---My official MLB thread - Strong picks and HOT chicks---

Francesco · 07-01-10, 09:12 AM

Good luck Wise !!

I.L.S · 07-01-10, 09:15 AM

clbonham2 · 07-01-10, 09:19 AM

I like the Reds pick

dynamitappletini · 07-01-10, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by I.L.S

Wow how many body parts are photoshopped there?

Thanks for the picks WG need a bounce back!

GL all!

btd · 07-01-10, 09:39 AM

Love the pics ,but I must say I've never heard the term MILF before. Middle aged females? Could someone clue me in? Thanx

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 09:40 AM

Ok guys, have one late pick LOCKED looked into it for a while, will post it right after the 1st game.

fly fisher · 07-01-10, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by btd

Love the pics ,but I must say I've never heard the term MILF before. Middle aged females? Could someone clue me in? Thanx

Mothers I'd Like to F____. You fill in the blank.

tischa · 07-01-10, 10:38 AM

rofl!
next topic should be GILF *muahahaha*

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 10:45 AM

Important:
Things are changing fast, so I must place my bets on the two plays I like for the late games, I sent minimum bets on them and will decide what will be my final wager after I publish the titles for each play.
Coming up ...

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 10:47 AM

7/1/2010
Rangers
ML (Back up on the +1.5)
BIG LOCK
For every 100$ you win 105$
bet #31

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 10:48 AM

7/1/2010

Twins Vs Rays
UNDER 8 Runs
BIG LOCK
For every 100$ you win 90$
Bet

iloseagain · 07-01-10, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by WiseGrumpy

Important:
Things are changing fast, so I must place my bets on the two plays I like for the late games, I sent minimum bets on them and will decide what will be my final wager after I publish the titles for each play.
Coming up ...

im assuming it was a small moneyline that is getting bigger?

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 10:52 AM

5 plays total today, bet them right, you will make money for sure.
BOL.

iloseagain · 07-01-10, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by tischa

rofl!
next topic should be GILF *muahahaha*

i think you mean DILF haha

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 11:06 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

im assuming it was a small moneyline that is getting bigger?

The line in my UNDER was 8.5 and dropped to 8 so I didn't want to wait any longer.
Anyway all plays are up, early like I always do it. I love working all day and have all my plays early.

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 12:08 PM

WOW the Indians are playing really well lately, great hitting.

fly fisher · 07-01-10, 12:09 PM

wow, back to back homers in the clev/tor game at the bottom of the 4th. Now 4-0. 5 more runs please.

fly fisher · 07-01-10, 12:15 PM

wow it is now 6-0 bottom of the 4th win a man on base. 3 more runs please.

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by fly fisher

wow it is now 6-0 bottom of the 4th win a man on base. 3 more runs please.

Yanks started well, I hope they win 10-0.

Tower · 07-01-10, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by WiseGrumpy

Yanks started well, I hope they win 10-0.

I hope so, Its time to take the books for a ride!

fly fisher · 07-01-10, 12:20 PM

yea, just saw that in the 1st they are up 1-0 with one out. I would love to see that. BTW, I love your avatar.

golf420 · 07-01-10, 12:24 PM

gl today grumpy!!

WiseGrumpy · 07-01-10, 12:32 PM

That should have been the OVER. Bases loaded, 1 out, and somehow a double play. Oh well, a lot of ball to play. I hope the Jays wake up it will make it a lot easier.

aeschylus · 07-01-10, 12:57 PM

These bets need to start to land, I don't want to stop tailing you but you are making it very hard to keep the faith

BL · 07-01-10, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by aeschylus

These bets need to start to land, I don't want to stop tailing you but you are making it very hard to keep the faith

MLB: 84-69-10 54.6%
MLB MONSTER bets: 20-10-0 66.67%

Tail Grumpy if you like to. Leave if not. Not every bet can win. WGs record speaks for itself

aeschylus · 07-01-10, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by BL

MLB: 84-69-10 54.6%
MLB MONSTER bets: 20-10-0 66.67%

Tail Grumpy if you like to. Leave if not. Not every bet can win. WGs record speaks for itself

actually your statement makes you look like one of the many newcomers, Grumpy's own statement was Monsters will Hit 80%, then he revised it down to 75%

and we sit on 66%, and at the odds we play we are getting very close to a overall loss which is about 56%.

the normal MLB bets at 54% are on the edge of a overall loss, in fact I would suspect they have gone into a overall loss.

It is easy to spout percentages, but we are almost always playing at under evens, so 54% is effectively losing.

and with tonights normal bets looking bad, that is certainly a loss overall. So it pains me to say as it stands I would have to recommend stopping playing the normal MLB picks.

I would love Grumpy to tell me different but the numbers dont lie

BL · 07-01-10, 01:18 PM

I am no Grumpy sheep fyi. but I love to read who he is liking in mlb as he does his homework very well.
I dont post my plays at sbr fyi. 66% on heavy bets is more than solid. point.

aeschylus · 07-01-10, 01:24 PM

Originally posted by BL

I am no Grumpy sheep fyi. but I love to read who he is liking in mlb as he does his homework very well.
I dont post my plays at sbr fyi. 66% on heavy bets is more than solid. point.

But I am not questioning his monster bets at all, all I said was he is running well below the target he set.

My issue is with the normal bets, that after 163 bets they are at best just about break even. So why play them?

BL · 07-01-10, 01:29 PM

ok got your point aeschylus! wouldnt be the worst if someone whos tailing him simply played the monsters

fly fisher · 07-01-10, 01:49 PM

wow, 6 runs in the 4th inning then basically nothing. Sorry guys for getting excited and reporting that on here, feels like I jinxed us as no more runs from clev and only one from toronto. Bummer.

BL · 07-01-10, 01:52 PM

the over should have cashed for you but the jays couldn't even score in the 9th with loaded bases.

SolidDala · 07-01-10, 01:57 PM

Its one thing to talk % in NBA at -110 lines or better, but % do not mean much for baseball... All I know is that no monster has worse line then -125 meaning 55% is profitable longterm! So what the goal of 80-75% ain't hitting, thats just a goal, a winner sets a high goals of coarse its in a winners nature!

Tower · 07-01-10, 03:38 PM

Not a good start to the day.... Cmon reds!!

btd · 07-01-10, 03:45 PM

WG, have been following , and tailing your picks for a couple of weeks now, thanx for the$$$ I've won, just courious , could you give a brief analysis on Texas tonite? Thanxx

buzzer · 07-01-10, 03:47 PM

lets go cincy, bases loaded