Snowball's daily MLB

[Snowball]

ok I had a couple other threads but am letting them go. one was the system i still track and use for a starting point (records h/a coming off a one-run loss) which was base over 50% and now refined with per team data.
and another with units that was too time consuming for me because then I have to place the actual bets which is obviously more important.. I spend my time researching, thinking and arranging.. Thursday I went 5-0 and yesterday 5-1.
This has to be as simple as just picking games and discussion.
parlay arrangements occur regularly but not always.
I will post the plays in starting time sequence. Odds are Betjam or 5Dimes although I still use VIP.

Marlins +114
Cardinals -142
Padres +120
Red Sox -190 best pick
Tigers -148
Rockies -124
Dodgers -127

[fly fisher]

Good luck snowball, hoping you have another good day.

[Snowball]

thanks, fly.. as long as boston wins, i will. that bet is enough to take care of all others.

[Wilforth]

I'd add Giants +109 to those.

[jackpot269]

GL today !!! Do u play that many games everday?

[Snowball]

GL today !!! Do u play that many games everday?

not always. only when i see something i like worth putting money on.

[No coincidences]

Great to see, SNOW! Hope you keep it up!

BTW, Celts cover on Sunday -- if not win outright. Gasol's an idiot for opening his mouth.

[Snowball]

noco, did you see when Gasol flopped so obviously he got called for a foul ?
that was hilarious.

[Muddy]

I reallllly like San Diego today. They played well even in their loss yesterday.

[Snowball]

Padres and Marlins were dissapointing..
they are two teams I rarely go with.
Philly bats are creeping back.. which I like for future plays.
Tigers, Red Sox, Cardinals delivered the goods.
Rockies and Dodgers tbd.

[Snowball]

Sunday:

Red Sox RL -110
White Sox RL +135
Rockies RL -130

[Snowball]

well the Red Sox bats went sour and Francona put in Okajima (Choke-a-Jima)
to blow the game in extra innings. He should have left Papelbon in. Today's relievers are treated like primadonnas. White Sox and Rockies gave up late runs to win the game but not cover the RL.
That's what I get for being a pig..

Monday:

Red Sox ML I locked this in last night at -140 and now it's -150 or higher.
Phillies -180
Reds -128
Braves +118
Rockies -165
A's -125
early game Cubs -145

[bigsmitty]

noco, did you see when Gasol flopped so obviously he got called for a foul ?
that was hilarious.

I missed the game but they have to do that to keep some jerkoffs in line. You'd think the embarassment of doing that around a bunch of grown men would be enough...Good luck with the plays.

[Snowball]

Cubs hit and Silva goes to 8-0 !

[lyon804]

Congrats Snowball. Good to see your system doing well. I look forward to reading your post. Congrats on your Celtics too BTW.

[Snowball]

hey lyon feel free to post game ideas here.
tonight Red Sox, Phillies are my favorites
Reds,Braves,Rockies,A's are 2nd tier.

what's the chart in your avatar anything in particular ?

[bigsmitty]

Nice start with BOS Snowball. Uhoh, 2 on on in 3rd...Cheers

[Snowball]

Sox are too good to lose tonight, especially after just dropping that extra-inning game at Baltimore last night.

[jaymac82980]

what up snow!

Hope my comments are welcome too....i also took the sox tonight. can't see them dropping tonights matchup with the indians. I also agree with braves and rockies (although its a pricey play)...I think D-Lowe getting +money is a great wager, he's been too hot lately to be a dog in this spot. I liked the reds, but I didnt wager on that one.

However, I do have to disagree with your A's pick. I think the angels are playing great ball right now, and Kazmir is pretty hot. I think he hands the A's another loss at the hands of LAA. Angels already beat Sheets once this year, and they are 4-1 last 5 games vs oakland (5-0 last 5 in oaktown) too many signs pushing me towards taking a hot Kazmir with a favorable line. Although this bet could blow up in my face, I just cant bet against the Angels tonight.

GL

[bigsmitty]

I've never actually watched in detail much of Matzuzka's pitching (sp off I know) but he seems like my type of pitcher from what I've read-very accurate with a whole lot of nutbar thrown in...Playing pick up ball with the neighborhood kids Sun reminded me how freaky it can be as a batter...Cheers

[lyon804]

hey lyon feel free to post game ideas here.
tonight Red Sox, Phillies are my favorites
Reds,Braves,Rockies,A's are 2nd tier.

what's the chart in your avatar anything in particular ?

If I have anything worth posting I will.


As far as the chart goes... It is a binomial distribution chart. I came across it and started studying it. Nothing complex but by understanding it even more it gives you a better feeling about why MM is so important for even long term winners.


Is the Celtics going to get the job done tonite?

Good Luck on your plays.

[Snowball]

three run lines tonight..

Red Sox -1.5 (-105)
Yankees -1.5 (-145)
Philadelphia -1.5 (+150)

[Snowball]

2/3 almost 3/3.
Phillies back in swing.

[Snowball]

Just goin Red Sox easy money

[nicsbr]

Just goin Red Sox easy money

hope so else whole sbr will cry

[Snowball]

well i had a funny feeling about Sox facing Masterson, who they traded away..
he had his best outing of the year, complete game and Sox threw in the scrubs, their AAA relievers after Bucholz was down 3-0 and Sox bats were stifled all game.

my research says these are good bets today

3:10pm Astros +138 or RL +1.5 (-170)

7:05pm Phillies -165 or RL -1.5 (+135)

[Snowball]

Cardinals -140
Blue Jays +1.5 -120
Red Sox -145