Yesterday's Plays:
Risk $26.96 to win $39.36 on Toronto +146
Risk $26.42 to win $11.01 on St. Louis -240
Risk $22.43 to win $20.58 on Chi. Cubs - 109
Risk $20.82 to win $17.21 on Tampa Bay -121
Daily Total: -$58.60
DAY 4
Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Current Bankroll: $1,019.91
Goal Bankroll: $10,000
Days Remaining: 233
Today's Required EV (as a % of bankroll): 0.9846%
Picks:
Detroit OVER 10 -110, Risk $9.10 to Win $8.27
Minnesota UNDER 8 -105, Risk $9.96 to Win $9.49
N.Y. Mets -170, Risk $8.77 to Win $5.16
Baltimore OVER 9 -105, Risk $9.96 to Win $9.49
Texas UNDER 9 +100, Risk $10.81 to Win $10.81
Rather than listing the Kelly Multiplier going forward, I will list the confidence levels in each team. That way you can go to http://sbrforum.com/Betting+Tools/Kelly+Calculator.aspx to figure out the optimum bet sizes yourself.
Detroit Game: 62%
Twins Game: 62%
Wash Game: 70%
Bal Game: 62%
Texas Game: 62%
Plug all those games and lines into the calculator and adjust the multiplier such that the EV = 0.9846%
Risk $26.96 to win $39.36 on Toronto +146
Risk $26.42 to win $11.01 on St. Louis -240
Risk $22.43 to win $20.58 on Chi. Cubs - 109
Risk $20.82 to win $17.21 on Tampa Bay -121
Daily Total: -$58.60
DAY 4
Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Current Bankroll: $1,019.91
Goal Bankroll: $10,000
Days Remaining: 233
Today's Required EV (as a % of bankroll): 0.9846%
Picks:
Detroit OVER 10 -110, Risk $9.10 to Win $8.27
Minnesota UNDER 8 -105, Risk $9.96 to Win $9.49
N.Y. Mets -170, Risk $8.77 to Win $5.16
Baltimore OVER 9 -105, Risk $9.96 to Win $9.49
Texas UNDER 9 +100, Risk $10.81 to Win $10.81
Rather than listing the Kelly Multiplier going forward, I will list the confidence levels in each team. That way you can go to http://sbrforum.com/Betting+Tools/Kelly+Calculator.aspx to figure out the optimum bet sizes yourself.
Detroit Game: 62%
Twins Game: 62%
Wash Game: 70%
Bal Game: 62%
Texas Game: 62%
Plug all those games and lines into the calculator and adjust the multiplier such that the EV = 0.9846%