john morrison mlb labouchere system

edh1011 · 07-31-10, 06:13 AM

well that would have been a great night but the mets pitching staff took shots before the game. but i got a very nice payoff by the marlins winning straight up. so i profited enough to cross off the 16 on the line.

bank: 9.44 units

record: 24-15

line: x-8-8-x-x

so i will give the mets one more chance tonight.

risking 16 (1.6 units) on the mets ML (-145) 7:10 ET

BigMama · 07-31-10, 06:34 AM

Great day for all....good luck

edh1011 · 08-01-10, 07:40 AM

the mets get it done somehow. so that takes care of the line.

bank: 10.54 units

record: 25-15

new line: 9-9-9-9

that's it until monday.

edh1011 · 08-02-10, 06:19 AM

there is a play on the kc royals tonight. the rpi is close enough to oakland lol. this has jm sucker bet written all over it. i personally will sit this one out.

arctictiger · 08-02-10, 07:12 AM

would be play on the oakland ?

edh1011 · 08-02-10, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by arctictiger

would be play on the oakland ?

sorry for the late response. i worked a 12 hr day with not cpu access. yeah if you want to play oakland i would play the runline. they are very heavy favorites for tonight. but again i am sitting this one out.

edh1011 · 08-03-10, 06:27 AM

well my instinct was right on the royals. they never had a shot. i thought about playing oakland, but the idea of this system is to play official, and fade unofficial. now the rpi difference is .13. still doesn't seem accurate to me.

edh1011 · 08-04-10, 06:29 AM

i see kc won last night. i just didn't feel comfortable with them. so there will be more plays on friday.

edh1011 · 08-06-10, 07:46 AM

a very full card tonight after a slow week. 5 plays tonight on the line.

line: 9-9-9-9

risking 18 (1.8 units) on angels ML (even bet) 7:05 ET
risking 18 (1.8 units) on phillies ML (-135) 7:35 ET
risking 18 (1.8 units) on brewers ML (-125) 8:10 ET
risking 18 (1.8 units) on padres ML (-115) 9:40 ET
risking 18 (1.8 units) on mariners RL (-125) 10:10 ET

edh1011 · 08-07-10, 06:25 AM

once again i came up 1 short of a perfect night. the padres just couldn't get the bats going. i'll give them another shot tonight. i did make enough profit to cross out the line though.

bank: 14.76 units

record: 29-16

new line: 10-10-10-10

risking 20 (2 units) on padres ML (-125) 8:10 ET

edh1011 · 08-08-10, 08:25 AM

well that is disappointing. on friday the padres were the team i was least concerned about. funny how that works out. they are clearly in a major slump, so i will not invest anymore in them. there will be more plays monday.

bank: 12.76 units

record: 29-17

line: 10-10-10-10-20

edh1011 · 08-09-10, 06:19 AM

back in action tonight with 3 plays

line: 10-10-10-10-20

risking 20 (2 units) on the rays RL (-105) 7:05 ET
risking 20 (2 units) on the braves ML (-125) 8:05 ET
risking 20 (2 units) on the diamondbacks ML (+115) 8:10 ET

arctictiger · 08-09-10, 07:23 AM

should you risk 30 according to your system?

edh1011 · 08-09-10, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by arctictiger

should you risk 30 according to your system?

if there was only 1 play tonight, then yes you're right. according to the line, the next wager amount would be 30 (3 units). but since there are 3 plays, i am betting a lot more than that anyway by just betting the regular line amount of 20. this is considered optional. it all depends on how aggressive/passive you are with your bank.

edh1011 · 08-10-10, 06:28 AM

wow! talk about dumb luck. both the rays and the dbacks score needed runs in the 9th inning to help me profit instead of going 0-3. the braves bullpen was awful. i hope they will look for redemption tonight. so on the line i went 2-1, which equals 1 win. so i can cross off the 20. i have 2 plays tonight.

bank: 14.96 units

record: 31-18

line: 10-10-10-10

risking 20 (2 units) on the braves ML (-145) 8:05 ET
risking 20 (2 units) on the padres RL (+105) 10:05 ET

edh1011 · 08-11-10, 06:17 AM

some more dumb luck in the 9th inning last night as the braves pull through. and the padres also get it done to cross off the line.

bank: 18.44 units

record: 33-18

new line: 11-11-11-11

i think that is it until next week. i don't think there are any jm plays over the weekend.

edh1011 · 08-17-10, 06:31 AM

i'll be fading this one tonight.

line: 11-11-11-11

risking 22 (2.2 units) on the red sox ML (-140) 7:10 ET

edh1011 · 08-17-10, 09:45 PM

it doesn't get much easier and stress free as it was tonight. the red sox were never in doubt.

bank: 20.01 units

record: 34-18

line: x-11-11-x

check back thursday for the next play

edh1011 · 08-19-10, 06:21 AM

there's an official play on the rangers tonight. you'd think this would be an easy one since they're playing the o's. we'll see.

line: x-11-11-x

risking 22 (2.2 units) on the rangers RL (no odds yet) 7:05 ET

edh1011 · 08-19-10, 09:39 PM

well that was nothing short of pathetic. i don't know what it is about the o's, but they clearly have the rangers number this season.

