1st Inning run scored Yes or No Experiment Daily Chase

[superblaaze]

Man I posted the sox and tigers yes 1st then saw bush was pitching and changed it like with in 30 seconds of posting last night

[superblaaze]

My chart is showing 2 games for 7pm

1... Boston and Cleveland No 7:05 pm

(this is just for kicks dont play it also shows Nationals and Pirates as No) reason not to play both top 10 teams for scoring and giving 1st inning runs. see yesterdays post.

this will be the last play if needed

2 .. Mariners vs Rangers 8:05 NO

[stevex]

Are there any official plays for tonight?

[superblaaze]

Are there any official plays for tonight?

1... Boston and Cleveland No 7:05 pm -130

2 .. Mariners vs Rangers 8:05 NO Even

[JGSB]

just bet it all on the Boston/Cleveland -NO

[southmadejd]

Thanks Blaaze.

[superblaaze]

Boston starter Jon Lester, who has been virtually un-hittable lately. Lester has allowed a grand total of two earned runs and only 15 hits in 28.1 innings over his last four starts

Mitch Talbot He is in great current form, with a 2.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in his last three starts

[superblaaze]

+

Pirates

Padres GAME1

Marlins

All No Runs in 1st Inning

Tell us how to play your picks is this a chase system as well ?

[bigmonay]

hey blaze have u ever tried a chase system with the o/u ON HITS RUNS AND ERRORS... SEEMS LIKE U COULD WIN PRETTY REGULAR BETTING THE UNDERS...?

[superblaaze]

hey blaze have u ever tried a chase system with the o/u ON HITS RUNS AND ERRORS... SEEMS LIKE U COULD WIN PRETTY REGULAR BETTING THE UNDERS...?

I have never even looked at that prop to know whats what.

[DaBA]

Whats the deal with books not listing Boston or alot of other games? Anybody have the same situation?

[BillAccpetor]

Tell us how to play your picks is this a chase system as well ?

Yes

[JetDevil74]

...

[brko]

yes, indeed superblaaze, you said in one of your previous posts that books can't cap this prop you're playing in this thread. hell, yeah! i saw my book had YES (for scores in 1st inning) @ +122, and they make mistakes a lot. i'm just asking (not trying to insult you) - do odds make any impact on your decision? i'm asking that because i don't remember you ever had +odds.

[superblaaze]

yes, indeed superblaaze, you said in one of your previous posts that books can't cap this prop you're playing in this thread. hell, yeah! i saw my book had YES (for scores in 1st inning) @ +122, and they make mistakes a lot. i'm just asking (not trying to insult you) - do odds make any impact on your decision? i'm asking that because i don't remember you ever had +odds.

Originally No I use charts.. but sometimes the juice is too high so I make adjustments... all my picks are done way before lines are released. that doesn't mean they are posted.. and your not insulting me. I just cant figure out what the hell is going on. I had 2 picks for 2 pm today 1 won 1 loss I posted the looser. had 2 picks for 7 1 won 1 loss I posted the looser.

[JetDevil74]

Blaze, going back to what I said yesterday. A part of me thinks that if there are 3 or 4 "no" picks, the chase would be more effective than if there was a combination of yes/no. I can't verbally explain why I think that, but maybe someone could see what I mean?

[superblaaze]

yes, indeed superblaaze, you said in one of your previous posts that books can't cap this prop you're playing in this thread. hell, yeah! i saw my book had YES (for scores in 1st inning) @ +122, and they make mistakes a lot. i'm just asking (not trying to insult you) - do odds make any impact on your decision? i'm asking that because i don't remember you ever had +odds.

if you look in my spread sheet we have had several + and even wins.. but you are right about the books being on the wrong side a lot

[superblaaze]

Blaze, going back to what I said yesterday. A part of me thinks that if there are 3 or 4 "no" picks, the chase would be more effective than if there was a combination of yes/no. I can't verbally explain why I think that, but maybe someone could see what I mean?

On any given night it's about 50/50 give or take a few here is the problem the time slots.. example yesterday there was 15 games but 11 of them was in 2 time slots. this is where my problem lies. just like today the 4 games previous That I had if they had been staggered we would be done for the day.

[chilidog]

here we go ...

[chilidog]

so far, so good ... seattle had no hits ... c'mon, do the same, texas!

[chilidog]

dammit, base hit, runner on 1st

[chilidog]

grr, runners on 1st/now now

[chilidog]

nooooooo

[JetDevil74]

wow. done.

[superblaaze]

Crap... I don't do inter league so no plays till Monday that will be documented as our first series loss... I will be studying what the hell went wrong over the weekend...

[DaBA]

The system lives! It is undefeated if not greedy like last night.

[bhikool836]

it's alright blaaze. we'll get em back!

[DaBA]

I took Tex Yes by mistake. The system is hurtin.

[southmadejd]

Don't worry about it Blaaze.....we will all be back.

[Gee]

i've always been intrigued by this type of system.

i run a similar system to this on the first inning draw, where i like the under (usually i bet hoping for 0-0, but have had 1-1, 2-2, 3-3 etc), but don't have a stack of confidence in the bullpens. i've only been doing it for a few months, but it has been very successful. wish i kept records, but i am far too lazy for that...

[superblaaze]

Holy sh__ Inter-league goes for 2 fricken weeks ?

[Qman1]

Holy sh__ Inter-league goes for 2 fricken weeks ?

I'll be waiting when you get back

[superblaaze]

System now 12-1 92%
Played Picks (12-12) 50%
Actual Picks(22-23) 48% <-----------------has to be much better than this
Money being tracked in my spreadsheet

[superblaaze]

No picks that was played went 1-5 16%
Yes picks that was played went 11-7 61%

[BillAccpetor]

Unreal Red Sox did 4 runs in 1st... Btw. they are one of the hottest team to chase "YES Run(s) in 1st"...