Let Tonight be a Lesson for Dodger Backers...

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  • Illusivecone
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-08-08
    • 771

    #1
    Let Tonight be a Lesson for Dodger Backers...
    You Don't take a team as a -300 favorite when ANY of the following situations apply:

    - Your TWO best players are out
    - Team first game home after a long trip on opposite coast
    - Your team has an INFERIOR record than the opposition
    - Your Team is on a Long losing streak and Opposition is on a winning streak

    Everyone of those applied to Dodgers tonight
    Hopefully your bankroll has lived to see tomorrow
  • thechaoz
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-23-09
    • 12154

    #2
    Ya I read a thread about Pirates destroyed bullpen etc. I didn't have time to look into it that deep b/c of family obligations and went with a trusted friend. This is my lesson. I will fade them and houston in specific situations for a while and make some money
    Comment
    • Illusivecone
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-08-08
      • 771

      #3
      Originally posted by thechaoz
      Ya I read a thread about Pirates destroyed bullpen etc. I didn't have time to look into it that deep b/c of family obligations and went with a trusted friend. This is my lesson. I will fade them and houston in specific situations for a while and make some money
      Comment
      • THE PROFIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-27-09
        • 17701

        #4
        I don't give a fuk if Jesus was pitchin', thats too much juice. Even Jesus could have an off day couldn't he?
        Comment
        • Illusivecone
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-08-08
          • 771

          #5
          Profit,

          You have been around a long time, and especially in this business that matters. However, as a majority favorite bettor there are spots when laying a lot (-200 or more) of chalk is profitable in MLB. Granted its probably only 1 out of 10 -200 or greater but it does happen
          Comment
          • Illusivecone
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-08-08
            • 771

            #6
            Best Example: http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/boxsco...ouis-cardinals
            Comment
            • reverend
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-01-09
              • 880

              #7
              great point!
              Comment
              • Illusivecone
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-08-08
                • 771

                #8
                Rev,

                Sorry for your first chase loss tonight, I closely follow your thread and tail from time to time
                Comment
                • Andy117
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-07-10
                  • 9511

                  #9
                  After watching the Dodgers lose 3 games in 24 hours to the Mets I wouldn't be laying that kind of juice on the Dodgers anytime soon. They're a mess.
                  Comment
                  • gryfyn1
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-30-10
                    • 3285

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Illusivecone
                    You Don't take a team as a -300 favorite when ANY of the following situations apply:

                    - Your TWO best players are out
                    - Team first game home after a long trip on opposite coast
                    - Your team has an INFERIOR record than the opposition
                    - Your Team is on a Long losing streak and Opposition is on a winning streak

                    Everyone of those applied to Dodgers tonight
                    Hopefully your bankroll has lived to see tomorrow
                    It baseball, you shouldn't lay -300 under any circustance,
                    Comment
                    • obamaismyuncle
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 17801

                      #11
                      Originally posted by gryfyn1
                      It baseball, you shouldn't lay -300 under any circustance,

                      Correct.
                      Comment
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