Sawyer's MLB Total Plays Thread

Dexter · 05-31-10, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by Darremannen

Sawyer U could have all my points if u give me his blogg adress

? or website or what it is mate

wow dude

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 01:21 PM

...

Dexter · 05-31-10, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Hey dont kill my thread please!!

any weather info/news on detroit-oakland game? i hope they can play today..

edit - not sure now that i look at sbr

Darremannen · 05-31-10, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Hey dont kill my thread please!!

any weather info/news on detroit-oakland game? i hope they can play today..

Sorry missed it, u should have my points as promised

jose21_us · 05-31-10, 02:58 PM

marlins look good today nice call sawyer!!

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

1st Inning Plays 5/31

Oakland vs Detroit No Runs in 1st Inning -125 Lost
Colorado vs San Francisco No Runs in 1st Inning -135 Winner
Milwaukee vs Florida YES (Run in 1st Inning) -125 Winner

2-1 in First Innings.. Not bad.

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

T.E.A. 5/31 Memorial Day

nyy-cle over9½ Winner
chc-pit under8½ Winner
was-hou under8 Lost
stl-cin under7½ Pending
tor-tb under8½ Pending

Not a bad start. Need one more winner for a winning day!

Record will be updated when all games are over.

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 04:22 PM

Special Thanks to "High Voltage", he noticed something about my TEA System Plays, TEA Over plays are 10-3 so far. Interesting. Over plays are winning more often? Maybe..We will see..

Have a great day everyone!

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 04:42 PM

Adding One More 1st Inning Play..

ARIZONA D'BACKS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS
RUN IN FIRST INNING? YES +105

GL!

diggnation+TRS · 05-31-10, 08:15 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Adding One More 1st Inning Play.. ARIZONA D'BACKS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS RUN IN FIRST INNING? YES +105 GL!

cha-ching

jose21_us · 05-31-10, 08:18 PM

That was easy

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Adding One More 1st Inning Play..

ARIZONA D'BACKS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS
RUN IN FIRST INNING? YES +105 WINNER!

GL!

Easy!

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 08:43 PM

Last Inning in Jays Game!

Sawyer · 05-31-10, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

T.E.A. 5/31 Memorial Day

nyy-cle over9½ Winner -111
chc-pit under8½ Winner -105
was-hou under8 Lost -115
stl-cin under7½ Lost -105
tor-tb under8½ Winner -115

3-2

Not a bad night..

T.E.A. System plays went 3-2.
1st Inning Plays went 3-1.

MLB TEA System Total Plays: 43-33, %56.57, +861

jose21_us · 05-31-10, 09:12 PM

not a bad night!!

rk9 · 05-31-10, 09:48 PM

Nice work Sawyer. You've had a good month. keep up the good work

Sawyer · 06-01-10, 09:19 AM

TEA System Plays for 6/1

cle-det over8½ -110
bos-oak under9 -105
chc-pit under8½ -120
mil-fla over9 -120
stl-cin over8 +100
ari-la over8 -115

TEA Overs are 10-3 so far.. It's nice to come up with 4 Over plays today..

chavinv · 06-01-10, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

TEA System Plays for 6/1

cle-det over8½ -110
bos-oak under9 -105
chc-pit under8½ -120
mil-fla over9 -120
stl-cin over8 +100
ari-la over8 -115

TEA Overs are 10-3 so far.. It's nice to come up with 4 Over plays today..

Hi, I was wondering how many units you wager for each of these plays

jose21_us · 06-01-10, 09:44 AM

Gl to us all today. I like all the overs as well!

Martyeddy · 06-01-10, 10:26 AM

So, have you been tracking the TEA system since 21th? So in 10 days, 86,1 units are great!

