least one big HR, and this is a game where Santana grinds out an 8- inning, 2 run outing.

                Mets 5 Twins 2.
                Comment
                • cro
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-16-09
                  • 1088

                  #9
                  5-9
                  Comment
                  • sharper2
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-30-10
                    • 2724

                    #10
                    Wow excellent analysis! Thank you, that actually helped make my decision on this game. Let's go mets
                    Comment
                    • patswin
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-05-06
                      • 1794

                      #11
                      like the mets today good price with santana at home
                      Comment
                      • darkenergy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 4013

                        #12
                        Originally posted by patswin
                        like the mets today good price with santana at home
                        I feel it a bait,...............price even better now if you still like Mets -125.
                        I just booked twins
                        Comment
                        • jbrent95
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-07-09
                          • 1221

                          #13
                          The Mets are a play for me.
                          Comment
                          • GonzosDirtyTrail
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 06-26-10
                            • 714

                            #14
                            Originally posted by darkenergy
                            I feel it a bait,...............price even better now if you still like Mets -125.
                            I just booked twins
                            I'm with darkenergy on this one. Santana's going against his old teammates, so the emotion throws the traditional wisdom out the window for me, plus with Morneau and Mauer in the lineup, you really can't trust that the Twins won't go off.
                            Comment
                            • Bostongambler
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-01-08
                              • 35581

                              #15
                              Going with the small dog Twins here. Mets are hot as you say but taking a shot.
                              Comment
                              • spippen
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-17-09
                                • 3874

                                #16
                                Santana is a "has been", Twins team total over is my play.
                                Comment
                                • MB
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-05-09
                                  • 1072

                                  #17
                                  Im on the Mets. Not the start i wanted but a long way to go. Also have the Nats and Reds
                                  Comment
                                  • darkenergy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-08-09
                                    • 4013

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by spippen
                                    Santana is a "has been", Twins team total over is my play.
                                    I should have put my mortgage on this play, now I won't have to wait for uncle Obama to bail me out .
                                    Great call spippen
                                    Comment
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