Perfect storm of corrections: Silva vs. Oswalt

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Perfect storm of corrections: Silva vs. Oswalt
    If I'd have told you before the season that on June 5, 7-0 Carlos Silva would be facing 3-7 Roy Oswalt, you would have had me committed on the spot.

    Oz is a small favorite in this game (-108). Astros have won four in a row, and he's coming off an ejection. He shut down the Cubs in April at Wrigley.

    Silva, meanwhile, has been terrific. His road numbers from 2006-08 were nothing short of horrific, though (10-27 record, ERA around 7), which makes me think he's due for a major correction here -- both record-wise and because he's on the road, facing a staff ace on a suddenly-hot team.

    Give me the 'Stros here.

  • brumbies
    SBR MVP
    • 02-21-09
    • 1489

    #2
    Wasn't he supposed to start today against the 0-7 Paulino? That would have been great value to fade him. Now, to fade him, I have to lay juice. Nevertheless, I am still gonna lay about 2 units on Oswalt. No way Silva continue his blistering start. I will be truly shocked if he does not get shelled for 5-7 runs right off the bat. He's gonna finish the year with a below .500 win ratio.
    Comment
    • blingish
      SBR High Roller
      • 05-02-10
      • 219

      #3
      Umm... I got Ryan Dempster and Oswalt for Saturday. Did I miss something? SBR, My book and covers all say Dempster goes Sat.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by blingish
        Umm... I got Ryan Dempster and Oswalt for Saturday. Did I miss something? SBR, My book and covers all say Dempster goes Sat.
        Interesting. Yahoo has Silva.

        Comment
        • blingish
          SBR High Roller
          • 05-02-10
          • 219

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Interesting. Yahoo has Silva.

          Just checked cubs.com and it lists Dempster as well.
          Comment
          • PAULYPOKER
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-06-08
            • 36581

            #6
            Comment
            • jtarbear
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-28-10
              • 314

              #7
              Thought I heard Lou has Silva in make up game against Pitt on Monday. Bringing out his best pitcher to try to beat Pitt. Pitt has been all over Chi this year.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                In any event, Houston is still the play. Dempster's given up 12 runs in his last 20 road innings, and the Cubs are in a tailspin regardless of who's pitching for them. They are lost offensively.
                Comment
                • blingish
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-02-10
                  • 219

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  In any event, Houston is still the play. Dempster's given up 12 runs in his last 20 road innings, and the Cubs are in a tailspin regardless of who's pitching for them. They are lost offensively.
                  Couldn't agree more! BOL
                  Comment
                  • goldengreek
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-25-07
                    • 8340

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    In any event, Houston is still the play. Dempster's given up 12 runs in his last 20 road innings, and the Cubs are in a tailspin regardless of who's pitching for them. They are lost offensively.
                    dont do it
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by goldengreek
                      dont do it
                      Really? Why not?

                      Comment
                      • brumbies
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 1489

                        #12
                        In yahoo's preview of the game, Dempster was in their writeup. Just a typo on their part. Silva will be going up against Eveland on Monday. I believe Pittsburgh will be severe underdogs. Great value to fade Silva then.
                        Comment
                        • ezmoney
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-26-09
                          • 1564

                          #13
                          Lost on Zambrano yesterday, playing HOU today -108, bargain for Oswalt!

                          EZ
                          Comment
                          • ICE-BLOOD
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-21-08
                            • 1004

                            #14
                            oswalt at home -108 does look good despite a poor last outing
                            Comment
                            • Chi_archie
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-22-08
                              • 63167

                              #15
                              pretty sure its dempster on the bump today
                              Comment
                              • midnight777
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-10-09
                                • 504

                                #16
                                I have no clue how the cubs play. they are so off and on?
                                Comment
                                • paco
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-07-09
                                  • 62873

                                  #17
                                  It's against Demoster. Take Oswalt at a great price.
                                  Comment
                                  • oiler
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 06-06-09
                                    • 6585

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    If I'd have told you before the season that on June 5, 7-0 Carlos Silva would be facing 3-7 Roy Oswalt, you would have had me committed on the spot.

                                    Oz is a small favorite in this game (-108). Astros have won four in a row, and he's coming off an ejection. He shut down the Cubs in April at Wrigley.

                                    Silva, meanwhile, has been terrific. His road numbers from 2006-08 were nothing short of horrific, though (10-27 record, ERA around 7), which makes me think he's due for a major correction here -- both record-wise and because he's on the road, facing a staff ace on a suddenly-hot team.

                                    Give me the 'Stros here.

                                    its amazing that the cubs actaully got the best of a trade,when they traded silva for bradley.i was the happiest cub fan in the world.bradley rips the cubs and says they are racial and now thathes in seattle,he saying the same thing,maybe he needs to realize he really sucks and shouldnt be on any major league team.he had one good year and thinks hes a albert pujouls.he needs to pack his bags and go play in japan.american players do good over there and maybe after he sucks over ther,he will say the are racial too.but love silva to keep up the good work
                                    Comment
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