bank: 17.81 units

record: 34-19

line: x-11-11-x-22

the next wager amount on the line would be 33 (3.3 units). but tomorrow i will be betting 3 games. so i will only be betting 22 (2.2 units) per game since the combined wager amount will be 66 (6.6 units). i hope that makes sense.

i don't have any odds yet, but here are the plays tomorrow.

rangers (official) (last chance with me)
tigers (official)
white sox (unofficial fade)

i will post again tomorrow with the odds. basically i don't bet higher than -150. so if the moneyline is higher than that, i will take the run line.

edh1011 · 08-20-10, 06:13 AM

risking 22 (2.2 units) on rangers RL (-125) 7:05 ET
risking 22 (2.2 units) on tigers ML (-140) 7:05 ET
risking 22 (2.2 units) on white sox ML (-150) 8:10 ET

edh1011 · 08-20-10, 09:29 PM

a good night overall. the white sox and royals were rained out. but the 2 other wins took care of the remaining numbers on the line.

bank: 21.14 units

record: 36-19

new line: 12-12-12-12

i'll be playing the white sox tomorrow. not sure when they will play. will post later.

jose21_us · 08-20-10, 09:53 PM

very nice job!

edh1011 · 08-21-10, 06:24 AM

it looks like the sox/royals will play 2 today.

line: 12-12-12-12

risking 24 (2.4 units) on the white sox ML (-118) 7:10 ET

edh1011 · 08-21-10, 09:50 PM

well that was no good. the white sox blew a 5-1 lead and lost in 11 innings. i'm not sure about chasing this one since that is a game they should have won, and game 2 will not be over until last call lol. but what the hell. i will stick to the a/b system.

bank: 18.74 units

record: 36-20

line: 12-12-12-12-24

risking 36 (3.6 units) on the white sox ML (+106) 11:00 ET

edh1011 · 08-22-10, 07:55 AM

ugly.....but the white sox get it done after blowing another lead in the 9th. i'll take it.

bank: 22.52 units

record: 37-20

line x-12-12-12-x

that's it until monday

edh1011 · 08-23-10, 04:34 PM

3 plays tonight. 1 official, and 2 unofficial fades.

line: x-12-12-12-x

risking 24 (2.4 units) on the cardinals ML (-140) 7:05 ET
risking 24 (2.4 units) on the phillies RL (+120) 7:05 ET
risking 24 (2.4 units) on the rangers ML (-151) 8:05 ET

edh1011 · 08-23-10, 10:14 PM

2-1 tonight. that equals 1 win to cross off the line.

bank: 23.46 units

record: 39-21

line: x-x-12-x-x

edh1011 · 08-23-10, 10:17 PM

since the phillies lost straight up to houston, there will be a B bet tomorrow. right now they are a -260 favorite. i'm not even sure if the runline will have any value. we'll have to see.

edh1011 · 08-24-10, 03:12 PM

line: 13-13-13-13

risking 26 (2.6 units) on phillies RL (-130) 7:05 ET

edh1011 · 08-25-10, 06:28 AM

not what i wanted out of philly. they just couldn't get any bats going. and every time they got on base, there were already 2 outs. so i wont be investing anymore in them for now.

bank: 20.86 units

record: 39-22

line: 13-13-13-13-26

that will be all until friday. i'm expecting to have 5 plays going into what will be the last weekend of this system. and then i will have more plays next monday, but that will be it. i don't continue to bet on mlb in september. so i'll be hoping for a big finish

edh1011 · 08-27-10, 06:25 AM

back in action tonight with 5 plays. 2 are jm plays and 3 are unofficial fades.

line: 13-13-13-13-26

again, since i am playing 5, no need to bet the 39.

risking 26 (2.6 units) on the red sox ML (+105) 7:10 ET
risking 26 (2.6 units) on the reds RL (no odds yet) 7:10 ET
risking 26 (2.6 units) on the angels RL (no odds yet) 10:05 ET
risking 26 (2.6 units) on the twins ML (-130) 10:10 ET
risking 26 (2.6 units) on the giants RL (no odds yet) 10:15 ET

will update this post later with odds

neo1124 · 08-27-10, 12:02 PM

Hi edh,
I only subscribed to JM's MLB Ver 1 & 2.
Can u specify which is JM Play (i got only Red Sox) and which is Fade?
Thanks! Good thread, keep it going!

edh1011 · 08-27-10, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by neo1124

Hi edh,
I only subscribed to JM's MLB Ver 1 & 2.
Can u specify which is JM Play (i got only Red Sox) and which is Fade?
Thanks! Good thread, keep it going!

the red sox play is all i got from jm as well in his email. but if you look back to august 3-5, the orioles swept the angels. and the angels have a higher rpi. so i don't understand why jm didn't include that game. i will play it regardless of whether jm does or not.

the reds, twins and giants are all unofficial fades because of the rpi difference

edh1011 · 08-27-10, 02:57 PM

reds RL (+115)
angels RL (+145)
giants RL (+115)