Sawyer's MLB Total Plays Thread

fataliz · 05-22-10, 08:57 PM

thanks sawyer

Jive · 05-22-10, 08:57 PM

Your plays are killing it, Sawyer! I think we've hit 7 of the last 9 on 200*+ plays.

Sawyer · 05-22-10, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

MLB 5/22

MLB TOTAL PLAYS ABOVE *200

MIL-MIN OVER9 *250 WINNER
TB-HOU UNDER8 *200 WINNER

Top Plays (200+) went 2-0 Tonight!

SBR MLB Total 200+ Plays : 9-5, %64.28

MrMike · 05-22-10, 09:02 PM

Great job Sawyer! Thanks as always.

rk9 · 05-22-10, 09:22 PM

Nice work Sawyer. I suck at totals, so tailed yesterday and today. You definetely doing somethin right. Thanks

Sawyer · 05-22-10, 09:33 PM

Thank you guys!

MLB TOTAL PLAYS ABOVE *200

MIL-MIN OVER9 *250
TB-HOU UNDER8 *200

MLB TOTAL PLAYS UNDER *200 (Not Qualified)

FLA-CWS UNDER9 *150 WIN
CHC-TEX UNDER9½ *125 WIN
CIN-CLE UNDER8½ *125 LOST

T.E.A. SYSTEM PLAYS 5/22

Oak-sfo Under 7 WINNER
Hou-tb Under 8 WINNER
Det-la Under 8 LOST
Tor-ari Over 11 WINNER
Was-bal Under 9 LOST
Chc-tex Under 9½ WINNER
Sdg-sea Under 7½ PENDING
Cin-Cle Over 8½ WINNER

I will update TEA record after Padres vs Mariners game. Good night everybody!

No coincidences · 05-22-10, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Thank you guys!

MLB TOTAL PLAYS ABOVE *200

MIL-MIN OVER9 *250
TB-HOU UNDER8 *200

MLB TOTAL PLAYS UNDER *200 (Not Qualified)

FLA-CWS UNDER9 *150 WIN
CHC-TEX UNDER9½ *125 WIN
CIN-CLE UNDER8½ *125 LOST

T.E.A. SYSTEM PLAYS 5/22

Oak-sfo Under 7 WINNER
Hou-tb Under 8 WINNER
Det-la Under 8 LOST
Tor-ari Over 11 WINNER
Was-bal Under 9 LOST
Chc-tex Under 9½ WINNER
Sdg-sea Under 7½ PENDING
Cin-Cle Over 8½ WINNER

I will update TEA record after Padres vs Mariners game. Good night everybody!

Great night. I can't believe that CIN/CLE under didn't hit. Fvcking Cordero.

metsfa89 · 05-22-10, 10:43 PM

great job sawyer

BamaCBass · 05-22-10, 10:45 PM

Damn bro! Nice job. I'm tryin to figure out your GF's initials... She's on fire! I mean, her picks of course.

buzzer · 05-22-10, 11:26 PM

great one tonight keep on a rocking it

streakyrocket22 · 05-22-10, 11:36 PM

Great Job Sawyer!! your the man!! great day for both of us!! keep it up!!

Dre2109 · 05-23-10, 02:51 AM

Great stuff, man!!

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 04:59 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

MLB TOTAL PLAYS ABOVE *200

MIL-MIN OVER9 *250
TB-HOU UNDER8 *200

MLB TOTAL PLAYS UNDER *200 (Not Qualified)

FLA-CWS UNDER9 *150 WIN
CHC-TEX UNDER9½ *125 WIN
CIN-CLE UNDER8½ *125 LOST

T.E.A. SYSTEM PLAYS 5/22

Oak-sfo Under 7 WINNER
Hou-tb Under 8 WINNER
Det-la Under 8 LOST
Tor-ari Over 11 WINNER
Was-bal Under 9 LOST
Chc-tex Under 9½ WINNER
Sdg-sea Under 7½ WINNER
Cin-Cle Over 8½ WINNER

SBR MLB TEA System: 15-5, %75
SBR MLB Total 200+ Plays : 9-5, %64.28

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 05:08 AM

MLB Total Rating System Overall Record Since 1 May

350 Rating Plays 0-1
325 Rating Plays 0-2
300 Rating Plays 1-0
275 Rating Plays 2-2
250 Rating Plays 5-0
225 Rating Plays 4-1
200 Rating Plays 11-1
175 Rating Plays 5-5
150 Rating Plays 9-5
125 Rating Plays 10-11
100 Rating Plays 13-10

KATCHASE · 05-23-10, 07:12 AM

Decided to tail your *200 & TEA system plays yesterday...AND WHAT A DAY IT WAS!!!! Sawyer, thanks to you and a few plays of my own, I went 9-2 on the day!

Thanks for all your hard work and for posting your plays (pts given). Also, please pass on my gratitude to your GF for her TEA system plays. I think if more women started handicapping games we could possibly put these bookmakers out of business!!!

LOL!!

Well, good luck to you both on your upcoming BIG DAY & I hope you keep those winners coming. GL!!!

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 07:22 AM

KATCHASE gave Sawyer 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Dre2109 gave Sawyer 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.
fataliz gave Sawyer 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
dynamitappletini gave Sawyer 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks for the points, you are very kind!

