Kendrick, Shields, and Nippert are all -180 today (or -175 at some places). None of these pitchers are -180 material. I am fading all three today. I think this is a decent risk because if you go:
3-0 you win 5.1
2-1 you win 3.4
1-2 you lose .3
0-3 you lose 3
I think the most likely result is 1-2, so I'm willing to risk .3 to win 3.4 or 5.1.
3-0 you win 5.1
2-1 you win 3.4
1-2 you lose .3
0-3 you lose 3
I think the most likely result is 1-2, so I'm willing to risk .3 to win 3.4 or 5.1.