Today's card was tough, not much jumping out at me. Will give my reasoning in a second, but my play for tonight is:
San Francisco Giants +140
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#2
I'm leaning Jays, but not sure about this one.
I'll probably stay away. Don't like it as much as I did earlier.
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gshock1
SBR Hall of Famer
12-04-09
5366
#3
Hope you are wrong this time - your reasoning has been spot on lately.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#4
I like it. Am thinking about doing it.
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D3 Mighty Ducks
SBR Posting Legend
12-17-09
11939
#5
Jays bats have been terrible as of late but they might just light up tonight at home. I'd stay away from this bet.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#6
Ok I just did it. SF +135 risking 100 to win 135.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#7
First the recap. 2-0 last night winning with the Rockies and Royals. For tonight, I like the San Francisco Giants and Barry Zito. The Toronto Blue Jays are just horrid against Lefties. In their last 10 they are batting a brutal .205 against lefties. Did you know that dating back to the year 2000, Barry Zito is 8-2 against the Blue Jays? He has not lost to this team since 2003! Blue Jays counter with Brandon Marrow. Not a good sign for anyone that likes the Blue Jay's. He is 4-5 on the year, sporting a 5.14 ERA, and his team just never gives him run support. On top of that the Giants are just CRUSHING righties right now as they are batting an awesome .302 in their last 10 games. Giants excel in inter league games against good teams. They are 5-0 in their last 5 inter league games against a team with a winning record. 5-1 in their last 6 overall inter league games, 4-1 in their last 5 against the AL East, and 4-1 in their last 5 friday games! Those are some serious numbers to look at right there. As I dug deeper into the pitching matchup, I found out some nice stats for Giants backers. Giants are 4-0 in Zitos last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, Giants are 6-0 in Zitos last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, and Giants are 7-0 in Zitos last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. I also found out that the Giants are 9-2 in Zitos last 11 starts with 5 days of rest. I can keep going and get my 10 points, but I will stop here as I want some of you guys too see this before the game starts. Fade or play, best of luck my friends.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#8
I like SF tonight. Zito is going to pitch well and I look to get some runs of Morrow. Just feels like a great dog play.
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#9
Morrow has a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts, FWIW.
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D3 Mighty Ducks
SBR Posting Legend
12-17-09
11939
#10
I'd still be careful with going against the Blue Jays bats. You stated in there that Jays don't give Morrow run support. I would have to disagree on that and say that besides this slump the Jays have been in, they were putting up some serious run support for their starters. Jays return home and there bats might come alive.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#11
Originally posted by gshock1
Hope you are wrong this time - your reasoning has been spot on lately.
Lol why is that, you already on the BJ's?
Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
Jays bats have been terrible as of late but they might just light up tonight at home. I'd stay away from this bet.
Was gonna stay away from the whole card. Like I said nothing crazy jumped out at me besides this game. GL!
Originally posted by warriorfan707
Ok I just did it. SF +135 risking 100 to win 135.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#12
Originally posted by No coincidences
Morrow has a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts, FWIW.
He hasnt faced SF in his last 3 starts.
Giants have 2nd best BA in the NL.
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hush-hush
Restricted User
12-15-09
622
#13
Altough I'm on the opposite side - cause I played this earlier - thanks for the nice write up.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#14
every time I see that avatar I stare at it for about 10 seconds.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#15
Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
I'd still be careful with going against the Blue Jays bats. You stated in there that Jays don't give Morrow run support. I would have to disagree on that and say that besides this slump the Jays have been in, they were putting up some serious run support for their starters. Jays return home and there bats might come alive.
Here's his last 3 starts....You call that run support?
6/12/2010 @ COL S L 0-1 L 119
6/6/2010 vs. NYY S ND 3-4 L 122
5/31/2010 vs. TB S W 3-2
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mart59a
SBR Wise Guy
01-21-10
936
#16
Jays win by at least 2 runs.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#17
Originally posted by warriorfan707
every time I see that avatar I stare at it for about 10 seconds.
Originally posted by mart59a
Jays win by at least 2 runs.
K, thanks for the analysis.
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hush-hush
Restricted User
12-15-09
622
#18
Originally posted by warriorfan707
every time I see that avatar I stare at it for about 10 seconds.
Every time I see my avatar, I could jack off.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#19
2nd and 3rd 1 out
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#20
be a shame if they don't get at least 1 here.
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D3 Mighty Ducks
SBR Posting Legend
12-17-09
11939
#21
Originally posted by Mr Windy City
Here's his last 3 starts....You call that run support?
6/12/2010 @ COL S L 0-1 L 119
6/6/2010 vs. NYY S ND 3-4 L 122
5/31/2010 vs. TB S W 3-2
I know his last 3 outings haven't been great. Look who those two teams were agaisnt at home Yanks and Rays. The game in Colorado was a perfectly pitched game that the Jays hitters should of scored a ton but didn't take advantage (I remember that game). Other then that i'm wishing you luck as I don't have any money on it.
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warriorfan707
SBR Posting Legend
03-29-08
13698
#22
pandaval hitting with bases juiced
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#23
Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
I know his last 3 outings haven't been great. Look who those two teams were agaisnt at home Yanks and Rays. The game in Colorado was a perfectly pitched game that the Jays hitters should of scored a ton but didn't take advantage (I remember that game). Other then that i'm wishing you luck as I don't have any money on it.
Appreciate it, D3! But that's exactly my point, they coulda scored but didnt! No run support last few games.
Bags packed for Giants, c'mon strike first!
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#24
6 straight balls thrown by morrow....don't screw this up!
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#25
7 straight balls.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#26
8 straight! 1-0 Giants!
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lovetobet
SBR MVP
10-06-08
1294
#27
First run walked in, would be 2 if Uribe wasn't swinging at runs over his head and bouncing on the f*cking plate. Morrow's thrown 28 pitches already in the 1st inning.
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WillC
SBR MVP
11-10-09
1831
#28
he cant throw strikes
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#29
This guy is all over the place lmao. 10 straight balls
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D3 Mighty Ducks
SBR Posting Legend
12-17-09
11939
#30
Originally posted by lovetobet
First run walked in, would be 2 if Uribe wasn't swinging at runs over his head and bouncing on the f*cking plate. Morrow's thrown 28 pitches already in the 1st inning.
Morrow just blew up.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#31
good start, but there should have been at least 2 or 3 that inning damnit!
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Reed Harris
Restricted User
12-14-09
194
#32
Pitch count high if we get into the Blue Jay bullpen we should win the game. Good luck on Giants as well.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#33
Originally posted by Reed Harris
Pitch count high if we get into the Blue Jay bullpen we should win the game. Good luck on Giants as well.
Thanks Reed, appreciate it brotha
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lovetobet
SBR MVP
10-06-08
1294
#34
Originally posted by Mr Windy City
good start, but there should have been at least 2 or 3 that inning damnit!
Agreed, Uribe is a free swinging (see undisciplined) jackass but he never gets cheated from a swing even when he's golfing at the damn thing.
Zito 5 pitches, 2 outs, lets get Morrow back out there quick.
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Mr Windy City
Restricted User
12-27-09
5018
#35
I'm gonna step out for a second. Make sure nothing stupid happens, ok guys? lol