Cubs Might Be A Good Play Tomorrow (Part Deux)

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  • Mr Windy City
    Restricted User
    • 12-27-09
    • 5018

    #1
    Cubs Might Be A Good Play Tomorrow (Part Deux)
    1-0 so far in Cubs game predictions. Backed the Cubs with Big Z in Miller Park last time out. Cubs won pretty easily and I think that might happen again tonight. The Cubs lost pretty bad yesterday to the A's 9-5 and had a horrific 4 fielding errors in the game. Tomorrow night (Wed) is a good/beter spot in my opinion. Cubs have Dempster going who really hasn't been anything great this year with a 4-5 record but then again Gio Gonzalez isn't anything to brag about either. Plus, I like Dempster, I think he's a bulldog and will give you everything he has each game. Now back to Gio Gonzalez. He has given up a total of 10 runs in his past two starts, and the A's just don't like when Mr. Gonzalez pitches on Wednesday, ESPECIALLY if the Vegas boys make them a dog. Check this out: A's are 1-9 in their last 10 games as a dog between +110 and +150. A's are 0-4 in the last 4 starts by Gonzalez on a Wednesday, and a just brutal 17-36 record in their last 53 inter-league games as a dog. That means you get to cash your ticket 68% of the time fading the A's as dogs. And the big factor to me about this is he is a LEFTY. Cubs have hit lefties pretty good this year. They have a .275 avg overall this season against southpaws, and .287 against them in the last 10 games. They are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starting pitcher. The Cubs have the edge in starters and bullpen against the A's in this game. Also, Oakland has problems when inter-league rolls around for some reason. They are a miserable 3-8 the last 11 inter-league games. We got Umpire Greg Gibson behind the plate today calling the balls and strikes. This man has treated the home teams particularly well this season. Home teams are a fantastic 11-3 straight up this year with him behind home plate. Home teams are also avg a winning margin of 1.5 runs. If you followed Mr. Gibson, a $100 player would be up almost $800 following the home team. To make my case even more for the home team when he is umping is, Home Favorites that are between -120 and -140 are 4-0 this season. Morning line has Cubs at -135. Makes me feel a little better about this with him behind there. If you have not figured out who I like in this one yet go get your head checked

    Just for good measure here are a few other trends that caught my eye. Cubs look really strong here boys, fade or play Best Of Luck my ninjas!

    • Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
    • Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
    • Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
    • Cubs are 61-26 in their last 87 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

    Chicago Cubs -135
  • ezmoney
    SBR MVP
    • 09-26-09
    • 1564

    #2
    Went against Cub yesterday and won, like Dempster today, probably their best pitcher! Bounceback game.

    EZ
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      when i started looking at the card i was doing everything i could to go against the scubbies, then i noticed a few of the things that i see you have down in the write up, oak def not same on road (esp bullpen) Gio has struggled of late and last but not least the ump stats jumped out, and you went above and beyond with some nice facts i didnt even get into, NICE WORK!! think you got a winner here my friend, was thinking about passing but between what i was thinking and reading this im with it....

      check out the ump for the la/cincy game and cincy's bats against lefties as well, think you may see some similarities (except of coarse kershaw is a better pitcher) let me know what you think....
      Comment
      • bozeman
        SBR MVP
        • 11-11-09
        • 2162

        #4
        good luck on your next cubs picks
        Comment
        • geebert74
          SBR MVP
          • 09-03-09
          • 2445

          #5
          good luck my friend!
          Comment
          • superman613
            Restricted User
            • 06-15-10
            • 906

            #6
            good write up

            GL
            Comment
            • midnight777
              Restricted User
              • 09-10-09
              • 504

              #7
              cubs are such a hit or miss team..
              Comment
              • Mr Windy City
                Restricted User
                • 12-27-09
                • 5018

                #8
                Originally posted by 2daBank
                when i started looking at the card i was doing everything i could to go against the scubbies, then i noticed a few of the things that i see you have down in the write up, oak def not same on road (esp bullpen) Gio has struggled of late and last but not least the ump stats jumped out, and you went above and beyond with some nice facts i didnt even get into, NICE WORK!! think you got a winner here my friend, was thinking about passing but between what i was thinking and reading this im with it....

                check out the ump for the la/cincy game and cincy's bats against lefties as well, think you may see some similarities (except of coarse kershaw is a better pitcher) let me know what you think....
                will look into that my friend, let you know later on today, appreciate the input.

