Thanks for the feeback WG. One thing that I have been looking hard at to determine my pick is the pitchers overall ERA as it compares to their last 3 starts. I have been looking for the trend where either an ERA improves over the last 3 as compared to overall or if it is getting worse. The thinking is that it gives some info if the pitcher is hot or stuggling at this point. I think that is what you are referring too at least I hope so.
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Good picks Grump, we'll get that A$$!Comment -
Indeed.Originally posted by fly fisherComment -
WG, PLEASE be carefull of that Boston game. Boston burned alot of people on Sun. including me.
My system tells me, NOT to bet against a team that lost 2 or more games in a row, especially
a home team. And more so on a series. Teams don't like to be swept.
Sun. Balt. lost 3 and beat Boston 4-3. Today, Clev. has lost 3 and lost 2 in the series.
My stats for the game are: Bos. +215 in the standings, 61% away record, avg 6 runs over
5 gms. ERA 2.39 8-3. Great stats, but they were even better on Sun.
Clev. avg'd 5 runs last 5. Too close for me.
Sun. there were 10 gms that lost 2 or more games. One won on RL and 8 won SU.
Today there are 6 games that lost 2 or more games in a row. FL., Cinci., St louis,
Clev., Toronto and Pitt. DO NOT BET AGAINST THESE TEAMS !!!
Love what I'm saying or hate it. Not bashing or being negative. Just be careful.Comment -
Jennifer EllisonComment -
NOW THATS WHAT IAM TALKING ABOUT GRUMP, a double dip which do you eat first.
Originally posted by WiseGrumpy
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Parlayed all 3 with Yankees Runline. Hope to meet you at the bank Grumpy
See you there
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You do realise she's pregnant in this picture...Originally posted by Smithers-Jones
Jennifer EllisonComment -
grumpy what do you think about red sox at -2.5 ?Comment -
Tailin today for the first time. GL
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come on soxs what the heck are they doing
both times i seen masteron pitch hes done good. wtfComment -
Need the sox to pick it up.Comment -
0-2 not exactly the way i saw this night going, basically like losing at least 2 monsters with all the damn juiceComment -
boofhead.Comment -
Indians laying the smackdown.Comment -
lil greedyOriginally posted by ebbearsfb1
Got a bit to greedy with these bets myself. 0-4 in the last strong/monsters. And the over later tonight which I'm not expecting too much from. Better luck next time Grumpy...Comment -
at -2.5 you didn't lose any juice. That is a positive to take from that. If you were going to do it, tonight was as good a night as any. Sox with a lot of lefty hitters, Masterson allows a near .350 BA to lefties, Buccholz was pitching well. It just didn't work out. Like I said though you didn't lose any juice.
Tough night WG. You have been good overall so tonight was just one of those nights. Right back to the winners tomorrow.
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Glad I chose to quit baseball early, not really my thing anyway.
From the look of things I believe WG is a good capper and obviously has a good record, but I'd advise anyone looking to make money on baseball to follow him throughout the season and not just on big plays, because big plays in baseball are completely hit and miss IMO.
Just my 2 cents.Comment -
Looks like you're 0-3 today...tomorrow will be a better dayComment -
Well that is a rough 2 days, I thought yesterday was bad, but today 0-3 and dropping a massive 65 units on a your biggest bet of the year.
I am sure it is a blip, but I would hate for all the excellent hard work you have done to be un-doneComment -
Originally posted by aeschylus
True.
Tomorrow is another day man
Time to start fresh
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It's been a rough couple of days for us here. Gotta keep the faith. Basball is a long long season, and things will turn around. You just can't get down on yourself, and sooner rather than later we will be congratulating the man once again for his picks
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Tough times the last few dayz. Keep on truckin WG, you'll get hot again in no time at all.
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Hello everyone. It was an awful day after some amazing days. I have looked into many things all night long to reevaluate everything and I'm not worried. As I said I have done this for a living for three years, bad days are part of the game, losing big bets is part of the game. I had a MONSTER start to the season and then an average May and I came back roaring. What I do like is the maturity and understanding in the comments. Not one negative one which makes me feel better because even though I lost money, I hate seeing other ppl losing with me, I'm here to give from my knowledge.
