Cincinatti Reds +110 *** LOCK ***

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  • nobs
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-09
    • 4216

    #1
    Cincinatti Reds +110 *** LOCK ***
    The Lock of the night is the Cincinatti Reds going up against the Oakland A's tonight. the Reds have the better starting pitcher, better bats, and are getting +110. Thus making this an hard play to pass up.

    Tonight the Reds start Bronson Arroyo. Arroyo is a workhorse type who seems to always kick butt but never gets his due. To me, Arroyo is one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. While his 4.53 ERA may not seem that great, he is turning in nearly 7 innings per start, and it is in those later innings that his ERA has gone up.

    Arroyo's 14 starts have been for a total of 94 innings this year. In those 94 innings, he has given up 87 hits and 47 runs while allowing only 9 home runs. If there is one issue that Arroyo struggles with it is walks. He has allowed 37 walks this year which is another reason that his ERA is a little higher than it has been in previous years.

    On the other side of the ball, the Oakland A's start dallas Braden. Braden of course threw the perfect game earlier this year, but hasn't picked up a win since then. In fact the A's are something like 1-8 in his starts since that night. Even with Braden's 2 complete games this year he still only averages about 6 innings per start this year. If you take out those 2 complete games, Braden has 12 starts for a total of 68 innings. So other than those 2 games, he is averaging 5 1/2 innings per start. Braden has given up 1 hit per inning this year.

    The Reds bring a far superior offense. This offense was shut down in its last 3 games by the Mariners and Cliff Lee and Felix Hernandez. So I expect this Reds offense to explode tonight at the expense of Braden and the A's. This is just too strong an offense to stay down for long.

    Reds.

    Cabrera .251
    Phillips .305
    Votto .315
    Rolen .301
    Gomes .298
    Bruce .265
    Nix .244
    Hernandez .290

    Now admittedly Cabrera is not producing as well as a lead off man needs to. The .251 batting average is not good enough as he needs to get on base to get things going for this team. Still, the #2-#5 hitters are call it .300 + hitters, and then the bottom 3 average .260 which is better than most teams bottom 3. This Reds offense is a lot to be reckoned with and its the reason this team remains one game out of first place.

    The A's offense

    Davis .282
    Barton .270
    Jackson .248
    Suzuki .273
    Sweeney .297
    Kouzmanoff .281
    Ellis .285
    Pennington .222


    The A's dont have a .300 hitter in their entire lineup.This is a lineup that I think Bronson Arroyo will sail through. I dont expect more than 2 runs by the a's tonight at the most and even 2 runs I would be rather surprised. I think the Reds win this game by at least 3 runs, but the lock of the night for tonight is Cincinatti ML + 110.
  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #2
    Yep I'm on Oak
    Comment
    • nobs
      Restricted User
      • 08-31-09
      • 4216

      #3
      # 15 nobs 18-8-0 +11.73

      HoulihansTX - Not in the top 300 then I stopped looking
      Comment
      • nobs
        Restricted User
        • 08-31-09
        • 4216

        #4
        Off to a great start here, hopefully it keeps up.

        Reds threaten in both the 1st and 2nd, meanwhile arroyo is perfect through 2 innings.

        Reds 2 A's 0
        Comment
        • nobs
          Restricted User
          • 08-31-09
          • 4216

          #5
          Reds threatening again in third, so far Dallas Braden has retired 6 batters and given up 6 hits
          Comment
          • nobs
            Restricted User
            • 08-31-09
            • 4216

            #6
            3-0 Cincinatti and the Reds have a man at 2nd with 0 out
            Comment
            • nobs
              Restricted User
              • 08-31-09
              • 4216

              #7
              Walk.

              Braden has thrown 50 pitches and gotten 6 outs
              Comment
              • nobs
                Restricted User
                • 08-31-09
                • 4216

                #8
                3-0 heading into the bottom of the 3rd.

                Reds could easily be up more.
                Comment
                • thebestthereis
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-01-09
                  • 11459

                  #9
                  if you took oakland you just don't have a clue, no matter what happens in this game.
                  Comment
                  • nobs
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-31-09
                    • 4216

                    #10
                    Crisp homers dammit

                    3-2 Reds
                    Comment
                    • nobs
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-31-09
                      • 4216

                      #11
                      Arroyo throwing a lot of balls
                      Comment
                      • nobs
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-31-09
                        • 4216

                        #12
                        Originally posted by thebestthereis
                        if you took oakland you just don't have a clue, no matter what happens in this game.

