Anyone crazy enough to take Cleveland +278 on Saturday?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Anyone crazy enough to take Cleveland +278 on Saturday?
  • mvp123
    SBR MVP
    • 07-24-06
    • 1736

    #2
    why not i had the royals today and clevland
    Comment
    • tanner40
      SBR MVP
      • 03-24-10
      • 2129

      #3
      Not me
      Comment
      • dolphan34
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-09-10
        • 423

        #4
        It seems like a ridiculous price for Sabathia, but then again I can't see Cleveland winning so no bet for me.
        Comment
        • Jonah
          SBR MVP
          • 10-21-09
          • 4042

          #5
          Lots o threads be moving to players talk
          Comment
          • DeluxeLiner
            SBR MVP
            • 01-29-08
            • 4132

            #6
            There might be some value here but I don't think it is really worth it to take either side. I would love it at +300.
            Comment
            • STAY STRONG
              SBR MVP
              • 03-07-10
              • 2498

              #7
              probably better to pass on this one...
              Comment
              • PAULYPOKER
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-06-08
                • 36581

                #8
                There is always value going against heavy chalk for the simple fact the books give you the false illusion that if you eat the chalk like a good boy your bet on it is guaranteed.. Wrong!!!! I seen this happen a lot more times than not ,,,Just look what happened to the Redsox 2 days in a row now,, they were the hottest team in the MLB coming into the series beating the shit out of the Rays they swept them I'll add,,,, also the Yanks and the Twins now all the sudden they lose to the worst team in baseball the Fukkin Royals twice to boot!!!! Ya right this MLB is more rigged I think than the NBA and that is a very very very very bad thing...

                Now back to your question Coin,,,,, you would be crazy to back the Yanks -320 but you would be smart if you backed the Indians at +270 but you must only play 37% of your base unit but if you backed the yanks you would have to risk 320% of your base unit[/strike]
                Comment
                • TylerDurden
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-06-10
                  • 1427

                  #9
                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                  There is always value going against heavy chalk for the simple fact the books give you the false illusion that if you eat the chalk like a good boy your bet on it is guaranteed.. Wrong!!!! I seen this happen a lot more times than not and you can almost guarantee that if the Yanks topple the list of public play the Indians will win..............Just look what happened to the Redsox 2 days in a row now,, they were the hottest team in the MLB coming into the series beating the shit out of the Rays they swept them I'll add,,,, also the Yanks and the Twins now all the sudden they lose to the worst team in baseball the Fukkin Royals twice to boot!!!! Ya right this MLB is more rigged I think than the NBA and that is a very very very very bad thing...

                  Now back to your question Coin,,,,, you would be crazy to back the Yanks -320 but you would be smart if you backed the Indians at +270 but you must only play 37% of your base unit but if you backed the yanks you would have to risk 320% of your base unit
                  I respectfully disagree with this. Just because there's value there doesn't mean its a "smart move" per say. This is not poker where you're getting pot odds on a set win percentage (say the flush you're chasing hitting a certain percentage of the time, etc)...there is still a very small chance cleveland wins here.

                  You are correct in saying you would be foolish to lay -320 on the yanks, but that does not make laying ANYTHING on cleveland a "smart move" IMO. because even if you're only paying 37% of your base unit to win a unit profit, you have to win this play about 1-3 times to break even on a play with these odds. I'm not certain but I'd venture a guess that +270 dogs do not win approximately 1-3 times.

                  Seems that this is a clear no play, but I agree you are foolish to EVER lay -300 on any game in a sport where a team plays 160+ games.
                  Comment
                  • jagaf22
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-08
                    • 2932

                    #10
                    Or take them RL at + money
                    Comment
                    • PAULYPOKER
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-06-08
                      • 36581

                      #11
                      Pittsburgh beat Holaday and Phili at +260 St Louis& Garcia at+185 Dodgers at +240 Brewers at+200 D-backs at +225
                      KC just beat Boston 2 days in a row at +185 and +175
                      Cleveland- well they suck I couldn't find a game where they won as heavy dogs this season so the right play would be Yanks RL or stay away
                      Comment
                      • Shortstop
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 01-02-09
                        • 27281