I'll turn around and I'm sure, the ppl that will have faith and stay for it will benefit from it big time.
After the two days I had today I will take my time and might post the final plays late, but I will be expecting one HUGE bounce back.
Thnx guys I really appreciate the support not only in good times.Comment -
you give up your time to post these mate, why anyone would be negative I have no idea, I would doubt you would of found one person in the world who would of predicted a rout against the Red Sox last night.
The fact you have been going for 3 years shows it works, I know you play poker, but I am hoping it is your Capping that really brings home the bacon?
My only slight worry is that you would start to chase, but allready from your post above I can see you dont. we are all here with you, if we can give you a Virtual Man Hug, lets brush off, Lick our wounds and send notice to the Bookies, you may have won a battle last night, but this is OUR War, and we are coming for you!Comment -
Loved the last sentence. That is exactly right!!!Originally posted by aeschylus
As you said I don't chase, chasing is part of bad money management, and money management is the #1 skill is gambling and in life in general.
After days like this (the most I had in 3 years were 4 days in a row which is VERY low) I simply take more time in learning the games because when I miss bets it means there are changes because I know the things I do are correct.
About poker, I have one bankroll for both and step it up this year in favor of the sports gambling actually because I felt I learned so much I should.
Anyway, today I want to post at least 1 MONSTER, 1 STRONG and 2 regulars. I have some very strong leans. Will post All league plays pretty soon.
About the negative posts. I saw a lot of great posters go away from the forum because when they did well ppl were rooting and thanking them, and when they had a few bad days the things ppl said to them were awful. People tend to have a short memory in all realms of life. I mean we had an AMAZING start to this thread and I can bet my life the stretch will be even better, bad days come and go, but they are VERY rear for me, that is why I'm so sure about the near future.
What I do after 0-X days is simply study more.Comment -
To be fair...
Originally posted by rkelly110
To be fair Aeschylus there was at least one person who had predicted the negative trend for Boston, but we didn't listen to him. I 'm sure that will come back the wins, but we must learn from our mistakes, we must learn to hear the opposed prediction too.
I don't want to be negative, i trust you W.G., but lost a lot yesterday and i' m a little disappointed. Anyway, in the long term i'm sure that a man who says "I can bet my life", will bring us profit! So, keep going and let's go back to the wins today with a strong monster bet!Comment -
Started following W.G picks yesterday, nice start
But I got confidence. Will be following you atleast till end of July, so hopefully things turn around
Good Luck!Comment -
No doubt and I didn't ignore that great comment but my bets are placed and then I post them here, and I have never canceled a bet in my life. The stats that were posted and the trend are true but not for the most part. What happened yesterday was a complete shocker but it happens and thankfully not usually. And yes I stand behind my statement.Originally posted by PROMAS
They will.Originally posted by ScimmiaPazzaStarted following W.G picks yesterday, nice start
But I got confidence. Will be following you atleast till end of July, so hopefully things turn around
Good Luck! And VERY soon.
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All league plays 6.10.2010:
WhiteSox. OVER.
Reds. OVER.
Cubs. OVER.
Rockies. UNDER.
Angels. OVER.
Braves. OVER.
Nats. UNDER.
RedSox. UNDER.
Yankees. UNDER.
Phillies. OVER.
Rays. OVER.
Padres. UNDER.
Rangers. OVER.
Royals. UNDER.Comment -
it's nice to see a thread like this --- win or lose , no haters --
I'm not following this enough to play , but I enjoy coming to this thread from time to time. Hope you all end up winning.Comment -
remember...
then it was on their side to encourage you i just can say this - look at the Laker_Crazy's mlb thread, first and second page. he had 0-9 (or even more when he started) and when i read his thread few days ago he was up 50something units. so, money management pays off.
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Maybe it's been asked before, but couldn't find it in this thread. What do the italic names and results mean?Comment -
Guys
not sure if i am alone, just noticed my bet got refunded for the red sox game!!!!!
must of been a pitcher change, was I alone?Comment -
6/10/2010
Rockies Vs Astros
UNDER 8.5 Runs
BIG LOCK
For every 100$ you win 90$
Bet
Comment