                Thanks boze, geebert, and superman!! Let's go Cubbies

                Originally posted by midnight777
                cubs are such a hit or miss team..
                Very true. Gotta know when to hit 'em
                Comment
                • Mr Windy City
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-27-09
                  • 5018

                  #9
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  when i started looking at the card i was doing everything i could to go against the scubbies, then i noticed a few of the things that i see you have down in the write up, oak def not same on road (esp bullpen) Gio has struggled of late and last but not least the ump stats jumped out, and you went above and beyond with some nice facts i didnt even get into, NICE WORK!! think you got a winner here my friend, was thinking about passing but between what i was thinking and reading this im with it....

                  check out the ump for the la/cincy game and cincy's bats against lefties as well, think you may see some similarities (except of coarse kershaw is a better pitcher) let me know what you think....
                  Ok see where you are going with this one. Ump is 10-3 for the home team this year. Cincy batting .291 against lefties and a crazy .336 in the last 10 days against lefties. I sort of like the under here too. This ump calls a lot of strikes, 62% of the time to be exact. He also avg's 12 strikeouts a game and out of the 13 games he has umped only 6 have gone over.....Reds and Under?

                  I will wait another half hour and then decide on that one. Good luck though 2dabank.
                  Comment
                  • walshy83
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-16-10
                    • 130

                    #10
                    Big Z, is a pathetic excuse for an $18 million dollar arm. Prop to his agent.
                    Comment
                    • Duby
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 3608

                      #11
                      Im also on Cubs tonight....GL to both of us!
                      Comment
                      • Mr Windy City
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 5018

                        #12
                        Originally posted by walshy83
                        Big Z, is a pathetic excuse for an $18 million dollar arm. Prop to his agent.
                        Okay, but what does that have to do with anything in this thread?

                        Originally posted by Duby
                        Im also on Cubs tonight....GL to both of us!
                        Thanks Duby, let's cash it!
                        Comment
                        • ExposingLines247
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-25-09
                          • 1001

                          #13
                          i hope this works out for you here, you def did your hw here lets hope the trends stay true bol
                          Comment
                          • Mr Windy City
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-27-09
                            • 5018

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ExposingLines247
                            i hope this works out for you here, you def did your hw here lets hope the trends stay true bol
                            Thanks. Worked out last time I did this. If not, I will still wake up tomorrow hopefully
                            Comment
                            • mitote
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-29-10
                              • 588

                              #15
                              Cubs are a lock tonight!
                              Comment
                              • Mr Windy City
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 5018

                                #16
                                Originally posted by mitote
                                Cubs are a lock tonight!
                                wow, for real man? You gotta come in here and use the "L" word!?!?!?!

                                Phuck me.
                                Comment
                                • BamaBill67
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-12-08
                                  • 682

                                  #17
                                  I liked the write up so much that I put 4 units on it.........GL to us
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr Windy City
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-27-09
                                    • 5018

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BamaBill67
                                    I liked the write up so much that I put 4 units on it.........GL to us
                                    We got it bama!

                                    Congrats to all Cubs backers. This one was too easy
                                    Comment
                                    • mitote
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-29-10
                                      • 588

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Mr Windy City
                                      wow, for real man? You gotta come in here and use the "L" word!?!?!?!

                                      Phuck me.
                                      You guys are too funny! The dreaded "L" word!?!?! Phuck me!

                                      Another easy LOCK winner for me!
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr Windy City
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-27-09
                                        • 5018

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by mitote

                                        You guys are too funny! The dreaded "L" word!?!?! Phuck me!

                                        Another easy LOCK winner for me!
                                        All I'm saying is you don't gotta come here when I'm already on them and call it a LOCK. Nothing is a Lock mitote. I'm glad we both cashed but I'am a gambler, and I'am a littler superstitious, that's all.....
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Nice call again!

                                          Comment
                                          • Mr Windy City
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-27-09
                                            • 5018

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            Nice call again!

                                            Thank you sir.

                                            Be on the lookout for Part Tree sometime in the near future
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Mr Windy City
                                              Thank you sir.

                                              Be on the lookout for Part Tree sometime in the near future
                                              If you can successfully spot when to actually back the Cubs on a regular basis, you should be handicapping professionally.

                                              Comment
                                              • Mr Windy City
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-27-09
                                                • 5018

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences

                                                If you can successfully spot when to actually back the Cubs on a regular basis, you should be handicapping professionally.

                                                Haha. Good point. But, I won't be doing it on a regular basis. That is almost impossible. I feel if I can win with them by spot playing them once a week I should be okay. I won't release these unless I'm very positive that they should win.
                                                Comment
                                                • baazigar
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-09-08
                                                  • 1589

                                                  #25
                                                  i like the OVER a lot
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr Windy City
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 5018

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by baazigar
                                                    i like the OVER a lot
                                                    LOL.

                                                    This play was from yesterday Baazigar, but best of luck!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mitote
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-29-10
                                                      • 588

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Mr Windy City
                                                      All I'm saying is you don't gotta come here when I'm already on them and call it a LOCK. Nothing is a Lock mitote. I'm glad we both cashed but I'am a gambler, and I'am a littler superstitious, that's all.....
                                                      Like I said you guys are too funny! What other words don't you want me to use?
                                                      Comment
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