Dwell · 06-01-10, 10:35 AM

I liiiiike

diggnation+TRS · 06-01-10, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by chavinv

Hi, I was wondering how many units you wager for each of these plays

i think sawyer bets the same amount every game, at least thats how i understand flat betting, and 'to risk' with high chalk plays

Sawyer · 06-01-10, 12:05 PM

Majority of sports bettors are using classic "to win 100" system so I'm keeping my record as classic "to win 100$" approach to keep it simple. I don't use 1/10-10/10 staking schedule or *2, *50 Dime Lock Of The Year, 1000* Play of Millennium stake system. All my wagers are same, flat.

Personally, I'm a strong believer in flat staking since you can't know which bet will win and which bet won't win. Odds can be misleading. -115 bet doesn't have a better chance to win then +100 in my opinion. Feel free to agree or disagree but I think this way. Anything can misfire.

So every bet is wagered to win 100 units. Everyone has a different unit size, so joe may risk 100, john may risk 500. Personally, I'm wagering 300 per game.

Sawyer · 06-01-10, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by Martyeddy

So, have you been tracking the TEA system since 21th? So in 10 days, 86,1 units are great!

Yeah. You know europeans use 10/10 Units schedule so it's +86.1 if wager size is 10. It's +861 if your wager size is 100. Some people use 1-Unit Stake system, so it's +8.6 Units if your wager size is 1 unit. We could be rich if we can make 8.6 Units every 10 days

Personally, I'll be happy with +5 or +7 units/month (wager size=1 unit per game) but 10-15 will be much better of course

How much I should risk per game?

It depends on your winning rate & amount of plays. For example, I'm hitting %61 in NBA (over 215+ bets this year) and during regular season, my pick/day average is 2.80 so it's 3 plays/day approximately. Under these circumstances, %4-5 will be fine.

But TEA System is a different animal. It comes up with too many plays and winning rate is not %61. Of course, winning rate is not really important; what matters most is the Total Profit. If you're playing 10 plays/day, %5 may be risky. My suggestion is %2 if you're playing 10 picks/day.

TKAT · 06-01-10, 12:18 PM

solid info sawyer. gl on your picks today.

Wilforth · 06-01-10, 12:21 PM

Sawyer,

Brewers/Marlins Over 9 might cash in the 2nd inning.

Sawyer · 06-01-10, 12:27 PM

Btw, I must admit that I hate "under" bets in baseball. There's no clock in baseball. Your "Under bet" is never safe 'til the end of game. On the other side, if your bet is "Over", you will always have a chance 'til the end of game.

In hockey, if your bet is Over5½ Goals and game is 0-0, last 5 minutes of 3rd period. You're hopeless..Very unlikely 6 goals will be scored in 5 minutes..

In basketball, Your bet is Over 220 points and we're in the last 6 minutes of 4th quarter, score is 90-78. Hmm, you better turn of TV..

Same goes for football too..

But baseball is something different since there's no clock!

Your OVER bet has always a chance. They can score 7-8 runs in a single inning. A grand slames gives you 4 runs, this is almost ½ of the total!

If you like OVER bets, I strongly recommend to focus on teams with weak bullpen. These are gas can. You're about to lose your hope and bullpen blows the game, giving 4-5 runs in a single inning. It happens very often in baseball..

Sawyer · 06-01-10, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Sawyer,

Brewers/Marlins Over 9 might cash in the 2nd inning.

I think so

FR3SH like UgHH · 06-01-10, 02:20 PM

sawyer u like NO score in BOS/OAK 1INN? -115

oguzaga · 06-01-10, 02:53 PM

brewers-florida over looks good.
my choice is tampa-1.5

jose21_us · 06-01-10, 03:17 PM

I will be happy if marlins can win 10-9 since both bullpens blow.

incomeraise · 06-01-10, 03:29 PM

good luck sawyer

Pauulzcappin · 06-01-10, 04:12 PM

Sawyer, I find the over on Ari and LAD very good. Didn't it pass as a system play?

Pauulzcappin · 06-01-10, 04:13 PM

Nvm, just saw it was the last the play, BOL to us!

HighVoltage · 06-01-10, 04:35 PM

Let's ride the "overs", mate!