                        Agree
                        Comment
                        • nobs
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-31-09
                          • 4216

                          #13
                          Cabrera Sucks. every time he bats its a big spot and he makes an out every time
                          Comment
                          • thebestthereis
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-01-09
                            • 11459

                            #14
                            spew out 1000 stats and a story and it all sounds great but if you are betting on braden right now you just don't get it.
                            Comment
                            • emoney
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-12-09
                              • 1481

                              #15
                              I like the Cincinatti Reds
                              Comment
                              • nobs
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-31-09
                                • 4216

                                #16
                                3-2 through 4

                                Big top of the 5th coming for the Reds I hope.

                                Through 4 innings ---

                                The Reds have had 10 base runners --- 3 runs
                                The A's have had 2 base runners -- 2 runs

                                Fking sucks, the score could easily be 7-2 right now
                                Comment
                                • nobs
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 08-31-09
                                  • 4216

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                  spew out 1000 stats and a story and it all sounds great but if you are betting on braden right now you just don't get it.

                                  Hmmm. Have a hard time reading the title of the thread ?

                                  Cincinatti Reds +110 *** LOCK ***
                                  Comment
                                  • nobs
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-31-09
                                    • 4216

                                    #18
                                    come on Reds
                                    Comment
                                    • nobs
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-31-09
                                      • 4216

                                      #19
                                      yes
                                      Comment
                                      • HighFive
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-01-10
                                        • 377

                                        #20
                                        love betting on the reds
                                        Comment
                                        • nobs
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-31-09
                                          • 4216

                                          #21
                                          4-2 and a chance for more

                                          Come on Reds
                                          Comment
                                          • thebestthereis
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-01-09
                                            • 11459

                                            #22
                                            braden has lost 400 straight games, you don't bet oakland i don't care about anything else. you take the reds or find another game. no other stat means a thing to me in this game but that. i did not bet the game but i hope you win.
                                            Comment
                                            • nobs
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-31-09
                                              • 4216

                                              #23
                                              Even though we are winning 4-2, I hate games like this.

                                              The Reds have had runners in scoring position every inning, have had 2 hits in every inning since the first, and have pretty much squandered most of their opportunites, they have 4 but could have 8 or 9.

                                              The A's on the other hand have gone 1-2-3 in every single inning except 1. In that inning the first two guys made outs then come a single, then homer, then out. So they have had 2 guys not make an out and they both score.

                                              I guess 4-2 is nice but I hate when you let the other team hang around in a game that should be a blow out, often you lose those game late.

                                              Hope not here though, come on Reds
                                              Comment
                                              • nobs
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-31-09
                                                • 4216

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                                braden has lost 400 straight games, you don't bet oakland i don't care about anything else. you take the reds or find another game. no other stat means a thing to me in this game but that. i did not bet the game but i hope you win.

                                                Yeah I hope I win too sice I took the Reds
                                                Comment
                                                • nobs
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-31-09
                                                  • 4216

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                                  braden has lost 400 straight games, you don't bet oakland i don't care about anything else. you take the reds or find another game. no other stat means a thing to me in this game but that. i did not bet the game but i hope you win.

                                                  Yeah Braden has pitched like sbhit tonight and he is damn damn lucky that he has only given up 4
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nobs
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 08-31-09
                                                    • 4216

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice quick bottom of the 5th.

                                                    Arroyo has gotten into the 6th on just 68 pitches.

                                                    Orlando Cabrera looking like crap. 0-3 in 3 big at bats and now he makes an error.

                                                    Watching the top of the 6th then going to eat, come on Reds lets get some more here in the 6th
                                                    Comment
                                                    • nobs
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-31-09
                                                      • 4216

                                                      #27
                                                      Fking Cabrera

                                                      0-4

                                                      1 error
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mlb
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-04-09
                                                        • 10509

                                                        #28
                                                        you def aren't shy are you...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nobs
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-31-09
                                                          • 4216

                                                          #29
                                                          Phillips with a double.

                                                          Braden at 100 pitches.

                                                          Come on Reds lets score him
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nobs
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 08-31-09
                                                            • 4216

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by mlb
                                                            you def aren't shy are you...
                                                            Only around cute girls, I just get so nervous
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nobs
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 08-31-09
                                                              • 4216

                                                              #31
                                                              Come on Votto
                                                              Comment
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