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 07:23 AM

Just started capping games, see you soon..

dee_jas · 05-23-10, 07:23 AM

execellent night sawyer

goldseeker · 05-23-10, 08:02 AM

very nice, look forward to another great day!

rkelly110 · 05-23-10, 08:26 AM

What happens on Lost tonight? Everyone get rescued? Does the smoke monster get you?
They will probably leave us hanging so they can make a movie.

Kudos on your systems.

cala56 · 05-23-10, 08:29 AM

nice plays, gl sawyer

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 08:37 AM

Originally posted by rkelly110

They will probably leave us hanging so they can make a movie.

I think so

gryfyn1 · 05-23-10, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

I think so

We all know how it will end --

-- Bob Newhart will wake up to find it was all a dream.

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 08:41 AM

MLB Total System Plays (Plays with *200+)

CHC-TEX UNDER9 *325 (+102)
CWS-FLA UNDER8½ *225 (-106)
COL-KC UNDER8½ *225 (-120)
TB-HOU UNDER7½ *225 (-110)

Plays Under 200* (Not Qualified as a System Play)

NYM-NYY OVER7 *150
MIL-MIN OVER9½ *125
DET-LA UNDER8 *125
SDG-SEA UNDER7 *100
ATL-PIT UNDER8½ *100

PS: Plays Under 200* are no Plays for me but I'm posting them as well for tracking purposes.

T.E.A. SYSTEM PLAYS

Coming up..

ebbearsfb1 · 05-23-10, 08:54 AM

what are the T.E.A system plays based off of ???

ebbearsfb1 · 05-23-10, 08:55 AM

seems like 200 to 250 are better than the 275 and above... any reason you think for that?

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

seems like 200 to 250 are better than the 275 and above... any reason you think for that?

It's too early say so in my opinion. Over a larger example (after 100+ bets or more) they should be balanced. Something similiar happened in NBA too, I was posting my NBA Total Plays in Statfox and 7*, *8 plays were winning more often then 10* plays.

Personally, I'm playing all 200+ bets flat, Ratings (*) doesn't represent stake.

strybie · 05-23-10, 09:51 AM

What is a TEA system play ?

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 09:54 AM

T.E.A. SYSTEM PLAYS

Phi-Bos under 8.5
Chc-Tex under 9
Col-Kc under 8.5
Sea-Sdg under 7
Atl-Pit under 8.5
Bal-Was under 8.5
Hou-Tb under 7.5
Mil-Min over 9.5
Sf-Oak under 7.5
Tor-Ari over 10

Good luck!

PS: Btw, Chc-Tex Under 9, Col-Kc Under 8.5, Hou-Tb Under 7.5 Plays fit in both T.E.A. System and Rating System.
Let's see what will happen..

ebbearsfb1 · 05-23-10, 09:57 AM

sawyer are the first plays the ones you cap your self??? and then what is the tea system plays?

and do you play the tea system and other plays for the same amount??

Jive · 05-23-10, 10:17 AM

Ebb, the T.E.A. system is done by the soon-to-be Mrs. Sawyer. Since she is a woman, she makes picks based on the best uniforms and and who has the cute players. T.E.A. stands for "Tight Excellent A$$es," and the picks are based on a theory that teams without big backsides won't put up big runs.

Ok, I made that last part up, but the picks are indeed done by his woman, and they have been SUPERB thus far, in a limited sample size. If Mr. & Mrs. Sawyer have a child, that little kid will be a walking calculator.

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

sawyer are the first plays the ones you cap your self??? and then what is the tea system plays?

and do you play the tea system and other plays for the same amount??

Hi mate. First of all, Welcome!

Let me help you with your questions.

Right now, I'm running 2 seperate systems at the moment. First system is based on predictions of a computer program I developped. Every play has a rating and plays +200 and above are very profitable.

Then, I came up with (thanks to my girlfriend-it was her idea and she made a great contribution) another system, it's an alternative system. It's based on other/different factors. I called this system as TEA System. Personally, For First System, (The Rating System) I'm playing all +200* plays and TEA System plays. My stakes are flat.

Sometimes, a play may fit in both. For example, it happened with Hou-Tb Under play last night. Sometimes, they went contrary. (Ex: Cin-Cle last night)

GL!

Sawyer · 05-23-10, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by Jive

Ebb, the T.E.A. system is done by the soon-to-be Mrs. Sawyer. Since she is a woman, she makes picks based on the best uniforms and and who has the cute players. T.E.A. stands for "Tight Excellent A$$es," and the picks are based on a theory that teams without big backsides won't put up big runs.

Ok, I made that last part up, but the picks are indeed done by his woman, and they have been SUPERB thus far, in a limited sample size. If Mr. & Mrs. Sawyer have a child, that little kid will be a walking calculator.

KATCHASE · 05-23-10, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by Jive

Ebb, the T.E.A. system is done by the soon-to-be Mrs. Sawyer. Since she is a woman, she makes picks based on the best uniforms and and who has the cute players. T.E.A. stands for "Tight Excellent A$$es," and the picks are based on a theory that teams without big backsides won't put up big runs.

Ok, I made that last part up, but the picks are indeed done by his woman, and they have been SUPERB thus far, in a limited sample size. If Mr. & Mrs. Sawyer have a child, that little kid will be a walking calculator.

Jive · 05-23-10, 10:22 AM

I like your response better than mine, Sawyer.

In all seriousness, it seems like a great synthesis of thought. You have the long-term team outlook of the computer system, plus the individual inspection of the T.E.A. system. That pretty much covers the two most critical aspects of betting totals. If only we could factor in the weather and umpires, this thing would have all the bases covered.

Loving it!