                        #12
                        I'm taking the Yankees today!
                        Comment
                        • cala56
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-25-10
                          • 4231

                          #13
                          its a hard play
                          Comment
                          • bigsmitty
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-12-10
                            • 3026

                            #14
                            If you have an extra chunk I would. I may include it in my plays today after I look-the numbers are surprisingly okay if you ask me, especially for your ROI. Cheers
                            Comment
                            • bigsmitty
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-12-10
                              • 3026

                              #15
                              Similar idea with SEA and LAA if you ask me-with the lines. I know the hitting and spitching should favor the angels but for that price? Cheers
                              Comment
                              • rydaphotoguy
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-31-10
                                • 753

                                #16
                                I am on Yanks runline. BOL
                                Comment
                                • Terrapin Station
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-05-10
                                  • 2583

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by STAY STRONG
                                  probably better to pass on this one...
                                  Agree with you on that.
                                  Comment
                                  • steve18
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 662

                                    #18
                                    There is value for sure, but I would only play it at your minimum bet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Panekkkk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-12-09
                                      • 2430

                                      #19
                                      There isn't value here. Move along folks.
                                      Comment
                                      • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-29-07
                                        • 26068

                                        #20
                                        no way cc had his worst start last game he gave up 6 runs...... now huff clevelands starting pitcher has a 6.11 era on the road and hes playing in nyy stadium.. also puitching coach for the yanks saw a problem in cc's delivery and they had a few workouts during the week they say they fixed his delivery problem.. yankee skipper said thats what his issue was delivery was off with canu hitting hot i say no take nyy and i also like -1.5 as well
                                        Comment
                                        • alling
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-13-10
                                          • 1405

                                          #21
                                          Yankees seem to be playing better of late. CC due for a big game. Cleveland playing the worst ball last 10 games. Yanks - runline.
                                          Comment
                                          • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 11-29-07
                                            • 26068

                                            #22
                                            btw im not playing yankee ml i never play -300 juice .....ever.. so rl -140 was good for me today
                                            Comment
                                            • Darkside Magick
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-28-10
                                              • 12638

                                              #23
                                              There is no way anybody should play cleveland today... i dont care if it was +500!!!!!!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • saints7011
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-21-09
                                                • 5544

                                                #24
                                                I would probably stay away and play the RL tomorrow...
                                                Comment
                                                • Darkside Magick
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-28-10
                                                  • 12638

                                                  #25
                                                  glad i played the yankess today 9-3 top of 5th ... i may play against the Indians for the rest of the year!! lmaooooo
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nah0228
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-20-10
                                                    • 262

                                                    #26
                                                    glad i took the yanks as far as it looks now into the 5th
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MUHerd37
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-23-09
                                                      • 12816

                                                      #27
                                                      I got the Yanks. It's now 10-6 Yanks with 1 out and 1 on in the 7th. I'm not feeling all that comfortable right now. Yankees bullpen has been completely unreliable at best. Robertson relieved CC in the 7th and he just got injured after 1/3 inning. Mitre on the mound now. Orioles have scored in 4 straight innings now.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cruyff
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-09-08
                                                        • 1041

                                                        #28
                                                        11-10 tribe
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ThaTopMoron
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-30-10
                                                          • 27020

                                                          #29



                                                          i hate baseball
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Darkside Magick
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-28-10
                                                            • 12638

                                                            #30
                                                            This is nuts!!!!!!!! just crazy
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              Wow.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cruyff
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-09-08
                                                                • 1041

                                                                #32
                                                                If there's anything this season has taught me it's that any dog over +200 deserves a good look and any favourite under -200 is complete trash
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bigsmitty
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-12-10
                                                                  • 3026

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Didn't see any of the game, just checked the espn scores and saw someone say it was 10-0 or something and the Yanks blew it. That's frigging brutal-like I said earlier CLE was worth a look, I passed on it but kudos to anyone that took. Cheers
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ji03
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-27-09
                                                                    • 1144

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Nice Win by the Indians
                                                                    Comment
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