Sawyer's MLB 1st Inning Plays 5/12 (5-2)

HoulihansTX · 05-12-10, 09:56 AM

LAD VS ARI YES -130

H Kuroda is a nightmare. I love this play for that reason.

nightlife32 · 05-12-10, 10:15 AM

What are the yes and no's about?

tokio · 05-12-10, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by nightlife32

What are the yes and no's about?

If there will be a score in the 1st inning. 50% chance of hit or miss

Sawyer · 05-12-10, 12:25 PM

Expected % Probabilities for 5/12

TOR vs BOS NO %66
TB VS LAA NO %63
SEA VS BAL NO %62
PHI VS COL YES %59
NYY VS DET YES %64
LAD VS ARI YES %62
HOU VS STL YES %63

sanchez985 · 05-12-10, 12:29 PM

abey normal pick vermez oldun

THE PROFIT · 05-12-10, 12:34 PM

playin' yes on pirates games has been very good so far

Sawyer · 05-12-10, 12:45 PM

Sanchez,

Leaning UNDER for TB-LAA, BAL-SEA and Over for LAD-ARI. GL!

sanchez985 · 05-12-10, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Sanchez,

Leaning UNDER for TB-LAA, BAL-SEA and Over for LAD-ARI. GL!

thank you Sawyer

dee_jas · 05-12-10, 12:55 PM

what books do you guys use for 1st innings

THE PROFIT · 05-12-10, 12:56 PM

saw, your record is 5-2, when did you start this, yesterday? Some other guy on here had a spreadsheet with % of all the teams. I find this prop interesting, had alot of success first couple weeks, but now cant find any consistency. GL & I may start tailin' ya tomorrow. You have always seemed to be a pretty sharp #'s guy

THE PROFIT · 05-12-10, 12:56 PM

Originally posted by dee_jas

what books do you guys use for 1st innings

I use Bookmaker

Sawyer · 05-12-10, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by dee_jas

what books do you guys use for 1st innings

Bookmaker, TheGreek mostly..
Betjamaica and 5Dimes are also offering this prop but BJ is not offering this prop for all games.

Sawyer · 05-12-10, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by THE PROFIT

saw, your record is 5-2, when did you start this, yesterday? Some other guy on here had a spreadsheet with % of all the teams. I find this prop interesting, had alot of success first couple weeks, but now cant find any consistency. GL & I may start tailin' ya tomorrow. You have always seemed to be a pretty sharp #'s guy

I started 2 days ago in SBR. (Monday)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/475685-sawyers-mlb-5-10-1st-inning-plays.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/477301-sawyers-mlb-plays-5-11-tuesday-6-plays-today.html

Plays I posted in SBR are 5-2 so far. I'm playing this prop bet for a week, went 20-8 and decided to share my plays.

Guys, what do you think about this Prop bet? Do you think it's coin flip? I love this prop bet since you don't wait for 3 hours, LoL! Ok, just kidding. I love this prop bet since there's no bullpen factor and you know the first hitters in lineup. It's possible to have an edge in this bet? We will see..

About Limits,

I know limits are a little bit low. 300$ in TheGreek and 500$ in Bookmaker but you can spread your action in order to overcome limit problem.

GL everyone!

THE PROFIT · 05-12-10, 01:51 PM

I love it for those reasons. Make your money in the first 10 minutes of the game. you can make money on the 7:05 game to play on the 7:15 game LoL!!!

jnickell100 · 05-12-10, 01:57 PM

Ya I love playing the first inning. What I've noticed is that there are a ton of 1st inning scores on Sundays. Not sure of the stat line compared to other days but noticed from watching. Perhaps something to look into. Anyways gl with your thread

Sawyer · 05-12-10, 07:38 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

TOR VS BOS NO +100 WINNER
SEA VS BAL NO -110 WINNER
HOU VS STL YES -105 WINNER
NYY VS DET YES -120 (GM-2) WINNER
PHI VS COL YES -105 (GM-1) WINNER
TB VS LAA NO -130 LOST
LAD VS ARI YES -130

Let's cash Dodgers vs D'Backs YES for a 6-1 Night!

Jive · 05-12-10, 07:54 PM

I knew you would find an angle after crunching some numbers.

I am jumping in with you starting with the LAD/ARI game tonight. I hope I don't jinx this great run you have going! Have some points for your efforts, my man.

BiffTFinancial · 05-12-10, 07:57 PM

Sawyer, tailing you on Dodgers/Dbacks 1st inning. can't go wrong fading the Dbacks' staff. let's cash, and thanks for sharing your picks.

THE PROFIT · 05-12-10, 08:34 PM

5-1, makes me scared to tail on LA LoL!

No coincidences · 05-12-10, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by THE PROFIT

5-1, makes me scared to tail on LA LoL!

I tailed him yesterday and went 2-2 (didn't offer one of them that hit).

He's unbeaten on the ones I don't tail.

mann2chc · 05-12-10, 08:54 PM

good calls

THE PROFIT · 05-12-10, 09:03 PM

glad I didnt jump on the last one of the night. Great job Sawyer, I was just going by the law of averages so to me it was slim that you'd hit that last one. Great record, & if you do this tomorrow I will straight tail all of 'em. However you figure it you're onto something I think. Keep up the good work

ufuque · 05-13-10, 12:03 AM

Good work Sawyer..

supplykim · 05-13-10, 12:05 AM

Good job as always!

diggnation+TRS · 05-13-10, 03:26 AM

I wish 5dimes offered these props too

heywoodu · 05-13-10, 03:32 AM

On what bookies can you find these 1st inning bets?

Sawyer · 05-13-10, 04:45 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

TOR VS BOS NO +100
SEA VS BAL NO -110
HOU VS STL YES -105
NYY VS DET YES -120 (GM-2)
PHI VS COL YES -105 (GM-1)
TB VS LAA NO -130
LAD VS ARI YES -130

5-2 last night..

1st Inning Plays Record: 10-4, +540 Units

Sawyer · 05-13-10, 06:21 AM

Originally posted by heywoodu

On what bookies can you find these 1st inning bets?

Bookmaker, 5Dimes, Betjamaica, TheGreek, LooseLines.
Betjamaica is not offering this prop for all games.

Any other books you know offering this prop bet?

Jimbo42 · 05-13-10, 06:26 AM

Hmmmmm...

5-2 every night of the baseball season?? That'll work!!

Nice job bro!

heywoodu · 05-13-10, 06:31 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Bookmaker, 5Dimes, Betjamaica, TheGreek, LooseLines.
Betjamaica is not offering this prop for all games.

Any other books you know offering this prop bet?

I dont have an account at any of those...

At William Hill I see these kind of bets:

Do you know if this is the same or not?

serc · 05-13-10, 06:35 AM

good job sawyer

Kuhlio · 05-13-10, 07:30 AM

Nice work Sawyer! Hope this keeps up like your NBA O/U plays!

Sawyer · 05-13-10, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by heywoodu

I dont have an account at any of those...

At William Hill I see these kind of bets:

Do you know if this is the same or not?

No, it's a different bet.

heywoodu · 05-13-10, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

No, it's a different bet.

But if you bet that there wont be a run in the first inning, isnt it the same as in that screen of William Hill, selecting 'None, @ 1.8'?

And if you tell that there will be a run, make a wager on both 'One run' and 'Two runs or more'.

Can you tell me what the difference is in your opinion?